Result
28/06/2025 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 22
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Sporty TV, StarTimes App |
 Australia | Optus Sport |
 China | K-Ball |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Indonesia | PSJ TV |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.62 | 2.18 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (334/391) | 87% (394/455) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.62 | 2.18 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.78 | 1.38 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (334/391) | 87% (394/455) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (11/31) | 36% (15/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (74/101) | 85% (104/123) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 43% (10/23) | 36% (4/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 1.06 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (8/16) | 54% (13/24) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.38 | 1.78 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.66 | 1.78 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 8', 0 - 1, Kubo T. ⚽, Watai M. (A),
- 10', Nakagawa N. 🟨,
- 23', 0 - 2, Toshima S. ⚽, Koyamatsu T. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 56', Harada W. 🟨,
- 65', Watai M. ↓, Segawa Y. ↑,
- 66', Mitsumaru H. ↓, Tanaka H. ↑,
- 66', Koyamatsu T. ↓, Diego ↑,
- 67', Matsuzaki K. ↓, Nakahara H. ↑,
- 68', Hidaka H. ↓, Yajima S. ↑,
- 70', Kakita Y. ↓, Hosoya M. ↑,
- 73', Kitagawa K. (Pen),
- 76', Uno Z. ↓, Kotake S. ↑,
- 76', Kitagawa K. ↓, Chiba K. ↑,
- 78', Capixaba 🟨,
- 83', Brunetti M. ↓, Ohata R. ↑,
- 88', Matheus Bueno 🟨,
- 90+4', Nakagawa N. ↓, Baba S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Shimizu S-Pulse
33.1% | Draw
27.8% | Kashiwa Reysol
39.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shimizu S-Pulse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)Kashiwa Reysol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shimizu S-Pulse than the current prediction. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kashiwa Reysol than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
Shimizu S-Pulse - Kashiwa Reysol Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.88 ↓
(3) |
3.4 ↓
(3.59) |
2.39 ↑
(2.31) |
5.9%
(4.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Shimizu S-Pulse - Kashiwa Reysol?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Shimizu will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Kashiwa will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kashiwa: 31.2% – 83%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Shimizu (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shimizu won 1.
- Shimizu has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Kashiwa is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Kashiwa might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Kashiwa: Harakawa R.
(Inactive)
Kumasaka K.
(Inactive)
Tezuka K.
(Injury)
Yamada Y.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Kashiwa: Sugioka D.
(Hamstring Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shimizu won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 24:34. (average 1.2:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Shimizu won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:19. (average 1.3:2.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Shimizu S-Pulse won against Kashiwa Reysol?
Shimizu S-Pulse has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kashiwa Reysol won against Shimizu S-Pulse?
Kashiwa Reysol has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Shimizu S-Pulse - Kashiwa Reysol were as follows:
06.05.2025
Kashiwa Reysol
-
Shimizu S-Pulse
1:0
Latest results of Shimizu S-Pulse
Latest results of Kashiwa Reysol
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 35 | 20 | 7 | 8 | 53:29 | 24 | 67 |
| 2 | Kashiwa Reysol | 35 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 55:33 | 22 | 66 |
| 3 | Kyoto | 35 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 59:37 | 22 | 62 |
| 4 | Vissel Kobe | 35 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 45:30 | 15 | 62 |
| 5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 35 | 17 | 8 | 10 | 39:26 | 13 | 59 |
| 6 | Machida | 35 | 16 | 9 | 10 | 49:35 | 14 | 57 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 35 | 15 | 11 | 9 | 65:50 | 15 | 56 |
| 8 | Urawa Reds | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 40:36 | 4 | 53 |
| 9 | Gamba Osaka | 35 | 16 | 5 | 14 | 48:52 | -4 | 53 |
| 10 | Cerezo Osaka | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 54:50 | 4 | 49 |
| 11 | FC Tokyo | 35 | 12 | 9 | 14 | 39:47 | -8 | 45 |
| 12 | Avispa Fukuoka | 35 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 33:37 | -4 | 44 |
| 13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 35 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 39:44 | -5 | 44 |
| 14 | Verdy | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 22:36 | -14 | 42 |
| 15 | Okayama | 35 | 11 | 8 | 16 | 31:40 | -9 | 41 |
| 16 | Nagoya Grampus | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 42:52 | -10 | 40 |
| 17 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 39:44 | -5 | 37 |
| 18 | Yokohama FC | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 23:41 | -18 | 32 |
| 19 | Shonan Bellmare | 35 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 29:59 | -30 | 26 |
| 20 | Albirex Niigata ✔ | 35 | 4 | 11 | 20 | 32:58 | -26 | 23 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League
Clinched Spots for Teams
Albirex Niigata is Relegated to J2 League
