Result
0:1
21/03/2026 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier Division - Round 8
- Referee: Lynch M. (Irl)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ireland | LOI TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 0.88 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (285/389) | 76% (312/411) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 0.88 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.33 | 0.34 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (285/389) | 76% (312/411) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (28/84) | 52% (50/97) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 52% (61/117) | 65% (110/168) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (6/26) | 35% (6/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 0.66 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 28 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (19/27) | 71% (20/28) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 68 | 61 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 47 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.34 | 0.33 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.66 | 0.33 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 45+1', Fitzgerald W. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 63', 0 - 1, Kelly D. ⚽,
- 67', Coote A. ↓, Lundgren M. ↑,
- 70', Nolan A. ↓, Traore M. ↑,
- 70', McHugh C. ↓, McElroy G. ↑,
- 76', Martin J. ↓, Boyd S. ↑,
- 77', Norris J. ↓, Gannon S. ↑,
- 79', McManus J. ↓, Harkin C. ↑,
- 86', Kelly D. ↓, Caffrey E. ↑,
- 86', Henry-Francis J. ↓, Lunney J. ↑,
- 90', McInroy K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sligo Rovers
20.3% | Draw
27% | Shelbourne
52.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sligo Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)Shelbourne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sligo Rovers than the current prediction. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shelbourne than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Sligo Rovers - Shelbourne Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.56 ↑
(4.33) |
3.46 ↓
(3.68) |
1.77 ↓
(1.8) |
7.4%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Sligo Rovers - Shelbourne?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Sligo Rovers will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Shelbourne will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Premier Division (Relegation) and 5).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sligo Rovers won 0.
- Recent form of Sligo Rovers has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Shelbourne has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Shelbourne is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Sligo Rovers: Blaney S.
(Inactive)
Hakiki J.
(Injury)
Reynolds C.
(Muscle Injury)
Stewart S.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Shelbourne: Barrett P.
(Inactive)
Casey O.
(Inactive)
Moore S.
(Groin Injury)
Odubeko M.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Sligo Rovers: O'Kane R.
(Injury)
Patton D.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sligo Rovers won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 22:26. (average 1.1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sligo Rovers won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Sligo Rovers won against Shelbourne?
Sligo Rovers has won 3 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Shelbourne won against Sligo Rovers?
Shelbourne has won 8 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sligo Rovers - Shelbourne were as follows:
17.10.2025
Shelbourne
-
Sligo Rovers
3:1
02.08.2025
Sligo Rovers
-
Shelbourne
0:2
23.05.2025
Shelbourne
-
Sligo Rovers
3:2
28.03.2025
Sligo Rovers
-
Shelbourne
1:2
27.09.2024
Shelbourne
-
Sligo Rovers
0:0
Latest results of Sligo Rovers
Latest results of Shelbourne
Irish Premier Division Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 17:9 | 8 | 22 |
| 2 | St. Patricks | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18:9 | 9 | 20 |
| 3 | Bohemians | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 13:6 | 7 | 20 |
| 4 | Dundalk | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 20:15 | 5 | 18 |
| 5 | Galway | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13:14 | -1 | 14 |
| 6 | Shelbourne | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15:15 | 0 | 13 |
| 7 | Derry City | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 14:15 | -1 | 11 |
| 8 | Drogheda | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 10 |
| 9 | Sligo Rovers | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6:17 | -11 | 8 |
| 10 | Waterford | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 8:21 | -13 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Division 1
