Result
03/05/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 30
- Referee: Umudlu K. (Aze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Azerbaijan | CBC Sport, Idman TV |
Chances of winning
Shamakhi
15.9% | Draw
24.5% | Sabah
59.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shamakhi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)Sabah has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shamakhi than the current prediction. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sabah than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Shamakhi - Sabah Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.69 ↑
(5.01) |
3.69 ↑
(3.53) |
1.52 ↓
(1.6) |
10.5%
(10.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Shamakhi - Sabah?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sabah will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shamakhi won 2.
- Recent performances by Shamakhi have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Sabah is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Sabah may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Sabah is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shamakhi won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 20:23. (average 1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Shamakhi won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.1:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Shamakhi won against Sabah?
Shamakhi has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sabah won against Shamakhi?
Sabah has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Shamakhi - Sabah were as follows:
23.11.2025
Sabah
-
Shamakhi
0:0
24.08.2025
Shamakhi
-
Sabah
1:2
09.05.2025
Sabah
-
Shamakhi
3:1
09.03.2025
Shamakhi
-
Sabah
1:0
22.12.2024
Shamakhi
-
Sabah
3:1
Latest results of Shamakhi
Azerbaijan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sabah Baku | 29 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 69:21 | 48 | 72 |
| 2 | Qarabag | 29 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 61:22 | 39 | 59 |
| 3 | Turan Tovuz | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 39:20 | 19 | 56 |
| 4 | Neftci Baku | 29 | 12 | 11 | 6 | 48:31 | 17 | 47 |
| 5 | Zira | 29 | 11 | 13 | 5 | 38:32 | 6 | 46 |
| 6 | Araz | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 38:54 | -16 | 40 |
| 7 | Sumqayit | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 39:42 | -3 | 38 |
| 8 | Shamakhi | 29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 27:29 | -2 | 35 |
| 9 | Imisli FK | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 22:39 | -17 | 32 |
| 10 | Kapaz | 30 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 24:58 | -34 | 24 |
| 11 | Gabala | 29 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 26:45 | -19 | 20 |
| 12 | Karvan | 29 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 21:59 | -38 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ I Liqa
