Kashima Antlers vs Shonan Bellmare – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J1 League Kashima Antlers - Shonan Bellmare
Result
3:0
13/09/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 29
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
japanJapanDAZN Japan, NHK BS1

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.970.72
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
208
Shots on target
84
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
83
Passes
85% (405/476)87% (383/438)
Yellow Cards
03
Expected Goals (xG)
0.970.72
xG on target (xGOT)
1.400.65
Total shots
208
Shots on target
84
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
71
Shots inside the Box
135
Shots outside the Box
73
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
83
Touches in opposition box
2317
Accurate through passes
21
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
1310
Passes
85% (405/476)87% (383/438)
Long passes
50% (28/56)54% (19/35)
Passes in final third
76% (110/145)73% (56/77)
Crosses
47% (7/15)24% (4/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.380.84
Throw-ins
1814
Fouls
1014
Tackles
79% (11/14)47% (9/19)
Duels won
4744
Clearances
1419
Interceptions
103
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
45
xGOT faced
0.651.40
Goals prevented
0.65-1.60

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 7', Ze Ricardo 🟨,
  • 16', Oda Y. , Nitta R. ,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 48', 1 - 0, Cavric A. , Suzuki Y. (A),
  • 55', 2 - 0, Nono K. , Higuchi Y. (A),
  • 56', Suzuki A. 🟨,
  • 63', Ota S. , Ishibashi S. ,
  • 68', 3 - 0, Leo Ceara , Nono K. (A),
  • 72', Fujii T. , Suzuki Y. ,
  • 73', Ze Ricardo , Okuno K. ,
  • 73', Nitta R. , Watanabe K. ,
  • 79', Cavric A. , Matsumura Y. ,
  • 85', Elber , Chinen K. ,
  • 85', Higuchi Y. , Tsukui K. ,
  • 86', Leo Ceara , Tagawa K. ,
  • 86', Onose K. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Suzuki Y. , Talles Brener ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Kashima Antlers
60.9%
Draw
22.1%
Shonan Bellmare
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.2% 23.1% 17.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9% 22.5% 17.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kashima Antlers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • Shonan Bellmare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Kashima Antlers aligns with the current prediction.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shonan Bellmare than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • Kashima Antlers - Shonan Bellmare Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.56
    (1.57)
    4.23
    (4.01)
    5.47
    (5.23)
    6.1%
    (7.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Kashima Antlers - Shonan Bellmare?
  • Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Kashima will win (votes: 22 - 95.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Kashima: 87.4%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Kashima Antlers will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kashima won 2.
    • Kashima has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Shonan Bellmare's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Shonan Bellmare may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Kashima is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Kashima: Anzai K. (Knee Injury) Morooka S. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Sekigawa I. (Knee Injury) Shimoda Y. (Foot Injury) Tokuda H. (Broken ankle)
    • There will not play in Shonan Bellmare: Kamifukumoto N. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Nagai T. (Calf Injury) Tachi K. (Yellow Cards) Tachi K. (Red Card) Tamura S. (Thigh Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kashima won 10 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 31:25. (average 1.6:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Kashima won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:9. (average 1.7:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kashima Antlers - Shonan Bellmare were as follows:
    15.02.2025 Shonan Bellmare - Kashima Antlers 1:0
    28.09.2024 Shonan Bellmare - Kashima Antlers 3:2
    03.05.2024 Kashima Antlers - Shonan Bellmare 3:1
    02.09.2023 Shonan Bellmare - Kashima Antlers 2:2
    11.06.2023 Kashima Antlers - Shonan Bellmare 1:0
    Latest results of Kashima Antlers
    Latest results of Shonan Bellmare
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers35207853:292467
    2Kashiwa Reysol351812555:332266
    3Kyoto351711759:372262
    4Vissel Kobe35188945:301562
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima351781039:261359
    6Machida351691049:351457
    7Kawasaki Frontale351511965:501556
    8Urawa Reds3514111040:36453
    9Gamba Osaka351651448:52-453
    10Cerezo Osaka3513101254:50449
    11FC Tokyo351291439:47-845
    12Avispa Fukuoka3511111333:37-444
    13Shimizu S-Pulse3511111339:44-544
    14Verdy351191522:36-1442
    15Okayama351181631:40-941
    16Nagoya Grampus3510101542:52-1040
    17Yokohama F. Marinos351071839:44-537
    18Yokohama FC35881923:41-1832
    19Shonan Bellmare35682129:59-3026
    20Albirex Niigata ✔ 354112032:58-2623

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Albirex Niigata is Relegated to J2 League