Shamrock Rovers vs Hamrun Spartans – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
18/12/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Conference League - League phase - Round 6
  • Referee: Radina M. (Cze)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceCanal+ Live 17
germanyGermanyRTL+
greeceGreeceANT 1+
icelandIcelandViaplay
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 7, TVM Sport+
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport 1
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 18
swedenSwedenDisney+
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 12, Blue Sport 12
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 20
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 3
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Plus
worldWorldVIX App

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
5.130.76
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
2610
Shots on target
143
Big Chances
83
Corner Kicks
74
Passes
84% (401/476)78% (256/329)
Yellow Cards
41
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
5.130.76
xG on target (xGOT)
4.460.64
Total shots
2610
Shots on target
143
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
64
Shots inside the Box
247
Shots outside the Box
23
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
83
Corner Kicks
74
Touches in opposition box
5319
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
73
Free Kicks
1015
Passes
84% (401/476)78% (256/329)
Long passes
51% (20/39)45% (29/65)
Passes in final third
73% (110/151)66% (56/85)
Crosses
28% (5/18)38% (5/13)
Expected assists (xA)
2.460.62
Throw-ins
2015
Fouls
1510
Tackles
71% (10/14)70% (14/20)
Duels won
3850
Clearances
1329
Interceptions
129
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
211
xGOT faced
0.644.46
Goals prevented
-0.361.46

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 14', 1 - 0, Burke G. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 20', 1 - 1, Koffi N. , Thioune S. (A),
  • 27', Mbong J. 🟥,
  • 45', El Fanis M. 🟨,
  • 45+4', 2 - 1, Grant D. , Burke G. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Garcia M. , Cadjenovic J. ,
  • 46', Thioune S. , Meijer S. ,
  • 51', Cleary D. 🟨,
  • 60', Cleary D. , Kovalevskis M. ,
  • 61', Koffi N. , Ederson ,
  • 64', Matthews A. 🟨,
  • 71', Kovalevskis M. 🟨,
  • 72', Watts D. , Malley C. ,
  • 72', Burke G. , McGovern J. ,
  • 76', Micallef N. , Simkus D. ,
  • 76', El Fanis M. , Coric A. ,
  • 78', Ozhianvuna V. , Kavanagh S. ,
  • 78', Gaffney R. , Greene A. ,
  • 86', O'Sullivan C. 🟨,
  • 90+3', 3 - 1, McGovern J. , Matthews A. (A),

Chances of winning


Shamrock Rovers
52.2%
Draw
27.9%
Hamrun Spartans
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.6% 26.1% 24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3% 27% 23.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Shamrock Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • Hamrun Spartans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shamrock Rovers than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hamrun Spartans than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
  • Shamrock Rovers - Hamrun Spartans Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.83
    (1.89)
    3.39
    (3.59)
    4.71
    (3.88)
    5.5%
    (6.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Shamrock Rovers - Hamrun Spartans?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25, 1st Half - Shamrock (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Shamrock (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Shamrock (1.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Shamrock Rovers will win (50 of 53 users predict this - 94.34%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 88.12%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Shamrock Rovers will win (42 of 42 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 45 high ROI users predict this event. Shamrock (votes: 45 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Shamrock is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Hamrun has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Hamrun may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Hamrun has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Shamrock is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Shamrock: Honohan J. (Injury) Mandroiu D. (Knee Injury) McEneff A. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Shamrock: Grace L. (Injury)
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Shamrock Rovers
    Latest results of Hamrun Spartans
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1KuPS (21)Lech Poznan (11)0 : 1, 0 : 2
    2Shakhtar Donetsk (6)Bye
    3Noah (19)AZ Alkmaar (14)0 : 4, 1 : 0
    4Sparta Prague (4)Bye
    5Zrinjski (23)Crystal Palace (10)0 : 2, 1 : 1
    6AEK Larnaca (8)Bye
    7Jagiellonia (17)Fiorentina (15)4 : 2, 0 : 3
    8Rakow (2)Bye
    9Shkendija (22)Samsunspor (12)0 : 4, 0 : 1
    10Rayo Vallecano (5)Bye
    11Drita (20)Celje (13)2 : 3, 2 : 3
    12AEK Athens (3)Bye
    13Sigma Olomouc (24)Lausanne (9)2 : 1, 1 : 1
    14Mainz (7)Bye
    15Omonia (18)Rijeka (16)1 : 3, 0 : 1
    16Strasbourg (1)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1Lech Poznan (11)Shakhtar Donetsk (6)
    2AZ Alkmaar (14)Sparta Prague (4)
    3Crystal Palace (10)AEK Larnaca (8)
    4Fiorentina (15)Rakow (2)
    5Samsunspor (12)Rayo Vallecano (5)
    6Celje (13)AEK Athens (3)
    7Sigma Olomouc (24)Mainz (7)
    8Rijeka (16)Strasbourg (1)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2