Result
27/06/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier Division - Round 22
- Referee: O'Sullivan K. (Irl)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Ireland | LOI TV |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.67 | 1.09 |
Ball Possession |
---|
42% | 58% |
Total shots |
---|
14 | 17 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 5 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 8 |
Passes |
---|
67% (212/315) | 79% (338/429) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 4 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.67 | 1.09 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.83 | 0.99 |
Total shots |
---|
14 | 17 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 5 |
Shots off target |
---|
6 | 7 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 5 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
10 | 10 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
4 | 7 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 8 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
26 | 21 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 1 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
12 | 10 |
Passes |
---|
67% (212/315) | 79% (338/429) |
Long passes |
---|
36% (27/75) | 31% (22/71) |
Passes in final third |
---|
54% (65/120) | 52% (52/100) |
Crosses |
---|
26% (6/23) | 14% (3/21) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.62 | 0.91 |
Throw-ins |
---|
23 | 21 |
Fouls |
---|
10 | 12 |
Tackles |
---|
73% (8/11) | 73% (8/11) |
Duels won |
---|
34 | 40 |
Clearances |
---|
33 | 39 |
Interceptions |
---|
6 | 5 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
4 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.99 | 1.83 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.01 | 0.83 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 25', 0 - 1, Odubeko A. ⚽, Lunney J. (A),
- 29', Shaw M. 🟨,
- 32', Walsh S. 🟨,
- 33', Kelly D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Brouder K. ↓, Borden V. ↑,
- 50', Wood H. 🟨,
- 57', Cunningham G. ↓, Burns B. ↑,
- 62', Norris J. ↓, Wilson T. ↑,
- 62', Wood H. ↓, McInroy K. ↑,
- 62', Kelly D. ↓, Caffrey E. ↑,
- 72', Shaw M. ↓, Tollett C. ↑,
- 75', Lunney J. ↓, Coyle M. ↑,
- 82', McCarthy E. ↓, McCormack C. ↑,
- 82', Hurley D. ↓, Donelon R. ↑,
- 83', Gannon S. 🟨,
- 84', 1 - 1, Burns B. ⚽,
- 85', Coyle M. 🟨,
- 90', Chapman E. ↓, Coote A. ↑,
- 90+4', McCormack C. ↓, Horgan C. ↑,
- 90+4', Odubeko A. ↓, Martin J. ↑,
- 90+5', Clarke B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Galway United 31.7% | Draw 31% | Shelbourne 37.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Galway United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Galway United's form might have worsened.Shelbourne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shelbourne's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Galway United than the current prediction. (+6.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Galway United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shelbourne than the current prediction. (-7.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shelbourne, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Galway United - Shelbourne Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.89 ↑ (2.39) |
3 ↑ (2.98) |
2.53 ↓ (3.19) |
7.6% (6.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Galway United - Shelbourne?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Galway United will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Shelbourne will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Galway United: 23.1% – 88.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Shelbourne (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Galway United won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Shelbourne may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Galway United: Dyer M.
(Red Card)
Keohane J.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Galway United won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 15:36. (average 0.8:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Galway United won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:17. (average 1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Galway United won against Shelbourne?
Galway United has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Shelbourne won against Galway United?
Shelbourne has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Galway United - Shelbourne were as follows:
21.04.2025
Shelbourne
-
Galway United
2:2
03.03.2025
Galway United
-
Shelbourne
1:1
20.09.2024
Galway United
-
Shelbourne
1:0
16.08.2024
Shelbourne
-
Galway United
2:1
28.06.2024
Shelbourne
-
Galway United
2:0
Latest results of Galway United
Latest results of Shelbourne
Irish Premier Division Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Shamrock Rovers | 25 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 44:23 | 21 | 49 |
2 | Bohemians | 26 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 31:24 | 7 | 42 |
3 | Derry City | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 36:27 | 9 | 41 |
4 | Drogheda | 26 | 10 | 11 | 5 | 30:25 | 5 | 41 |
5 | Shelbourne | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 32:27 | 5 | 38 |
6 | St. Patricks | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 29:27 | 2 | 35 |
7 | Waterford | 26 | 10 | 3 | 13 | 32:46 | -14 | 33 |
8 | Galway | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 29:35 | -6 | 29 |
9 | Sligo Rovers | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 33:43 | -10 | 26 |
10 | Cork City | 26 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 27:46 | -19 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Division 1