Result
1:0
01/05/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier Division - Round 14
- Referee: Keating L. (Irl)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ireland | LOI TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.74 | 0.29 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 66% | 34% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (480/574) | 69% (198/289) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.74 | 0.29 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.80 | 0.23 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 40 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (480/574) | 69% (198/289) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (24/54) | 36% (28/77) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (174/225) | 46% (38/83) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 10% (2/20) | 29% (4/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.64 | 0.28 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 87% (13/15) | 76% (16/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.23 | 1.80 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.23 | 0.80 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 25', 1 - 0, Burke G. ⚽, Stevens E. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 64', Mulraney J. ↓, Matthews A. ↑,
- 64', Byrne J. ↓, Watts D. ↑,
- 68', Brennan A. ↓, Asamoah M. ↑,
- 68', Burke G. ↓, Greene A. ↑,
- 68', Lopes R. ↓, Grace L. ↑,
- 71', Carty C. ↓, Voilas J. ↑,
- 71', Amond P. ↓, Glenfield S. ↑,
- 77', McLaughlin E. ↓, Coyle T. ↑,
- 83', McMenamy D. ↓, Lonergan T. ↑,
- 83', Houston J. ↓, Faria J. ↑,
- 85', Noonan M. 🟨,
- 90', Glenfield S. 🟨,
- 90+3', Stevens E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Shamrock Rovers
74.3% | Draw
16.5% | Waterford
9.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shamrock Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)Waterford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
Shamrock Rovers - Waterford Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.26 ↑
(1.24) |
5.62 ↓
(5.95) |
10.02 ↓
(10.5) |
7.3%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Shamrock Rovers - Waterford?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Shamrock will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Waterford will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shamrock: 23.1% – 88.1%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Shamrock (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5 - Waterford (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Shamrock (votes: 1 - 50%). Waterford (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shamrock won 4.
- Shamrock is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Waterford has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Shamrock is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Shamrock: Gaffney R.
(Ankle Injury)
Mandroiu D.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Shamrock: Healy M.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Waterford: Armstrong F.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shamrock won 17 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 47:16. (average 2.4:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Shamrock won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 21:7. (average 2.3:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Shamrock Rovers won against Waterford?
Shamrock Rovers has won 6 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Waterford won against Shamrock Rovers?
Waterford has won 1 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Shamrock Rovers - Waterford were as follows:
03.04.2026
Waterford
-
Shamrock Rovers
1:1
22.09.2025
Waterford
-
Shamrock Rovers
1:2
27.06.2025
Shamrock Rovers
-
Waterford
0:0
16.05.2025
Waterford
-
Shamrock Rovers
1:3
11.04.2025
Shamrock Rovers
-
Waterford
2:0
Latest results of Shamrock Rovers
Latest results of Waterford
Irish Premier Division Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 20:11 | 9 | 28 |
| 2 | St. Patricks | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 26:13 | 13 | 27 |
| 3 | Bohemians | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 16:12 | 4 | 21 |
| 4 | Dundalk | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 23:20 | 3 | 21 |
| 5 | Derry City | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 18:17 | 1 | 18 |
| 6 | Shelbourne | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 21:22 | -1 | 16 |
| 7 | Galway | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 17:19 | -2 | 16 |
| 8 | Drogheda | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 16 |
| 9 | Sligo Rovers | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 10:18 | -8 | 14 |
| 10 | Waterford | 13 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 9:25 | -16 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Division 1
