Shimizu S-Pulse vs Kashiwa Reysol – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

28/06/2025 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

IAI Stadium Nihondaira (Shizuoka).

J1 League - Round 22
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Sporty TV, StarTimes App
Australia	Optus Sport
China	K-Ball
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	PSJ TV
Japan	DAZN Japan

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.62	2.18
Ball Possession
47%	53%
Total shots
15	16
Shots on target
4	4
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
6	5
Passes
85% (334/391)	87% (394/455)
Yellow Cards
2	2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.62	2.18
xG on target (xGOT)
1.78	1.38
Total shots
15	16
Shots on target
4	4
Shots off target
5	6
Blocked Shots
6	6
Shots inside the Box
10	13
Shots outside the Box
5	3
Hit the Woodwork
1	1
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
6	5
Touches in opposition box
25	25
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	2
Free Kicks
11	12
Passes
85% (334/391)	87% (394/455)
Long passes
35% (11/31)	36% (15/42)
Passes in final third
73% (74/101)	85% (104/123)
Crosses
43% (10/23)	36% (4/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.52	1.06
Throw-ins
25	15
Fouls
12	11
Tackles
50% (8/16)	54% (13/24)
Duels won
47	51
Clearances
20	35
Interceptions
14	8
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	4
xGOT faced
1.38	1.78
Goals prevented
-0.66	1.78

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 2)
8', 0 - 1, Kubo T. ⚽, Watai M. (A),
10', Nakagawa N. 🟨,
23', 0 - 2, Toshima S. ⚽, Koyamatsu T. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Harada W. 🟨,
65', Watai M. ↓, Segawa Y. ↑,
66', Mitsumaru H. ↓, Tanaka H. ↑,
66', Koyamatsu T. ↓, Diego ↑,
67', Matsuzaki K. ↓, Nakahara H. ↑,
68', Hidaka H. ↓, Yajima S. ↑,
70', Kakita Y. ↓, Hosoya M. ↑,
73', Kitagawa K. (Pen),
76', Uno Z. ↓, Kotake S. ↑,
76', Kitagawa K. ↓, Chiba K. ↑,
78', Capixaba 🟨,
83', Brunetti M. ↓, Ohata R. ↑,
88', Matheus Bueno 🟨,
90+4', Nakagawa N. ↓, Baba S. ↑,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning

Shimizu S-Pulse
33.1%

Draw
27.8%

Kashiwa Reysol
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.9%

26.6%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5%

26.3%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shimizu S-Pulse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Kashiwa Reysol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shimizu S-Pulse than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kashiwa Reysol than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Shimizu S-Pulse - Kashiwa Reysol Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↓ (3)	3.4 ↓ (3.59)	2.39 ↑ (2.31)	5.9% (4.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Shimizu S-Pulse - Kashiwa Reysol?

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Shimizu will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Kashiwa will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kashiwa: 31.2% – 83%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Shimizu (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shimizu won 1.
Shimizu has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Kashiwa is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Kashiwa might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Kashiwa: Harakawa R. (Inactive) Kumasaka K. (Inactive) Tezuka K. (Injury) Yamada Y. (Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Kashiwa: Sugioka D. (Hamstring Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shimizu won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 24:34. (average 1.2:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Shimizu won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:19. (average 1.3:2.1).

How many head-to-head matches has Shimizu S-Pulse won against Kashiwa Reysol?

Shimizu S-Pulse has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Kashiwa Reysol won against Shimizu S-Pulse?

Kashiwa Reysol has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Shimizu S-Pulse - Kashiwa Reysol were as follows:

06.05.2025 Kashiwa Reysol - Shimizu S-Pulse 1:0

Latest results of Shimizu S-Pulse

21.06.2025 Nagoya Grampus - Shimizu S-Pulse 1:1 ✺

15.06.2025 Shimizu S-Pulse - Gamba Osaka 0:0 ✺

11.06.2025 Shimizu S-Pulse - Matsumoto Yamaga 4:2 ✺

01.06.2025 Cerezo Osaka - Shimizu S-Pulse 4:2 ✺

25.05.2025 Shimizu S-Pulse - Vissel Kobe 3:2 ✺

Latest results of Kashiwa Reysol

21.06.2025 Kashiwa Reysol - Kyoto Sanga 3:3 ✺

15.06.2025 Tokyo Verdy - Kashiwa Reysol 0:3 ✺

08.06.2025 Kashiwa Reysol - Tokyo Verdy 2:1 ✺

04.06.2025 Tokyo Verdy - Kashiwa Reysol 0:3 ✺

31.05.2025 Kashiwa Reysol - Vissel Kobe 1:3 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	24	14	4	6	34:22	12	46
2	Kashima Antlers	24	14	2	8	36:24	12	44
3	Kashiwa Reysol	24	12	8	4	33:23	10	44
4	Kyoto	24	12	6	6	40:29	11	42
5	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	24	13	3	8	29:18	11	42
6	Machida	24	12	4	8	34:25	9	40
7	Kawasaki Frontale	24	10	8	6	38:26	12	38
8	Urawa Reds	23	10	7	6	32:24	8	37
9	Cerezo Osaka	24	9	7	8	37:33	4	34
10	Gamba Osaka	24	10	4	10	29:31	-2	34
11	Avispa Fukuoka	23	8	7	8	21:23	-2	31
12	Okayama	24	8	6	10	20:22	-2	30
13	Shimizu S-Pulse	24	8	6	10	29:32	-3	30
14	FC Tokyo	24	8	5	11	27:34	-7	29
15	Nagoya Grampus	24	7	7	10	28:33	-5	28
16	Verdy	24	7	7	10	15:24	-9	28
17	Shonan Bellmare	24	6	6	12	20:37	-17	24
18	Yokohama F. Marinos	24	5	6	13	23:32	-9	21
19	Yokohama FC	24	5	4	15	14:30	-16	19
20	Albirex Niigata	24	4	7	13	24:41	-17	19

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ J2 League