Result
1:3
27/09/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Jia League - Round 24
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | Migu, ZhiBo8 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 0.66 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (270/330) | 75% (183/244) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 0.66 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.97 | 2.15 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 23 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (270/330) | 75% (183/244) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (15/41) | 42% (22/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (67/98) | 54% (36/67) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (2/19) | 50% (10/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 0.90 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 23 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (12/16) | 69% (11/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.15 | 1.97 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.85 | 0.97 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 9', Zhao S. 🟨,
- 18', 0 - 1, Wu Y. ⚽, Deng Chunze (A),
- 42', 0 - 2, Mushekwi N. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Benhaddouche C. ↓, Shi Yucheng ↑,
- 46', Lin F. ↓, Su Yuliang ↑,
- 47', 1 - 2, Nouble J. ⚽,
- 64', Lin Longchang 🟨,
- 66', Zhai Zhaoyu ↓, Song Chen ↑,
- 66', Lei Wenjie ↓, Chen Rong ↑,
- 67', Xie Baoxian ↓, Li Yingjian ↑,
- 71', Dominic Vinicius 🟨,
- 76', Dominic Vinicius ↓, Chen Jiaqi ↑,
- 76', Deng Chunze ↓, Sun Weijia ↑,
- 82', 1 - 3, Mushekwi N. ⚽,
- 83', Zhao Shuhao ↓, Ge Hailun ↑,
- 90+3', Mushekwi N. ↓, Ji Zhengyu ↑,
Chances of winning
Shenzhen Juniors
29.6% | Draw
27.5% | Dalian Kun City
43% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shenzhen Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)Dalian Kun City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shenzhen Juniors than the current prediction. (+4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dalian Kun City than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
Shenzhen Juniors - Dalian Kun City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.12 ↑
(2.72) |
3.36 ↑
(3.3) |
2.15 ↓
(2.3) |
8.4%
(10.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 and 8).
- Shenzhen Juniors is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Dalian Kun City's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Dalian Kun City will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Shenzhen Juniors won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Shenzhen Juniors won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Shenzhen Juniors won against Dalian Kun City?
Shenzhen Juniors has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dalian Kun City won against Shenzhen Juniors?
Dalian Kun City has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Shenzhen Juniors - Dalian Kun City were as follows:
16.05.2025
Dalian Kun City
-
Shenzhen Juniors
2:1
06.10.2024
Dalian Kun City
-
Shenzhen Juniors
1:0
31.08.2024
Shenzhen Juniors
-
Dalian Kun City
1:0
Latest results of Shenzhen Juniors
Latest results of Dalian Kun City
Chinese Jia League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Liaoning Tieren | 24 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 50:25 | 25 | 52 |
| 2 | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 44:30 | 14 | 46 |
| 3 | Guangdong GZ-Power | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 40:29 | 11 | 44 |
| 4 | Yanbian Longding | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 28:20 | 8 | 42 |
| 5 | Dalian K'un City | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 34:28 | 6 | 38 |
| 6 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 32:26 | 6 | 38 |
| 7 | Nantong Zhiyun | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 32:24 | 8 | 36 |
| 8 | Dingnan Ganlian | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 34:28 | 6 | 36 |
| 9 | Suzhou Dongwu | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 21:24 | -3 | 30 |
| 10 | Nanjing City | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 31:32 | -1 | 29 |
| 11 | Shaanxi Union | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 33:37 | -4 | 28 |
| 12 | Shanghai Jiading Huilong | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 21:31 | -10 | 27 |
| 13 | Shenzhen Juniors | 24 | 7 | 2 | 15 | 32:51 | -19 | 23 |
| 14 | Foshan Nanshi | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 22:37 | -15 | 22 |
| 15 | Guangxi Pingguo Haliao | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 19:33 | -14 | 21 |
| 16 | Qingdao Red Lions | 24 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 13:31 | -18 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Super League
Relegation ~ Yi League
