Shamrock Rovers vs Shelbourne – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Irish Premier Division Shamrock Rovers - Shelbourne
Result
0:1
10/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier Division - Round 28

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.921.10
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
1711
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
16
Passes
85% (480/564)82% (306/372)
Yellow Cards
13
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.921.10
xG on target (xGOT)
1.030.27
Total shots
1711
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
86
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
116
Shots outside the Box
65
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
16
Touches in opposition box
2620
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1910
Passes
85% (480/564)82% (306/372)
Long passes
38% (23/61)52% (32/61)
Passes in final third
69% (119/172)73% (83/114)
Crosses
24% (5/21)20% (3/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.880.65
Throw-ins
1915
Fouls
1019
Tackles
55% (6/11)75% (12/16)
Duels won
3837
Clearances
1034
Interceptions
415
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
0.271.03
Goals prevented
-0.731.03

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 33', 0 - 1, McInroy K. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 64', Henry-Francis J. , Coote A. ,
  • 65', Clarke T. , Kavanagh S. ,
  • 65', Gaffney R. , Malley C. ,
  • 65', Watts D. , McGovern J. ,
  • 72', Odubeko A. , Martin J. ,
  • 73', Caffrey E. , Coyle M. ,
  • 74', Nugent D. 🟨,
  • 75', Coote A. 🟨,
  • 78', Barrett P. 🟥,
  • 81', Wood H. , Temple L. ,
  • 83', Mbeng M. 🟨,
  • 86', Speel W. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Shamrock Rovers
46.1%
Draw
31.1%
Shelbourne
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.2% 27.1% 19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2% 26.6% 19.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Shamrock Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shamrock Rovers's form might have worsened.
  • Shelbourne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shamrock Rovers than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shamrock Rovers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shelbourne than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • Shamrock Rovers - Shelbourne Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.03
    (1.76)
    3.02
    (3.46)
    4.17
    (4.74)
    6.5%
    (6.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Shamrock Rovers - Shelbourne?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Shamrock will win (votes: 12 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Shamrock: 44.9%88.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Shamrock (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Postponed due to european competitions.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shamrock won 2.
    • Shamrock is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Shelbourne has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Shamrock is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Shamrock: McEneff A. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Shelbourne: Boyd S. (Calf Injury) Henry-Francis J. (Inactive) Wilson T. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shamrock won 10 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 28:16. (average 1.4:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Shamrock won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:9. (average 1.6:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Shamrock Rovers - Shelbourne were as follows:
    13.06.2025 Shelbourne - Shamrock Rovers 1:2
    25.04.2025 Shamrock Rovers - Shelbourne 2:2
    28.02.2025 Shelbourne - Shamrock Rovers 1:1
    06.10.2024 Shamrock Rovers - Shelbourne 2:0
    24.05.2024 Shamrock Rovers - Shelbourne 0:2
    Latest results of Shamrock Rovers
    Latest results of Shelbourne
    02.10.2025 Shelbourne - Häcken 0:0
    19.09.2025 Derry City - Shelbourne 1:1
    07.09.2025 Shelbourne - Galway United 1:0
    Irish Premier Division Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Shamrock Rovers33189653:292463
    2Derry City34169949:381157
    3Shelbourne341413745:351055
    4Bohemians331551342:35750
    5Drogheda341214836:33350
    6St. Patricks3313101041:311049
    7Galway339101435:41-637
    8Sligo Rovers341071739:52-1337
    9Waterford341141939:58-1937
    10Cork City ✔ 344111932:59-2723

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Premier Division (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Division 1

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Cork City is Relegated to Division 1