Result
3:0
13/09/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 29
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan, NHK BS1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 0.72 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (405/476) | 87% (383/438) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 0.72 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.40 | 0.65 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (405/476) | 87% (383/438) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (28/56) | 54% (19/35) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (110/145) | 73% (56/77) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 47% (7/15) | 24% (4/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 0.84 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (11/14) | 47% (9/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.65 | 1.40 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.65 | -1.60 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 7', Ze Ricardo 🟨,
- 16', Oda Y. ↓, Nitta R. ↑,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 48', 1 - 0, Cavric A. ⚽, Suzuki Y. (A),
- 55', 2 - 0, Nono K. ⚽, Higuchi Y. (A),
- 56', Suzuki A. 🟨,
- 63', Ota S. ↓, Ishibashi S. ↑,
- 68', 3 - 0, Leo Ceara ⚽, Nono K. (A),
- 72', Fujii T. ↓, Suzuki Y. ↑,
- 73', Ze Ricardo ↓, Okuno K. ↑,
- 73', Nitta R. ↓, Watanabe K. ↑,
- 79', Cavric A. ↓, Matsumura Y. ↑,
- 85', Elber ↓, Chinen K. ↑,
- 85', Higuchi Y. ↓, Tsukui K. ↑,
- 86', Leo Ceara ↓, Tagawa K. ↑,
- 86', Onose K. 🟨,
- 90+3', Suzuki Y. ↓, Talles Brener ↑,
Chances of winning
Kashima Antlers
60.9% | Draw
22.1% | Shonan Bellmare
17.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kashima Antlers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)Shonan Bellmare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)The ML Model estimate for Kashima Antlers aligns with the current prediction.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shonan Bellmare than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Kashima Antlers - Shonan Bellmare Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.56 ↓
(1.57) |
4.23 ↑
(4.01) |
5.47 ↑
(5.23) |
6.1%
(7.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Kashima Antlers - Shonan Bellmare?
Users Predictions:
23 users predict this event. Kashima will win (votes: 22 - 95.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kashima: 87.4% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Kashima Antlers will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kashima won 2.
- Kashima has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Shonan Bellmare's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Shonan Bellmare may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Kashima is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Kashima: Anzai K.
(Knee Injury)
Morooka S.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Sekigawa I.
(Knee Injury)
Shimoda Y.
(Foot Injury)
Tokuda H.
(Broken ankle)
- There will not play in Shonan Bellmare: Kamifukumoto N.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Nagai T.
(Calf Injury)
Tachi K.
(Yellow Cards)
Tachi K.
(Red Card)
Tamura S.
(Thigh Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kashima won 10 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 31:25. (average 1.6:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kashima won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:9. (average 1.7:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Kashima Antlers won against Shonan Bellmare?
Kashima Antlers has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Shonan Bellmare won against Kashima Antlers?
Shonan Bellmare has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kashima Antlers - Shonan Bellmare were as follows:
15.02.2025
Shonan Bellmare
-
Kashima Antlers
1:0
28.09.2024
Shonan Bellmare
-
Kashima Antlers
3:2
03.05.2024
Kashima Antlers
-
Shonan Bellmare
3:1
02.09.2023
Shonan Bellmare
-
Kashima Antlers
2:2
11.06.2023
Kashima Antlers
-
Shonan Bellmare
1:0
Latest results of Kashima Antlers
Latest results of Shonan Bellmare
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kyoto | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 53:31 | 22 | 55 |
| 2 | Kashima Antlers | 29 | 17 | 4 | 8 | 44:27 | 17 | 55 |
| 3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 29 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 42:28 | 14 | 54 |
| 4 | Vissel Kobe | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 37:26 | 11 | 54 |
| 5 | Machida | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 46:32 | 14 | 51 |
| 6 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 35:21 | 14 | 51 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 29 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 53:38 | 15 | 48 |
| 8 | Urawa Reds | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 39:31 | 8 | 47 |
| 9 | Gamba Osaka | 30 | 13 | 4 | 13 | 39:44 | -5 | 43 |
| 10 | Cerezo Osaka | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 46:41 | 5 | 42 |
| 11 | Okayama | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 26:29 | -3 | 39 |
| 12 | Avispa Fukuoka | 29 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 30:32 | -2 | 37 |
| 13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 32:36 | -4 | 36 |
| 14 | FC Tokyo | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 31:42 | -11 | 34 |
| 15 | Nagoya Grampus | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 35:42 | -7 | 32 |
| 16 | Verdy | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 16:29 | -13 | 32 |
| 17 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 26:38 | -12 | 25 |
| 18 | Shonan Bellmare | 29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 26:50 | -24 | 25 |
| 19 | Yokohama FC | 29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 19:36 | -17 | 24 |
| 20 | Albirex Niigata | 29 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 27:49 | -22 | 20 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League
