Result
3:2
11/04/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Second stage - Top 6 - Round 28
- Referee: Barbara I. (Mlt)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Malta | TVM Sport+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 6', 1 - 0, El Hasni O. ⚽,
- 13', 🟨,
- 34', 1 - 1, Emerson (Penalty Awarded),
- 38', 🟨,
- 38', 🟨,
- 45+2', 🟨,
- 45+5', 2 - 1, Simkus D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', El Fanis M. ↓, Mbong J. ↑,
- 46', Bulevardi D. ↓, Bjelicic O. ↑,
- 54', 🟨,
- 55', Emerson 🟥,
- 63', Rafael Compri ↓, Xerri S. ↑,
- 63', Carboni M. ↓, Eleke B. ↑,
- 64', Vella J. ↓, Caruana T. ↑,
- 69', Christie-Davies I. ↓, Mihana R. ↑,
- 73', 2 - 2, Mbong J. ⚽,
- 76', Inzoudine Y. ↓, Camenzuli R. ↑,
- 87', Minala J. 🟨,
- 90+7', Dodo ↓, Kirby J. ↑,
- 90+7', Linden R. ↓, Attard E. ↑,
- 90+8', 3 - 2, Caruana T. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Marsaxlokk
18.9% | Draw
26.1% | Hamrun Spartans
55% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marsaxlokk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)Hamrun Spartans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marsaxlokk than the current prediction. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamrun Spartans than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Marsaxlokk - Hamrun Spartans Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.88 ↑
(4.15) |
3.55 ↑
(3.45) |
1.68 ↓
(1.72) |
8.2%
(11.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marsaxlokk won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- In this match, Hamrun is the team to beat.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Marsaxlokk won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 9:18. (average 0.9:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Marsaxlokk won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1:11. (average 0.2:2.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Marsaxlokk won against Hamrun Spartans?
Marsaxlokk has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hamrun Spartans won against Marsaxlokk?
Hamrun Spartans has won 7 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Marsaxlokk - Hamrun Spartans were as follows:
23.02.2026
Hamrun Spartans
-
Marsaxlokk
2:0
14.12.2025
Hamrun Spartans
-
Marsaxlokk
1:3
23.09.2025
Marsaxlokk
-
Hamrun Spartans
0:2
30.04.2025
Marsaxlokk
-
Hamrun Spartans
0:1
05.01.2025
Marsaxlokk
-
Hamrun Spartans
1:6
Latest results of Marsaxlokk
Latest results of Hamrun Spartans
Maltese Premier League Table
Second stage - Top 6 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Floriana | 16 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 28:12 | 16 | 37 |
| 2 | Marsaxlokk | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 22:20 | 2 | 31 |
| 3 | Hamrun | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 26:11 | 15 | 28 |
| 4 | Valletta | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 21:13 | 8 | 24 |
| 5 | Gzira | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17:17 | 0 | 21 |
| 6 | Naxxar | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 23:26 | -3 | 20 |
