Result
1:2
29/06/2025 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 16
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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China | Migu |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.30 | 1.88 |
Ball Possession |
---|
50% | 50% |
Total shots |
---|
12 | 15 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 5 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 5 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 7 |
Passes |
---|
76% (282/370) | 78% (281/360) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.30 | 1.88 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.28 | 1.15 |
Total shots |
---|
12 | 15 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 5 |
Shots off target |
---|
5 | 7 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
10 | 9 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
2 | 6 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 5 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 7 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
19 | 18 |
Accurate through passes |
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0 | 2 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
---|
19 | 18 |
Passes |
---|
76% (282/370) | 78% (281/360) |
Long passes |
---|
40% (25/63) | 35% (19/55) |
Passes in final third |
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53% (50/95) | 60% (55/91) |
Crosses |
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29% (6/21) | 26% (6/23) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.67 | 1.43 |
Throw-ins |
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21 | 26 |
Fouls |
---|
18 | 19 |
Tackles |
---|
62% (8/13) | 50% (5/10) |
Duels won |
---|
53 | 57 |
Clearances |
---|
23 | 29 |
Interceptions |
---|
9 | 9 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.15 | 1.28 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.85 | -0.22 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 32', 0 - 1, Zhu Chenjie ⚽, Gao Tianyi (A),
- 44', 0 - 2, Teixeira J. ⚽, Andre Luis (A),
- 45+1', Abdugheni Abduhamit 🟨,
- 45+3', Rosic L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Wang Yu ↓, Piao Taoyu ↑,
- 53', 1 - 2, Tan Long ⚽, Zhao Yingjie (A),
- 57', Piao Taoyu 🟨,
- 64', Andre Luis 🟨,
- 64', Gao Tianyi ↓, Xu Haoyang ↑,
- 70', Zhao Yingjie ↓, Zhang Huachen ↑,
- 75', Liu Chengyu ↓, Yang Haoyu ↑,
- 75', Teixeira J. ↓, Amadou I. ↑,
- 82', He Yiran ↓, Li Shenyuan ↑,
- 88', Omoijuanfo O. ↓, Tian Yuda ↑,
- 90+1', Xue Qinghao 🟨,
Chances of winning
Changchun Yatai 10.4% | Draw 17.4% | Shanghai Shenhua 72.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Changchun Yatai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)Shanghai Shenhua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Changchun Yatai than the current prediction. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shanghai Shenhua than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Changchun Yatai - Shanghai Shenhua Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
8.44 ↑ (7.5) |
5.35 ↑ (5) |
1.32 ↓ (1.35) |
6.4% (7.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Changchun Yatai - Shanghai Shenhua?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Changchun Yatai will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Shanghai Shenhua will win (votes: 10 - 83.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shanghai Shenhua: 62.2% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Changchun Yatai (votes: 1 - 50%). Shanghai Shenhua (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Jia League and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Changchun Yatai won 0.
- Changchun Yatai has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Shanghai Shenhua is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Shanghai Shenhua may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Shanghai Shenhua has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Shanghai Shenhua is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in Changchun Yatai: Cyprien W.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Shanghai Shenhua: Dai Wai-Tsun
(Knee Injury)
Saulo Mineiro
(Inactive)
Wang Shilong
(Inactive)
Xie Pengfei
(Inactive)
Yu Hanchao
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Changchun Yatai: Zhou Junchen
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Changchun Yatai won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 22:29. (average 1.1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Changchun Yatai won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.2:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Changchun Yatai won against Shanghai Shenhua?
Changchun Yatai has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Shanghai Shenhua won against Changchun Yatai?
Shanghai Shenhua has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Changchun Yatai - Shanghai Shenhua were as follows:
22.02.2025
Shanghai Shenhua
-
Changchun Yatai
2:1
13.07.2024
Shanghai Shenhua
-
Changchun Yatai
3:2
05.04.2024
Changchun Yatai
-
Shanghai Shenhua
1:2
22.07.2023
Changchun Yatai
-
Shanghai Shenhua
1:1
03.11.2022
Changchun Yatai
-
Shanghai Shenhua
0:0
Latest results of Changchun Yatai
Latest results of Shanghai Shenhua
Chinese Super League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Shanghai Shenhua | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 39:17 | 22 | 41 |
2 | Beijing Guoan | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 38:18 | 20 | 38 |
3 | Shanghai Port | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 39:21 | 18 | 37 |
4 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 33:15 | 18 | 34 |
5 | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 25:25 | 0 | 28 |
6 | Shandong Taishan | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 33:29 | 4 | 25 |
7 | Zhejiang Professional | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 32:26 | 6 | 23 |
8 | Dalian Yingbo | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 17:24 | -7 | 23 |
9 | Qingdao West Coast | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 22:25 | -3 | 22 |
10 | Yunnan Yukun | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 23:27 | -4 | 22 |
11 | Wuhan Three Towns | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 23:31 | -8 | 20 |
12 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 21:35 | -14 | 17 |
13 | Henan Songshan Longmen | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 25:30 | -5 | 16 |
14 | Meizhou Hakka | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 22:36 | -14 | 13 |
15 | Qingdao Hainiu | 17 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 13:29 | -16 | 8 |
16 | Changchun Yatai | 17 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 15:32 | -17 | 8 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ Jia League