Result
2:0
18/04/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier Division - Round 12
- Referee: Hunter A. (Nir)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Ireland | LOI TV |
Match Stats
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| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.69 | 0.75 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
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| 2 | 4 |
| Big chances |
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| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
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| 70% (284/407) | 63% (220/350) |
| Yellow cards |
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| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
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| 1.69 | 0.75 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 1.08 | 1.33 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
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| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
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| 6 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
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| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
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| 6 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
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| 3 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
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| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 16 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
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| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
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| 9 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (284/407) | 63% (220/350) |
| Long passes |
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| 36% (36/101) | 32% (27/84) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 53% (74/139) | 48% (70/145) |
| Crosses |
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| 38% (11/29) | 36% (5/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
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| 1.77 | 0.95 |
| Throw ins |
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| 25 | 25 |
| Fouls |
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| 12 | 9 |
| Tackles |
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| 69% (9/13) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 43 |
| Clearances |
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| 28 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
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| 16 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
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| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 1.33 | 1.08 |
| Goals prevented |
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| 1.33 | 0.08 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 18', 1 - 0, Meekison A. ⚽, Fitzgerald W. (A),
- 36', McMenamy D. 🟨,
- 41', Voilas J. ↓, Cann H. ↑,
- 41', Zborowski A. ↓, Houston J. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 57', 2 - 0, Houston J. (Own goal),
- 60', McLaughlin E. ↓, Carty C. ↑,
- 60', McMenamy D. ↓, Glenfield S. ↑,
- 69', Amond P. ↓, Lonergan T. ↑,
- 77', McHugh C. ↓, Blaney S. ↑,
- 77', Patton D. ↓, Nolan A. ↑,
- 79', McManus J. 🟨,
- 83', Lonergan T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sligo Rovers 51.2% | Draw 27.8% | Waterford 21% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sligo Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sligo Rovers's performance.Waterford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Waterford might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sligo Rovers than the current prediction. (-12%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sligo Rovers that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Waterford than the current prediction. (+10.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Waterford could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Sligo Rovers - Waterford Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.89 ↓ (2.03) |
3.57 ↑ (3.46) |
4.88 ↑ (3.46) |
1.3% (7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Sligo Rovers - Waterford?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Sligo Rovers will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Waterford will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 9 in the zone Premier Division (Relegation) and 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sligo Rovers won 3.
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- Waterford may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Sligo Rovers could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sligo Rovers won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 21:20. (average 1.1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sligo Rovers won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 0.9:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Sligo Rovers won against Waterford?
Sligo Rovers has won 5 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Waterford won against Sligo Rovers?
Waterford has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sligo Rovers - Waterford were as follows:
20.02.2026
Waterford
-
Sligo Rovers
0:0
22.08.2025
Waterford
-
Sligo Rovers
1:2
14.06.2025
Sligo Rovers
-
Waterford
1:0
18.04.2025
Waterford
-
Sligo Rovers
0:4
15.02.2025
Sligo Rovers
-
Waterford
2:3
Latest results of Sligo Rovers
Latest results of Waterford
Irish Premier Division Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | St. Patricks | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 24:11 | 13 | 26 |
| 2 | Shamrock Rovers | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 19:11 | 8 | 25 |
| 3 | Dundalk | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 22:18 | 4 | 21 |
| 4 | Bohemians | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 15:11 | 4 | 20 |
| 5 | Derry City | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 17:16 | 1 | 17 |
| 6 | Galway | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15:17 | -2 | 15 |
| 7 | Sligo Rovers | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 10:17 | -7 | 14 |
| 8 | Shelbourne | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 19:21 | -2 | 13 |
| 9 | Drogheda | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 16:20 | -4 | 13 |
| 10 | Waterford | 12 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 9:24 | -15 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Division 1