Guangzhou Long-Lions vs Shanxi Zhongyu – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

23/03/2026 at 07:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Tianhe Gymnasium (Guangzhou).

CBA

Match Stats


Field goals attempts
57	73
Field goals made
32	34
Field goals %
56.14%	46.58%
2-point field goals attempts
35	40
2-point field goals made
21	19
2-point field goals %
60%	47.5%
3-point field goals attempts
22	33
3-point field goals made
11	15
3-point field goals %
50%	45.45%
Free throws attempts
28	16
Free throws made
24	15
Free throws %
85.7%	93.8%
Offensive rebounds
9	19
Defensive rebounds
19	18
Total rebounds
28	37
Assists
25	15
Blocks
1	1
Turnovers
11	12
Steals
7	5
Personal fouls
19	24

Chances of winning

Guangzhou Long-Lions
45.7%

Shanxi Zhongyu
54.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

66.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

62.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guangzhou Long-Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guangzhou Long-Lions's performance.

Shanxi Zhongyu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shanxi Zhongyu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guangzhou Long-Lions than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guangzhou Long-Lions that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shanxi Zhongyu than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shanxi Zhongyu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Guangzhou Long-Lions - Shanxi Zhongyu Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.75)		1.76 ↑ (1.4)	5.9% (7.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 181.25

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

What is the prediction for Guangzhou Long-Lions - Shanxi Zhongyu?

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Guangzhou will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Shanxi will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Guangzhou (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Shanxi (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 176.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -4.5, OT - Shanxi (1.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0, OT - Shanxi (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5, OT - Shanxi (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -2.5, OT - Shanxi (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -3.5, OT - Shanxi (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -5.5, OT - Shanxi (1.29) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - Shanxi (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -2 - Shanxi (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -2.5 - Shanxi (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -3 - Shanxi (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -3.5 - Shanxi (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 14 high ROI users predict this event. Guangzhou (votes: 1 - 7.1%). Shanxi (votes: 13 - 92.9%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 90:92.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guangzhou won 1.
Guangzhou is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Shanxi's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Guangzhou may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Shanxi could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Guangzhou won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 2071:2080. (average 103.6:104).
Including home matches between the teams, Guangzhou won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 978:1003. (average 108.7:111.4).

How many head-to-head matches has Guangzhou Long-Lions won against Shanxi Zhongyu?

Guangzhou Long-Lions has won 5 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Shanxi Zhongyu won against Guangzhou Long-Lions?

Shanxi Zhongyu has won 5 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Guangzhou Long-Lions - Shanxi Zhongyu were as follows:

02.01.2026 Shanxi Zhongyu - Guangzhou Long-Lions 70:74

07.12.2025 Shanxi Zhongyu - Guangzhou Long-Lions 80:73

03.12.2025 Shanxi Zhongyu - Guangzhou Long-Lions 85:82

20.01.2025 Shanxi Zhongyu - Guangzhou Long-Lions 124:116

07.12.2024 Guangzhou Long-Lions - Shanxi Zhongyu 104:130

Latest results of Guangzhou Long-Lions

21.03.2026 Ningbo Rockets - Guangzhou Long-Lions 83:95 ✺

18.03.2026 Liaoning Dinosaurs - Guangzhou Long-Lions 97:86 ✺

16.03.2026 Shenzhen Leopards - Guangzhou Long-Lions 97:96 ✺

14.03.2026 Guangzhou Long-Lions - Beijing Ducks 85:98 ✺

12.03.2026 Guangzhou Long-Lions - Ningbo Rockets 83:84 ✺

Latest results of Shanxi Zhongyu

21.03.2026 Fujian Xunxing - Shanxi Zhongyu 98:100 ✺

17.03.2026 Shanxi Zhongyu - Beijing Royal Fighters 107:102 ✺

15.03.2026 Jilin Northeast Tigers - Shanxi Zhongyu 96:90 ✺

13.03.2026 Liaoning Dinosaurs - Shanxi Zhongyu 92:84 ✺

11.03.2026 Shanxi Zhongyu - Jilin Northeast Tigers 85:74 ✺

CBA Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	L		PCT
1	Shanghai	36	32	4	3590:2966	0.889
2	Zhejiang Guangsha	36	29	7	3272:2904	0.806
3	Shenzhen	35	24	11	3445:3275	0.686
4	Beijing	36	24	12	3257:3018	0.667
5	Guangdong	36	24	12	3409:3211	0.667
6	Shandong	36	23	13	3418:3238	0.639
7	Zhejiang Chouzhou	35	21	14	3042:2878	0.600
8	Qingdao	36	21	15	3170:3030	0.583
9	Liaoning	36	20	16	3085:3003	0.556
10	Ningbo Rockets	36	19	17	3096:3047	0.528
11	Shanxi Zhongyu	35	18	17	3210:3136	0.514
12	Jilin	36	15	21	3013:3215	0.417
13	Beijing Royal Fighters	36	15	21	3212:3383	0.417
14	Guangzhou	36	14	22	3136:3212	0.389
15	Xinjiang	36	13	23	3070:3112	0.361
16	Fujian	36	13	23	3285:3396	0.361
17	Nanjing Tongxi	36	13	23	3277:3433	0.361
18	Jiangsu Dragons	35	10	25	2855:3188	0.286
19	Tianjin	36	10	26	3334:3497	0.278
20	Sichuan	36	0	36	2543:3577	0.000

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