Shimizu S-Pulse vs Kashiwa Reysol – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J1 League Shimizu S-Pulse - Kashiwa Reysol
28/06/2025 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 22
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSporty TV, StarTimes App
australiaAustraliaOptus Sport
chinaChinaK-Ball
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
indonesiaIndonesiaPSJ TV
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.622.18
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
1516
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
65
Passes
85% (334/391)87% (394/455)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
2.622.18
xG on target (xGOT)
1.781.38
Total shots
1516
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
56
Blocked Shots
66
Shots inside the Box
1013
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
65
Touches in opposition box
2525
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1112
Passes
85% (334/391)87% (394/455)
Long passes
35% (11/31)36% (15/42)
Passes in final third
73% (74/101)85% (104/123)
Crosses
43% (10/23)36% (4/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.521.06
Throw-ins
2515
Fouls
1211
Tackles
50% (8/16)54% (13/24)
Duels won
4751
Clearances
2035
Interceptions
148
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
1.381.78
Goals prevented
-0.661.78

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 8', 0 - 1, Kubo T. , Watai M. (A),
  • 10', Nakagawa N. 🟨,
  • 23', 0 - 2, Toshima S. , Koyamatsu T. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 56', Harada W. 🟨,
  • 65', Watai M. , Segawa Y. ,
  • 66', Mitsumaru H. , Tanaka H. ,
  • 66', Koyamatsu T. , Diego ,
  • 67', Matsuzaki K. , Nakahara H. ,
  • 68', Hidaka H. , Yajima S. ,
  • 70', Kakita Y. , Hosoya M. ,
  • 73', Kitagawa K. (Pen),
  • 76', Uno Z. , Kotake S. ,
  • 76', Kitagawa K. , Chiba K. ,
  • 78', Capixaba 🟨,
  • 83', Brunetti M. , Ohata R. ,
  • 88', Matheus Bueno 🟨,
  • 90+4', Nakagawa N. , Baba S. ,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Shimizu S-Pulse
33.1%
Draw
27.8%
Kashiwa Reysol
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.9% 26.6% 41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5% 26.3% 42%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Shimizu S-Pulse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • Kashiwa Reysol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shimizu S-Pulse than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kashiwa Reysol than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • Shimizu S-Pulse - Kashiwa Reysol Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.88
    (3)
    3.4
    (3.59)
    2.39
    (2.31)
    5.9%
    (4.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Shimizu S-Pulse - Kashiwa Reysol?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Shimizu will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Kashiwa will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Kashiwa: 31.2%83%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Shimizu (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shimizu won 1.
    • Shimizu has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Kashiwa is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Kashiwa might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Kashiwa: Harakawa R. (Inactive) Kumasaka K. (Inactive) Tezuka K. (Injury) Yamada Y. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Kashiwa: Sugioka D. (Hamstring Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shimizu won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 24:34. (average 1.2:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Shimizu won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:19. (average 1.3:2.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Shimizu S-Pulse - Kashiwa Reysol were as follows:
    06.05.2025 Kashiwa Reysol - Shimizu S-Pulse 1:0
    Latest results of Shimizu S-Pulse
    Latest results of Kashiwa Reysol
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vissel Kobe24144634:221246
    2Kashima Antlers24142836:241244
    3Kashiwa Reysol24128433:231044
    4Kyoto24126640:291142
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima24133829:181142
    6Machida24124834:25940
    7Kawasaki Frontale24108638:261238
    8Urawa Reds23107632:24837
    9Cerezo Osaka2497837:33434
    10Gamba Osaka241041029:31-234
    11Avispa Fukuoka2387821:23-231
    12Okayama24861020:22-230
    13Shimizu S-Pulse24861029:32-330
    14FC Tokyo24851127:34-729
    15Nagoya Grampus24771028:33-528
    16Verdy24771015:24-928
    17Shonan Bellmare24661220:37-1724
    18Yokohama F. Marinos24561323:32-921
    19Yokohama FC24541514:30-1619
    20Albirex Niigata24471324:41-1719

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League