Result
28/06/2025 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 22
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Africa | Sporty TV, StarTimes App |
Australia | Optus Sport |
China | K-Ball |
India | FanCode, FanCode |
Indonesia | PSJ TV |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.62 | 2.18 |
Ball Possession |
---|
47% | 53% |
Total shots |
---|
15 | 16 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 5 |
Passes |
---|
85% (334/391) | 87% (394/455) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.62 | 2.18 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.78 | 1.38 |
Total shots |
---|
15 | 16 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
5 | 6 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
6 | 6 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
10 | 13 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
5 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
25 | 25 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
11 | 12 |
Passes |
---|
85% (334/391) | 87% (394/455) |
Long passes |
---|
35% (11/31) | 36% (15/42) |
Passes in final third |
---|
73% (74/101) | 85% (104/123) |
Crosses |
---|
43% (10/23) | 36% (4/11) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.52 | 1.06 |
Throw-ins |
---|
25 | 15 |
Fouls |
---|
12 | 11 |
Tackles |
---|
50% (8/16) | 54% (13/24) |
Duels won |
---|
47 | 51 |
Clearances |
---|
20 | 35 |
Interceptions |
---|
14 | 8 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.38 | 1.78 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.66 | 1.78 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 8', 0 - 1, Kubo T. ⚽, Watai M. (A),
- 10', Nakagawa N. 🟨,
- 23', 0 - 2, Toshima S. ⚽, Koyamatsu T. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 56', Harada W. 🟨,
- 65', Watai M. ↓, Segawa Y. ↑,
- 66', Mitsumaru H. ↓, Tanaka H. ↑,
- 66', Koyamatsu T. ↓, Diego ↑,
- 67', Matsuzaki K. ↓, Nakahara H. ↑,
- 68', Hidaka H. ↓, Yajima S. ↑,
- 70', Kakita Y. ↓, Hosoya M. ↑,
- 73', Kitagawa K. (Pen),
- 76', Uno Z. ↓, Kotake S. ↑,
- 76', Kitagawa K. ↓, Chiba K. ↑,
- 78', Capixaba 🟨,
- 83', Brunetti M. ↓, Ohata R. ↑,
- 88', Matheus Bueno 🟨,
- 90+4', Nakagawa N. ↓, Baba S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Shimizu S-Pulse 33.1% | Draw 27.8% | Kashiwa Reysol 39.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shimizu S-Pulse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)Kashiwa Reysol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shimizu S-Pulse than the current prediction. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kashiwa Reysol than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
Shimizu S-Pulse - Kashiwa Reysol Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.88 ↓ (3) |
3.4 ↓ (3.59) |
2.39 ↑ (2.31) |
5.9% (4.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Shimizu S-Pulse - Kashiwa Reysol?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Shimizu will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Kashiwa will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kashiwa: 31.2% – 83%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Shimizu (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shimizu won 1.
- Shimizu has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Kashiwa is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Kashiwa might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Kashiwa: Harakawa R.
(Inactive)
Kumasaka K.
(Inactive)
Tezuka K.
(Injury)
Yamada Y.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Kashiwa: Sugioka D.
(Hamstring Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shimizu won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 24:34. (average 1.2:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Shimizu won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:19. (average 1.3:2.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Shimizu S-Pulse won against Kashiwa Reysol?
Shimizu S-Pulse has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kashiwa Reysol won against Shimizu S-Pulse?
Kashiwa Reysol has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Shimizu S-Pulse - Kashiwa Reysol were as follows:
06.05.2025
Kashiwa Reysol
-
Shimizu S-Pulse
1:0
Latest results of Shimizu S-Pulse
Latest results of Kashiwa Reysol
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Kashima Antlers | 32 | 20 | 4 | 8 | 52:28 | 24 | 64 |
2 | Vissel Kobe | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 43:27 | 16 | 60 |
3 | Kyoto | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 56:34 | 22 | 59 |
4 | Kashiwa Reysol | 32 | 15 | 12 | 5 | 47:33 | 14 | 57 |
5 | Machida | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 48:33 | 15 | 55 |
6 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 37:22 | 15 | 55 |
7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 59:44 | 15 | 52 |
8 | Urawa Reds | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 39:32 | 7 | 49 |
9 | Gamba Osaka | 32 | 15 | 4 | 13 | 46:47 | -1 | 49 |
10 | Cerezo Osaka | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 49:47 | 2 | 43 |
11 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 34:38 | -4 | 40 |
12 | Okayama | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 28:34 | -6 | 40 |
13 | FC Tokyo | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 35:45 | -10 | 40 |
14 | Verdy | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 21:35 | -14 | 39 |
15 | Avispa Fukuoka | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 31:37 | -6 | 37 |
16 | Nagoya Grampus | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 38:47 | -9 | 36 |
17 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 32:43 | -11 | 31 |
18 | Yokohama FC | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 21:36 | -15 | 31 |
19 | Shonan Bellmare | 33 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 28:57 | -29 | 25 |
20 | Albirex Niigata | 32 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 29:54 | -25 | 21 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League