Shimizu S-Pulse vs Kashiwa Reysol – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J1 League Shimizu S-Pulse - Kashiwa Reysol
28/06/2025 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 22
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSporty TV, StarTimes App
australiaAustraliaOptus Sport
chinaChinaK-Ball
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
indonesiaIndonesiaPSJ TV
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.622.18
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
1516
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
65
Passes
85% (334/391)87% (394/455)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
2.622.18
xG on target (xGOT)
1.781.38
Total shots
1516
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
56
Blocked Shots
66
Shots inside the Box
1013
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
65
Touches in opposition box
2525
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1112
Passes
85% (334/391)87% (394/455)
Long passes
35% (11/31)36% (15/42)
Passes in final third
73% (74/101)85% (104/123)
Crosses
43% (10/23)36% (4/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.521.06
Throw-ins
2515
Fouls
1211
Tackles
50% (8/16)54% (13/24)
Duels won
4751
Clearances
2035
Interceptions
148
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
1.381.78
Goals prevented
-0.661.78

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 8', 0 - 1, Kubo T. , Watai M. (A),
  • 10', Nakagawa N. 🟨,
  • 23', 0 - 2, Toshima S. , Koyamatsu T. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 56', Harada W. 🟨,
  • 65', Watai M. , Segawa Y. ,
  • 66', Mitsumaru H. , Tanaka H. ,
  • 66', Koyamatsu T. , Diego ,
  • 67', Matsuzaki K. , Nakahara H. ,
  • 68', Hidaka H. , Yajima S. ,
  • 70', Kakita Y. , Hosoya M. ,
  • 73', Kitagawa K. (Pen),
  • 76', Uno Z. , Kotake S. ,
  • 76', Kitagawa K. , Chiba K. ,
  • 78', Capixaba 🟨,
  • 83', Brunetti M. , Ohata R. ,
  • 88', Matheus Bueno 🟨,
  • 90+4', Nakagawa N. , Baba S. ,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Shimizu S-Pulse
33.1%
Draw
27.8%
Kashiwa Reysol
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.9% 26.6% 41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5% 26.3% 42%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Shimizu S-Pulse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • Kashiwa Reysol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shimizu S-Pulse than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kashiwa Reysol than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • Shimizu S-Pulse - Kashiwa Reysol Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.88
    (3)
    3.4
    (3.59)
    2.39
    (2.31)
    5.9%
    (4.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Shimizu S-Pulse - Kashiwa Reysol?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Shimizu will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Kashiwa will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Kashiwa: 31.2%83%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Shimizu (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shimizu won 1.
    • Shimizu has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Kashiwa is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Kashiwa might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Kashiwa: Harakawa R. (Inactive) Kumasaka K. (Inactive) Tezuka K. (Injury) Yamada Y. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Kashiwa: Sugioka D. (Hamstring Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shimizu won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 24:34. (average 1.2:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Shimizu won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:19. (average 1.3:2.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Shimizu S-Pulse - Kashiwa Reysol were as follows:
    06.05.2025 Kashiwa Reysol - Shimizu S-Pulse 1:0
    Latest results of Shimizu S-Pulse
    Latest results of Kashiwa Reysol
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kyoto26146643:301348
    2Kashima Antlers26153838:251348
    3Kashiwa Reysol25138435:231247
    4Machida26144839:251446
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima26144830:181246
    6Vissel Kobe26144834:25946
    7Urawa Reds26128636:261044
    8Kawasaki Frontale26109741:32939
    9Cerezo Osaka26107940:37337
    10Avispa Fukuoka2699827:26136
    11Gamba Osaka261041229:35-634
    12Okayama25961023:22133
    13Shimizu S-Pulse26871130:35-531
    14Verdy26871116:25-931
    15FC Tokyo26861229:37-830
    16Nagoya Grampus26771230:37-728
    17Shonan Bellmare26671322:41-1925
    18Yokohama F. Marinos26661426:34-824
    19Yokohama FC26641616:32-1622
    20Albirex Niigata26481426:45-1920

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League