Shonan Bellmare vs Machida Zelvia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J1 League Shonan Bellmare - Machida Zelvia
Result
1:2
14/06/2025 at 04:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 20
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaOptus Sport
japanJapanDAZN Japan, NHK BS1

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.561.36
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
310
Passes
83% (374/448)83% (364/439)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.561.36
xG on target (xGOT)
0.850.80
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
16
Blocked Shots
63
Shots inside the Box
513
Shots outside the Box
51
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
310
Touches in opposition box
1424
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
41
Free Kicks
147
Passes
83% (374/448)83% (364/439)
Long passes
26% (10/39)55% (29/53)
Passes in final third
63% (53/84)70% (96/138)
Crosses
13% (2/16)28% (7/25)
Expected assists (xA)
0.261.05
Throw-ins
1817
Fouls
714
Tackles
71% (10/14)17% (2/12)
Duels won
4845
Clearances
3622
Interceptions
44
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
0.800.85
Goals prevented
0.53-0.15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 23', Mae H. 🟨,
  • 45+2', 0 - 1, Suzuki Y. (Own goal),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Hiraoka T. , Suzuki A. ,
  • 61', Luiz Phellype , Fukuda S. ,
  • 62', 1 - 1, Fukuda S. ,
  • 72', Fujio S. , Duke M. ,
  • 78', Fujii T. , Tachi K. ,
  • 82', Soma Y. , Na Sang-Ho ,
  • 82', Shimoda H. , Sento K. ,
  • 83', 1 - 2, Na Sang-Ho ,
  • 90+1', Onose K. , Nemoto R. ,
  • 90+1', Barada A. , Ikeda M. ,
  • 90+1', Nishimura T. , Shirasaki R. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Shonan Bellmare
24%
Draw
29.5%
Machida Zelvia
46.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.1% 28.9% 46.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.6% 29.5% 47%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Shonan Bellmare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • Machida Zelvia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shonan Bellmare than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • Shonan Bellmare - Machida Zelvia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.87
    (3.76)
    3.2
    (3.26)
    2.03
    (2.05)
    6.4%
    (6.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Shonan Bellmare - Machida Zelvia?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Shonan Bellmare will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Shonan Bellmare (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Machida Zelvia (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 and 10).
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Shonan Bellmare may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Machida Zelvia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There are questionable in Shonan Bellmare: Nagai T. (Calf Injury) Tamura S. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Machida Zelvia: Nakayama Y. (Concussion)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shonan Bellmare won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 0.6:0.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Shonan Bellmare won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Shonan Bellmare - Machida Zelvia were as follows:
    25.04.2025 Machida Zelvia - Shonan Bellmare 0:1
    11.08.2024 Machida Zelvia - Shonan Bellmare 0:1
    11.05.2024 Shonan Bellmare - Machida Zelvia 0:0
    Latest results of Shonan Bellmare
    Latest results of Machida Zelvia
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers32204852:282464
    2Vissel Kobe32186843:271660
    3Kyoto32178756:342259
    4Kashiwa Reysol321512547:331457
    5Machida32167948:331555
    6Sanfrecce Hiroshima32167937:221555
    7Kawasaki Frontale321410859:441552
    8Urawa Reds321310939:32749
    9Gamba Osaka321541346:47-149
    10Cerezo Osaka3211101149:47243
    11Shimizu S-Pulse3210101234:38-440
    12Okayama321171428:34-640
    13FC Tokyo321171435:45-1040
    14Avispa Fukuoka329101331:37-637
    15Nagoya Grampus32991438:47-936
    16Verdy32991420:35-1536
    17Yokohama F. Marinos32871732:43-1131
    18Yokohama FC32871721:36-1531
    19Shonan Bellmare32671928:56-2825
    20Albirex Niigata32491929:54-2521

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