Result
1:2
29/06/2025 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 16
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | Migu |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 1.88 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (282/370) | 78% (281/360) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 1.88 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 1.15 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (282/370) | 78% (281/360) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (25/63) | 35% (19/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 53% (50/95) | 60% (55/91) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (6/21) | 26% (6/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 1.43 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (8/13) | 50% (5/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.15 | 1.28 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.85 | -0.22 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 32', 0 - 1, Zhu Chenjie ⚽, Gao Tianyi (A),
- 44', 0 - 2, Teixeira J. ⚽, Andre Luis (A),
- 45+1', Abdugheni Abduhamit 🟨,
- 45+3', Rosic L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Wang Yu ↓, Piao Taoyu ↑,
- 53', 1 - 2, Tan Long ⚽, Zhao Yingjie (A),
- 57', Piao Taoyu 🟨,
- 64', Andre Luis 🟨,
- 64', Gao Tianyi ↓, Xu Haoyang ↑,
- 70', Zhao Yingjie ↓, Zhang Huachen ↑,
- 75', Liu Chengyu ↓, Yang Haoyu ↑,
- 75', Teixeira J. ↓, Amadou I. ↑,
- 82', He Yiran ↓, Li Shenyuan ↑,
- 88', Omoijuanfo O. ↓, Tian Yuda ↑,
- 90+1', Xue Qinghao 🟨,
Chances of winning
Changchun Yatai
10.4% | Draw
17.4% | Shanghai Shenhua
72.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Changchun Yatai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)Shanghai Shenhua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Changchun Yatai than the current prediction. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shanghai Shenhua than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Changchun Yatai - Shanghai Shenhua Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
8.44 ↑
(7.5) |
5.35 ↑
(5) |
1.32 ↓
(1.35) |
6.4%
(7.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Changchun Yatai - Shanghai Shenhua?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Changchun Yatai will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Shanghai Shenhua will win (votes: 10 - 83.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shanghai Shenhua: 62.2% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Changchun Yatai (votes: 1 - 50%). Shanghai Shenhua (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Jia League and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Changchun Yatai won 0.
- Changchun Yatai has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Shanghai Shenhua is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Shanghai Shenhua may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Shanghai Shenhua has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Shanghai Shenhua is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in Changchun Yatai: Cyprien W.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Shanghai Shenhua: Dai Wai-Tsun
(Knee Injury)
Saulo Mineiro
(Inactive)
Wang Shilong
(Inactive)
Xie Pengfei
(Inactive)
Yu Hanchao
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Changchun Yatai: Zhou Junchen
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Changchun Yatai won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 22:29. (average 1.1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Changchun Yatai won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.2:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Changchun Yatai won against Shanghai Shenhua?
Changchun Yatai has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Shanghai Shenhua won against Changchun Yatai?
Shanghai Shenhua has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Changchun Yatai - Shanghai Shenhua were as follows:
22.02.2025
Shanghai Shenhua
-
Changchun Yatai
2:1
13.07.2024
Shanghai Shenhua
-
Changchun Yatai
3:2
05.04.2024
Changchun Yatai
-
Shanghai Shenhua
1:2
22.07.2023
Changchun Yatai
-
Shanghai Shenhua
1:1
03.11.2022
Changchun Yatai
-
Shanghai Shenhua
0:0
Latest results of Changchun Yatai
Latest results of Shanghai Shenhua
Chinese Super League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Shanghai Port | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 51:27 | 24 | 47 |
| 2 | Shanghai Shenhua | 20 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 47:25 | 22 | 45 |
| 3 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 39:16 | 23 | 43 |
| 4 | Beijing Guoan | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 44:25 | 19 | 42 |
| 5 | Shandong Taishan | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 39:32 | 7 | 31 |
| 6 | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 27:29 | -2 | 30 |
| 7 | Zhejiang Professional | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 42:34 | 8 | 29 |
| 8 | Yunnan Yukun | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 33:38 | -5 | 29 |
| 9 | Dalian Yingbo | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 21:26 | -5 | 29 |
| 10 | Qingdao West Coast | 20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 26:28 | -2 | 27 |
| 11 | Wuhan Three Towns | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 27:38 | -11 | 21 |
| 12 | Henan Songshan Longmen | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 33:40 | -7 | 19 |
| 13 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 20 | 5 | 2 | 13 | 25:46 | -21 | 17 |
| 14 | Meizhou Hakka | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 26:44 | -18 | 16 |
| 15 | Qingdao Hainiu | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 20:32 | -12 | 14 |
| 16 | Changchun Yatai | 20 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 16:36 | -20 | 9 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ Jia League
