Result
3:2
06/04/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier Division - Round 10
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ireland | LOI TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 0.95 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (427/491) | 86% (425/495) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 0.95 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.23 | 1.21 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (427/491) | 86% (425/495) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (27/53) | 35% (19/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (55/90) | 75% (72/96) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (2/9) | 20% (2/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.35 | 0.38 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 12 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 93% (13/14) | 91% (10/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 34 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 5 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.21 | 2.23 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.79 | -0.77 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 31', 0 - 1, Coote A. ⚽,
- 43', McInroy K. 🟨,
- 44', 1 - 1, Lopes R. ⚽, Byrne J. (A),
- 45+1', 2 - 1, Noonan M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Coote A. ↓, Lundgren M. ↑,
- 57', 3 - 1, Burke G. ⚽,
- 58', Byrne J. ↓, O'Sullivan J. ↑,
- 58', Asamoah M. ↓, Grant D. ↑,
- 64', Norris J. ↓, Freitas R. ↑,
- 64', Jarvis W. ↓, Martin J. ↑,
- 72', Mulraney J. ↓, Matthews A. ↑,
- 76', Gannon S. ↓, Roche J. ↑,
- 76', McInroy K. ↓, Kelly D. ↑,
- 79', 3 - 2, Henry-Francis J. ⚽, Lundgren M. (A),
- 80', Burke G. ↓, Greene A. ↑,
- 80', Ozhianvuna V. ↓, Razi N. ↑,
- 85', Martin J. 🟨,
- 89', Grant D. 🟨,
- 90+2', Healy M. 🟨,
- 90+5', Lundgren M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Shamrock Rovers
50.6% | Draw
28.2% | Shelbourne
21.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shamrock Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)Shelbourne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shamrock Rovers than the current prediction. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shelbourne than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
Shamrock Rovers - Shelbourne Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.86 ↓
(2.07) |
3.31
(3.31) |
4.42 ↑
(3.66) |
6.6%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Shamrock Rovers - Shelbourne?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Shamrock will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Shelbourne will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shamrock: 19.1% – 73.3%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 5)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shamrock won 1.
- Shamrock is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- In recent matches, Shelbourne has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, Shamrock has had a series of away games.
- Shamrock is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Shamrock: Cleary D.
(Injury)
Gaffney R.
(Ankle Injury)
Kovalevskis M.
(Muscle Injury)
Watts D.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Shelbourne: Casey O.
(Inactive)
Mbeng M.
(Injury)
Moore S.
(Inactive)
Odubeko M.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shamrock won 8 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 26:17. (average 1.3:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Shamrock won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Shamrock Rovers won against Shelbourne?
Shamrock Rovers has won 4 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Shelbourne won against Shamrock Rovers?
Shelbourne has won 3 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Shamrock Rovers - Shelbourne were as follows:
09.03.2026
Shelbourne
-
Shamrock Rovers
2:2
10.10.2025
Shamrock Rovers
-
Shelbourne
0:1
13.06.2025
Shelbourne
-
Shamrock Rovers
1:2
25.04.2025
Shamrock Rovers
-
Shelbourne
2:2
28.02.2025
Shelbourne
-
Shamrock Rovers
1:1
Latest results of Shamrock Rovers
Latest results of Shelbourne
Irish Premier Division Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | St. Patricks | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 18:8 | 10 | 20 |
| 2 | Bohemians | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 12:4 | 8 | 20 |
| 3 | Shamrock Rovers | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 16:9 | 7 | 19 |
| 4 | Dundalk | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 18:13 | 5 | 17 |
| 5 | Galway | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13:14 | -1 | 14 |
| 6 | Shelbourne | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15:15 | 0 | 13 |
| 7 | Derry City | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 10 |
| 8 | Drogheda | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 10 |
| 9 | Sligo Rovers | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4:16 | -12 | 5 |
| 10 | Waterford | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 8:21 | -13 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Division 1
