Result
3:1
17/10/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier Division - Round 34
- Referee: Norton P. (Irl)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ireland | LOI TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 1.38 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (445/524) | 80% (362/455) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 1.38 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.25 | 0.97 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (445/524) | 80% (362/455) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (19/50) | 39% (25/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (97/135) | 60% (80/133) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (4/14) | 10% (2/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 0.50 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 11 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (10/20) | 33% (5/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.97 | 2.25 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.03 | -0.75 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 20', 0 - 1, Kavanagh C. ⚽,
- 30', 1 - 1, Odubeko A. ⚽, McInroy K. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Wilson T. ↓, Ledwidge K. ↑,
- 46', Mbeng M. ↓, Caffrey E. ↑,
- 46', Kavanagh C. ↓, Manning R. ↑,
- 58', Lunney J. ↓, Wood H. ↑,
- 63', Coote A. ↓, Boyd S. ↑,
- 74', Odubeko A. ↓, Martin J. ↑,
- 81', Stewart S. ↓, McDonagh K. ↑,
- 81', 2 - 1, Kelly D. ⚽,
- 82', Denham O. 🟨,
- 90', McManus J. ↓, Waweru W. ↑,
- 90+1', 3 - 1, Martin J. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Shelbourne
59.4% | Draw
23.9% | Sligo Rovers
16.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shelbourne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)Sligo Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shelbourne than the current prediction. (+6.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shelbourne, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sligo Rovers than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Shelbourne - Sligo Rovers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.71 ↑
(1.45) |
4.17 ↓
(4.43) |
5.74 ↓
(6.28) |
-0.3%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Shelbourne - Sligo Rovers?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Shelbourne will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Sligo Rovers will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Shelbourne (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shelbourne won 3.
- Shelbourne is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Sligo Rovers's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Shelbourne may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Shelbourne is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in Shelbourne: Bone S.
(Injury)
Kearns C.
(Hamstring Injury)
Moore S.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shelbourne won 10 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 23:23. (average 1.2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Shelbourne won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.1:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Shelbourne won against Sligo Rovers?
Shelbourne has won 7 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sligo Rovers won against Shelbourne?
Sligo Rovers has won 3 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Shelbourne - Sligo Rovers were as follows:
02.08.2025
Sligo Rovers
-
Shelbourne
0:2
23.05.2025
Shelbourne
-
Sligo Rovers
3:2
28.03.2025
Sligo Rovers
-
Shelbourne
1:2
27.09.2024
Shelbourne
-
Sligo Rovers
0:0
10.08.2024
Sligo Rovers
-
Shelbourne
2:1
Latest results of Shelbourne
Latest results of Sligo Rovers
Irish Premier Division Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bohemians | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 7 |
| 2 | Drogheda | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Shamrock Rovers | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | Derry City | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 5 | Dundalk | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4:4 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Shelbourne | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 2 |
| 7 | Waterford | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 2 |
| 8 | Galway | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 9 | St. Patricks | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 1 |
| 10 | Sligo Rovers | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:6 | -5 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Division 1
