Result
4:1
23/07/2025 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 21
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
China | K-Ball |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.33 | 0.60 |
Ball Possession |
---|
50% | 50% |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 13 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 7 |
Passes |
---|
76% (264/348) | 82% (276/336) |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.33 | 0.60 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.91 | 0.52 |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 13 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
3 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 6 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
5 | 9 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
6 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 2 |
Headed Goals |
---|
3 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 7 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
15 | 17 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 1 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
11 | 11 |
Passes |
---|
76% (264/348) | 82% (276/336) |
Long passes |
---|
34% (20/58) | 46% (19/41) |
Passes in final third |
---|
64% (59/92) | 75% (86/114) |
Crosses |
---|
25% (4/16) | 17% (4/23) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.98 | 1.01 |
Throw-ins |
---|
27 | 19 |
Fouls |
---|
11 | 11 |
Tackles |
---|
70% (14/20) | 75% (6/8) |
Duels won |
---|
51 | 34 |
Clearances |
---|
33 | 18 |
Interceptions |
---|
8 | 11 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.52 | 2.91 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.47 | -1.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 33', 1 - 0, Hoibraaten M. ⚽, Watanabe R. (A),
- 37', Watanabe R. ↓, Matsuo Y. ↑,
- 45+4', 2 - 0, Komori H. ⚽, Ogiwara T. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Ono K. ↓, Matsumoto H. ↑,
- 59', Hiraoka T. ↓, Luiz Phellype ↑,
- 66', Matheus Savio ↓, Sekine T. ↑,
- 66', Komori H. ↓, Matsumoto T. ↑,
- 66', Kaneko T. ↓, Okubo T. ↑,
- 67', Okuno K. ↓, Barada A. ↑,
- 67', Onose K. ↓, Oda Y. ↑,
- 71', 3 - 0, Sekine T. ⚽, Matsumoto T. (A),
- 75', Suzuki A. ↓, Ishibashi S. ↑,
- 77', 3 - 1, Ota S. ⚽, Luiz Phellype (A),
- 84', Gustafson S. ↓, Thiago ↑,
- 90+4', 4 - 1, Thiago ⚽,
Chances of winning
Urawa Red Diamonds 54.6% | Draw 25.5% | Shonan Bellmare 19.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Urawa Red Diamonds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)Shonan Bellmare has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Urawa Red Diamonds than the current prediction. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shonan Bellmare than the current prediction. (-1%)
Urawa Red Diamonds - Shonan Bellmare Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.73 ↓ (1.75) |
3.68 ↑ (3.6) |
4.76 ↓ (5) |
6% (4.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Urawa Red Diamonds - Shonan Bellmare?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Urawa Red Diamonds will win
(44 of 48 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.85% – 99.49%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Urawa Red Diamonds will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 and 17).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Urawa won 2.
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- Shonan Bellmare may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Shonan Bellmare has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Urawa is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Urawa: Shibato K.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Shonan Bellmare: Kamifukumoto N.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Matsumoto K.
(Knee Injury)
Nagai T.
(Calf Injury)
Takahashi N.
(Shoulder Injury)
Tamura S.
(Thigh Injury)
Ze Ricardo
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Urawa won 5 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 28:24. (average 1.4:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Urawa won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:13. (average 1.7:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Urawa Red Diamonds won against Shonan Bellmare?
Urawa Red Diamonds has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Shonan Bellmare won against Urawa Red Diamonds?
Shonan Bellmare has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Urawa Red Diamonds - Shonan Bellmare were as follows:
26.02.2025
Shonan Bellmare
-
Urawa Red Diamonds
2:1
06.07.2024
Urawa Red Diamonds
-
Shonan Bellmare
2:3
17.03.2024
Shonan Bellmare
-
Urawa Red Diamonds
4:4
25.08.2023
Shonan Bellmare
-
Urawa Red Diamonds
0:1
28.06.2023
Urawa Red Diamonds
-
Shonan Bellmare
4:1
Latest results of Urawa Red Diamonds
Latest results of Shonan Bellmare
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Vissel Kobe | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 34:22 | 12 | 46 |
2 | Kashima Antlers | 24 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 36:24 | 12 | 44 |
3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 33:23 | 10 | 44 |
4 | Kyoto | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 40:29 | 11 | 42 |
5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 29:18 | 11 | 42 |
6 | Machida | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 34:25 | 9 | 40 |
7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 38:26 | 12 | 38 |
8 | Urawa Reds | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 32:24 | 8 | 37 |
9 | Cerezo Osaka | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 37:33 | 4 | 34 |
10 | Gamba Osaka | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 29:31 | -2 | 34 |
11 | Avispa Fukuoka | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 21:23 | -2 | 31 |
12 | Okayama | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 20:22 | -2 | 30 |
13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 29:32 | -3 | 30 |
14 | FC Tokyo | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 27:34 | -7 | 29 |
15 | Nagoya Grampus | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 28:33 | -5 | 28 |
16 | Verdy | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 15:24 | -9 | 28 |
17 | Shonan Bellmare | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 20:37 | -17 | 24 |
18 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 23:32 | -9 | 21 |
19 | Yokohama FC | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 14:30 | -16 | 19 |
20 | Albirex Niigata | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 24:41 | -17 | 19 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League