Result
28/06/2025 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 22
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Sporty TV, StarTimes App |
 Australia | Optus Sport |
 China | K-Ball |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Indonesia | PSJ TV |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.62 | 2.18 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (334/391) | 87% (394/455) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.62 | 2.18 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.78 | 1.38 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (334/391) | 87% (394/455) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (11/31) | 36% (15/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (74/101) | 85% (104/123) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 43% (10/23) | 36% (4/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 1.06 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (8/16) | 54% (13/24) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.38 | 1.78 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.66 | 1.78 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 8', 0 - 1, Kubo T. ⚽, Watai M. (A),
- 10', Nakagawa N. 🟨,
- 23', 0 - 2, Toshima S. ⚽, Koyamatsu T. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 56', Harada W. 🟨,
- 65', Watai M. ↓, Segawa Y. ↑,
- 66', Mitsumaru H. ↓, Tanaka H. ↑,
- 66', Koyamatsu T. ↓, Diego ↑,
- 67', Matsuzaki K. ↓, Nakahara H. ↑,
- 68', Hidaka H. ↓, Yajima S. ↑,
- 70', Kakita Y. ↓, Hosoya M. ↑,
- 73', Kitagawa K. (Pen),
- 76', Uno Z. ↓, Kotake S. ↑,
- 76', Kitagawa K. ↓, Chiba K. ↑,
- 78', Capixaba 🟨,
- 83', Brunetti M. ↓, Ohata R. ↑,
- 88', Matheus Bueno 🟨,
- 90+4', Nakagawa N. ↓, Baba S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Shimizu S-Pulse
33.1% | Draw
27.8% | Kashiwa Reysol
39.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shimizu S-Pulse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)Kashiwa Reysol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shimizu S-Pulse than the current prediction. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kashiwa Reysol than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
Shimizu S-Pulse - Kashiwa Reysol Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.88 ↓
(3) |
3.4 ↓
(3.59) |
2.39 ↑
(2.31) |
5.9%
(4.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Shimizu S-Pulse - Kashiwa Reysol?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Shimizu will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Kashiwa will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kashiwa: 31.2% – 83%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Shimizu (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- O/E Goals - odd (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Shimizu (2.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Shimizu (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Shimizu (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Shimizu (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shimizu won 1.
- Shimizu has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Kashiwa is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Kashiwa might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Kashiwa: Harakawa R.
(Inactive)
Kumasaka K.
(Inactive)
Tezuka K.
(Injury)
Yamada Y.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Kashiwa: Sugioka D.
(Hamstring Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shimizu won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 24:34. (average 1.2:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Shimizu won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:19. (average 1.3:2.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Shimizu S-Pulse won against Kashiwa Reysol?
Shimizu S-Pulse has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kashiwa Reysol won against Shimizu S-Pulse?
Kashiwa Reysol has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Shimizu S-Pulse - Kashiwa Reysol were as follows:
06.05.2025
Kashiwa Reysol
-
Shimizu S-Pulse
1:0
Latest results of Shimizu S-Pulse
Latest results of Kashiwa Reysol
Japan J1 League Table
2026East | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 18:7 | 26 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 11 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 19:10 | 23 |
| 3 | Machida | 11 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 17:16 | 22 |
| 4 | Verdy | 10 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 16:15 | 15 |
| 5 | Kawasaki Frontale | 10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 16:19 | 14 |
| 6 | Urawa Reds | 10 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 14:15 | 12 |
| 7 | Mito | 10 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13:19 | 12 |
| 8 | Kashiwa Reysol | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 15:14 | 11 |
| 9 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 13:18 | 9 |
| 10 | Chiba | 10 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10:18 | 9 |
West | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 11 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 23:12 | 25 |
| 2 | Kyoto | 10 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 17:12 | 17 |
| 3 | Gamba Osaka | 10 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 16:14 | 17 |
| 4 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 11 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 15:14 | 17 |
| 5 | Nagoya Grampus | 10 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 17:15 | 16 |
| 6 | Cerezo Osaka | 10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10:11 | 14 |
| 7 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 15:14 | 13 |
| 8 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10:15 | 12 |
| 9 | Avispa Fukuoka | 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:17 | 11 |
| 10 | Okayama | 10 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11:20 | 11 |
Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
