Sligo Rovers vs Waterford – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
18/04/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier Division - Round 12
  • Referee: Hunter A. (Nir)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
irelandIrelandLOI TV

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.690.75
Ball possession
54%46%
Total shots
915
Shots on target
24
Big chances
20
Corner kicks
42
Passes
70% (284/407)63% (220/350)
Yellow cards
12
Expected goals (xG)
1.690.75
xG on target (xGOT)
1.081.33
Total shots
915
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
67
Blocked shots
14
Shots inside the box
67
Shots outside the box
38
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
20
Corner kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
1618
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free kicks
912
Passes
70% (284/407)63% (220/350)
Long passes
36% (36/101)32% (27/84)
Passes in final third
53% (74/139)48% (70/145)
Crosses
38% (11/29)36% (5/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.770.95
Throw ins
2525
Fouls
129
Tackles
69% (9/13)75% (9/12)
Duels won
4243
Clearances
2824
Interceptions
167
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
41
xGOT faced
1.331.08
Goals prevented
1.330.08

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 18', 1 - 0, Meekison A. , Fitzgerald W. (A),
  • 36', McMenamy D. 🟨,
  • 41', Voilas J. , Cann H. ,
  • 41', Zborowski A. , Houston J. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 57', 2 - 0, Houston J. (Own goal),
  • 60', McLaughlin E. , Carty C. ,
  • 60', McMenamy D. , Glenfield S. ,
  • 69', Amond P. , Lonergan T. ,
  • 77', McHugh C. , Blaney S. ,
  • 77', Patton D. , Nolan A. ,
  • 79', McManus J. 🟨,
  • 83', Lonergan T. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Sligo Rovers
51.2%
Draw
27.8%
Waterford
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46% 27% 27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2% 23% 31.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sligo Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sligo Rovers's performance.
  • Waterford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Waterford might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sligo Rovers than the current prediction. (-12%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sligo Rovers that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Waterford than the current prediction. (+10.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Waterford could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Sligo Rovers - Waterford Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.89
    (2.03)
    3.57
    (3.46)
    4.88
    (3.46)
    1.3%
    (7.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Sligo Rovers - Waterford?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Sligo Rovers will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Waterford will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 9 in the zone Premier Division (Relegation) and 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sligo Rovers won 3.
    • Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
    • Waterford may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Sligo Rovers could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sligo Rovers won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 21:20. (average 1.1:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sligo Rovers won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 0.9:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sligo Rovers - Waterford were as follows:
    20.02.2026 Waterford - Sligo Rovers 0:0
    22.08.2025 Waterford - Sligo Rovers 1:2
    14.06.2025 Sligo Rovers - Waterford 1:0
    18.04.2025 Waterford - Sligo Rovers 0:4
    15.02.2025 Sligo Rovers - Waterford 2:3
    Latest results of Sligo Rovers
    Latest results of Waterford
    Irish Premier Division Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1St. Patricks1382324:111326
    2Shamrock Rovers1374219:11825
    3Dundalk1356222:18421
    4Bohemians1355315:11420
    5Derry City1345417:16117
    6Galway1243515:17-215
    7Sligo Rovers1342710:17-714
    8Shelbourne1234519:21-213
    9Drogheda1234516:20-413
    10Waterford120579:24-155

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Premier Division (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Division 1