Shimizu S-Pulse vs Kashiwa Reysol: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

28/06/2025 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

IAI Stadium Nihondaira (Shizuoka).

: J1 League - Round 22

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.62	2.18
Ball Possession
47%	53%
Total shots
15	16
Shots on target
4	4
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
6	5
Passes
85% (334/391)	87% (394/455)
Yellow Cards
2	2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.62	2.18
xG on target (xGOT)
1.78	1.38
Total shots
15	16
Shots on target
4	4
Shots off target
5	6
Blocked Shots
6	6
Shots inside the Box
10	13
Shots outside the Box
5	3
Hit the Woodwork
1	1
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
6	5
Touches in opposition box
25	25
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	2
Free Kicks
11	12
Passes
85% (334/391)	87% (394/455)
Long passes
35% (11/31)	36% (15/42)
Passes in final third
73% (74/101)	85% (104/123)
Crosses
43% (10/23)	36% (4/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.52	1.06
Throw-ins
25	15
Fouls
12	11
Tackles
50% (8/16)	54% (13/24)
Duels won
47	51
Clearances
20	35
Interceptions
14	8
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	4
xGOT faced
1.38	1.78
Goals prevented
-0.66	1.78

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 2)
8', 0 - 1, Kubo T. ⚽, Watai M. (A),
10', Nakagawa N. 🟨,
23', 0 - 2, Toshima S. ⚽, Koyamatsu T. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Harada W. 🟨,
65', Watai M. ↓, Segawa Y. ↑,
66', Mitsumaru H. ↓, Tanaka H. ↑,
66', Koyamatsu T. ↓, Diego ↑,
67', Matsuzaki K. ↓, Nakahara H. ↑,
68', Hidaka H. ↓, Yajima S. ↑,
70', Kakita Y. ↓, Hosoya M. ↑,
73', Kitagawa K. (Pen),
76', Uno Z. ↓, Kotake S. ↑,
76', Kitagawa K. ↓, Chiba K. ↑,
78', Capixaba 🟨,
83', Brunetti M. ↓, Ohata R. ↑,
88', Matheus Bueno 🟨,
90+4', Nakagawa N. ↓, Baba S. ↑,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning

Shimizu S-Pulse
33.1%

Draw
27.8%

Kashiwa Reysol
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.9%

26.6%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5%

26.3%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shimizu S-Pulse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Kashiwa Reysol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shimizu S-Pulse than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kashiwa Reysol than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Shimizu S-Pulse - Kashiwa Reysol Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↓ (3)	3.4 ↓ (3.59)	2.39 ↑ (2.31)	5.9% (4.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Shimizu S-Pulse - Kashiwa Reysol?

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Shimizu will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Kashiwa will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kashiwa: 31.2% – 83%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Shimizu (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shimizu won 1.
Shimizu has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Kashiwa is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Kashiwa might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Kashiwa: Harakawa R. (Inactive) Kumasaka K. (Inactive) Tezuka K. (Injury) Yamada Y. (Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Kashiwa: Sugioka D. (Hamstring Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shimizu won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 24:34. (average 1.2:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Shimizu won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:19. (average 1.3:2.1).

How many head-to-head matches has Shimizu S-Pulse won against Kashiwa Reysol?

Shimizu S-Pulse has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Kashiwa Reysol won against Shimizu S-Pulse?

Kashiwa Reysol has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Shimizu S-Pulse - Kashiwa Reysol were as follows:

06.05.2025 Kashiwa Reysol - Shimizu S-Pulse 1:0

Latest results of Shimizu S-Pulse

21.06.2025 Nagoya Grampus - Shimizu S-Pulse 1:1 ✺

15.06.2025 Shimizu S-Pulse - Gamba Osaka 0:0 ✺

11.06.2025 Shimizu S-Pulse - Matsumoto Yamaga 4:2 ✺

01.06.2025 Cerezo Osaka - Shimizu S-Pulse 4:2 ✺

25.05.2025 Shimizu S-Pulse - Vissel Kobe 3:2 ✺

Latest results of Kashiwa Reysol

21.06.2025 Kashiwa Reysol - Kyoto Sanga 3:3 ✺

15.06.2025 Tokyo Verdy - Kashiwa Reysol 0:3 ✺

08.06.2025 Kashiwa Reysol - Tokyo Verdy 2:1 ✺

04.06.2025 Tokyo Verdy - Kashiwa Reysol 0:3 ✺

31.05.2025 Kashiwa Reysol - Vissel Kobe 1:3 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kashima Antlers	22	13	2	7	32:20	12	41
2	Kashiwa Reysol	22	11	8	3	30:20	10	41
3	Vissel Kobe	22	12	4	6	28:21	7	40
4	Kyoto	22	11	5	6	36:26	10	38
5	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	22	11	3	8	26:18	8	36
6	Kawasaki Frontale	22	9	8	5	35:23	12	35
7	Urawa Reds	21	9	7	5	26:20	6	34
8	Machida	22	10	4	8	30:25	5	34
9	Cerezo Osaka	22	9	6	7	34:29	5	33
10	Okayama	22	8	6	8	19:19	0	30
11	Avispa Fukuoka	22	8	6	8	19:21	-2	30
12	Gamba Osaka	22	8	4	10	26:30	-4	28
13	Nagoya Grampus	22	7	6	9	28:30	-2	27
14	Shimizu S-Pulse	22	7	6	9	27:29	-2	27
15	Verdy	22	7	6	9	15:23	-8	27
16	FC Tokyo	22	7	5	10	24:31	-7	26
17	Shonan Bellmare	21	6	5	10	16:26	-10	23
18	Yokohama FC	22	5	4	13	14:27	-13	19
19	Albirex Niigata	22	4	7	11	23:37	-14	19
20	Yokohama F. Marinos	22	3	6	13	19:32	-13	15

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ J2 League

Which TV channels are streaming of Shimizu S-Pulse - Kashiwa Reysol?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	Sporty TV, StarTimes App
Australia	Optus Sport
China	K-Ball
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	PSJ TV
Japan	DAZN Japan