Result
2:3
21/09/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 25
- Referee: Ma Ning (Chn)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | Migu, QQ Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 2.04 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 66% | 34% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (487/577) | 74% (214/289) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 2.04 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.76 | 2.51 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 30 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (487/577) | 74% (214/289) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (44/76) | 26% (13/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (97/143) | 66% (78/119) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (4/24) | 31% (4/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 0.99 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (11/15) | 61% (11/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 47 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.51 | 1.76 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.49 | -0.24 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 7', 0 - 1, Leonardo ⚽, Li Shuai (A),
- 45+10', Wang Shenchao 🟨,
- 45+11', 1 - 1, Abreu F. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 51', 1 - 2, Leonardo ⚽,
- 65', Guga ↓, Zhang Yuning ↑,
- 67', Liu Ruofan ↓, Zhang Linpeng ↑,
- 67', Melendo O. ↓, Yang Shiyuan ↑,
- 79', 1 - 3, Leonardo ⚽, Gabrielzinho (A),
- 80', Zhang Yuan ↓, Zhang Xizhe ↑,
- 80', Fan Shuangjie ↓, Wang Gang ↑,
- 81', Leonardo ↓, Li Shenglong ↑,
- 86', 2 - 3, Zhang Xizhe ⚽,
- 87', Cao Yongjing ↓, Fang Hao ↑,
- 88', Wang Shenchao ↓, Fu Huan ↑,
Chances of winning
Beijing Guoan
38.5% | Draw
24.4% | Shanghai Port
37.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Beijing Guoan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)Shanghai Port has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beijing Guoan than the current prediction. (+6.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Beijing Guoan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shanghai Port than the current prediction. (-5.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shanghai Port, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Beijing Guoan - Shanghai Port Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.56 ↑
(2.27) |
3.95 ↓
(4.01) |
2.56 ↓
(2.81) |
3.4%
(4.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Beijing Guoan - Shanghai Port?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Beijing Guoan (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Beijing Guoan will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Beijing Guoan won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Shanghai Port may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Shanghai Port has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Beijing Guoan: Han Jiaqi
(Knee Injury)
Spajic U.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Shanghai Port: Wang Zhenao
(Knee Injury)
Wu Lei
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Beijing Guoan: Muhmet N.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Shanghai Port: Meng Jingchao
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Beijing Guoan won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 22:31. (average 1.1:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Beijing Guoan won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 0.9:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Beijing Guoan won against Shanghai Port?
Beijing Guoan has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Shanghai Port won against Beijing Guoan?
Shanghai Port has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Beijing Guoan - Shanghai Port were as follows:
01.05.2025
Shanghai Port
-
Beijing Guoan
1:2
12.07.2024
Shanghai Port
-
Beijing Guoan
5:1
05.04.2024
Beijing Guoan
-
Shanghai Port
2:2
20.10.2023
Shanghai Port
-
Beijing Guoan
1:2
29.06.2023
Beijing Guoan
-
Shanghai Port
1:2
Latest results of Beijing Guoan
Latest results of Shanghai Port
Chinese Super League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Shanghai Port | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 63:38 | 25 | 57 |
| 2 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 26 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 53:22 | 31 | 55 |
| 3 | Shanghai Shenhua | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 59:31 | 28 | 54 |
| 4 | Beijing Guoan | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 57:39 | 18 | 51 |
| 5 | Shandong Taishan | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 57:41 | 16 | 43 |
| 6 | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 36:32 | 4 | 43 |
| 7 | Zhejiang Professional | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 54:42 | 12 | 39 |
| 8 | Qingdao West Coast | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 35:38 | -3 | 36 |
| 9 | Dalian Yingbo | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 26:40 | -14 | 33 |
| 10 | Yunnan Yukun | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 39:50 | -11 | 32 |
| 11 | Henan Songshan Longmen | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 45:44 | 1 | 29 |
| 12 | Wuhan Three Towns | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 32:54 | -22 | 24 |
| 13 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 26 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 30:55 | -25 | 20 |
| 14 | Meizhou Hakka | 26 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 31:57 | -26 | 20 |
| 15 | Qingdao Hainiu | 26 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 25:40 | -15 | 18 |
| 16 | Changchun Yatai | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 24:43 | -19 | 18 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ Jia League
