Result
1:2
14/06/2025 at 04:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 20
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Optus Sport |
 Japan | DAZN Japan, NHK BS1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 1.36 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (374/448) | 83% (364/439) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 1.36 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 0.80 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (374/448) | 83% (364/439) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 26% (10/39) | 55% (29/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (53/84) | 70% (96/138) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (2/16) | 28% (7/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.26 | 1.05 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 17% (2/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 36 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.80 | 0.85 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.53 | -0.15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 23', Mae H. 🟨,
- 45+2', 0 - 1, Suzuki Y. (Own goal),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Hiraoka T. ↓, Suzuki A. ↑,
- 61', Luiz Phellype ↓, Fukuda S. ↑,
- 62', 1 - 1, Fukuda S. ⚽,
- 72', Fujio S. ↓, Duke M. ↑,
- 78', Fujii T. ↓, Tachi K. ↑,
- 82', Soma Y. ↓, Na Sang-Ho ↑,
- 82', Shimoda H. ↓, Sento K. ↑,
- 83', 1 - 2, Na Sang-Ho ⚽,
- 90+1', Onose K. ↓, Nemoto R. ↑,
- 90+1', Barada A. ↓, Ikeda M. ↑,
- 90+1', Nishimura T. ↓, Shirasaki R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Shonan Bellmare
24% | Draw
29.5% | Machida Zelvia
46.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shonan Bellmare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)Machida Zelvia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shonan Bellmare than the current prediction. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Shonan Bellmare - Machida Zelvia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.87 ↑
(3.76) |
3.2 ↓
(3.26) |
2.03 ↓
(2.05) |
6.4%
(6.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Shonan Bellmare - Machida Zelvia?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Shonan Bellmare will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Shonan Bellmare (votes: 1 - 25%). Machida Zelvia (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Machida Zelvia (1.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Machida Zelvia (1.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Shonan Bellmare (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Machida Zelvia (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 and 10).
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Shonan Bellmare may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Machida Zelvia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There are questionable in Shonan Bellmare: Nagai T.
(Calf Injury)
Tamura S.
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in Machida Zelvia: Nakayama Y.
(Concussion)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shonan Bellmare won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 0.6:0.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Shonan Bellmare won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Shonan Bellmare won against Machida Zelvia?
Shonan Bellmare has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Machida Zelvia won against Shonan Bellmare?
Machida Zelvia has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Shonan Bellmare - Machida Zelvia were as follows:
25.04.2025
Machida Zelvia
-
Shonan Bellmare
0:1
11.08.2024
Machida Zelvia
-
Shonan Bellmare
0:1
11.05.2024
Shonan Bellmare
-
Machida Zelvia
0:0
Latest results of Shonan Bellmare
Latest results of Machida Zelvia
Japan J1 League Table
2026East | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13:4 | 19 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13:7 | 15 |
| 3 | Machida | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11:11 | 12 |
| 4 | Urawa Reds | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10:8 | 11 |
| 5 | Verdy | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11:11 | 11 |
| 6 | Kawasaki Frontale | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12:8 | 10 |
| 7 | Mito | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9:14 | 8 |
| 8 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7:12 | 6 |
| 9 | Kashiwa Reysol | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9:13 | 5 |
| 10 | Chiba | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5:12 | 5 |
West | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Gamba Osaka | 7 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12:10 | 13 |
| 2 | Vissel Kobe | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11:6 | 12 |
| 3 | Kyoto | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10:8 | 12 |
| 4 | Nagoya Grampus | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11:10 | 12 |
| 5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11:7 | 11 |
| 6 | Okayama | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9:10 | 11 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 7 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:9 | 10 |
| 8 | Cerezo Osaka | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7:7 | 9 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:15 | 3 |
Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
