Result
2:3
07/03/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 36
- Referee: Dale A. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.85 | 1.53 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 75% | 25% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (536/620) | 60% (127/212) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.85 | 1.53 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.19 | 1.34 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 41 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (536/620) | 60% (127/212) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 61% (33/54) | 38% (32/84) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 82% (231/282) | 46% (42/92) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (10/39) | 40% (4/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.09 | 0.60 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (5/10) | 56% (9/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 31 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 37 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 1 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.34 | 2.19 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.66 | 0.19 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 31', 1 - 0, Naylor T. ⚽, Markanday D. (A),
- 45+2', 1 - 1, Samuel-Ogunsuyi T. ⚽, Sang T. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Stirk R. ↓, Dobra A. ↑,
- 55', Freeman N. ↓, Perry T. ↑,
- 65', McDermott T. ↓, Scully A. ↑,
- 70', 1 - 2, Samuel-Ogunsuyi T. ⚽,
- 71', Grigg W. ↓, Bonis L. ↑,
- 72', Naylor T. ↓, Mandeville L. ↑,
- 72', Owolabi-Belewu M. ↓, Pearce T. ↑,
- 76', Morgan I. ↓, Lloyd G. ↑,
- 78', Berry-McNally J. ↓, Dickson W. ↑,
- 80', Cox M. 🟨,
- 84', Samuel-Ogunsuyi T. 🟨,
- 85', 2 - 2, Pearce T. ⚽,
- 90+2', Dobra A. 🟨,
- 90+3', 2 - 3, Stubbs S. ⚽, Sang T. (A),
Chances of winning
Chesterfield 52% | Draw 26.8% | Shrewsbury Town 21.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chesterfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)Shrewsbury Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shrewsbury Town than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Chesterfield - Shrewsbury Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.81 ↓ (1.88) |
3.48 ↓ (3.51) |
4.39 ↑ (3.86) |
6.9% (7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Chesterfield - Shrewsbury Town?
Users Predictions:
Chesterfield will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Chesterfield will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 17).
- Chesterfield has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Shrewsbury is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Chesterfield may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Chesterfield is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Chesterfield: Fleck J.
(Inactive)
Gordon L.
(Injury)
Hobson B.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Shrewsbury: Ihionvien B.
(Inactive)
Marquis J.
(Inactive)
Ruffels J.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Chesterfield: Ladapo F.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Shrewsbury: Scully A.
(Injury)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chesterfield won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 12:5. (average 2.4:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Chesterfield won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 4:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Chesterfield won against Shrewsbury Town?
Chesterfield has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Shrewsbury Town won against Chesterfield?
Shrewsbury Town has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chesterfield - Shrewsbury Town were as follows:
20.12.2025
Shrewsbury Town
-
Chesterfield
0:1
Latest results of Chesterfield
Latest results of Shrewsbury Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 42 | 23 | 14 | 5 | 67:41 | 26 | 83 |
| 2 | MK Dons | 42 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 77:42 | 35 | 76 |
| 3 | Notts Co | 42 | 23 | 7 | 12 | 71:45 | 26 | 76 |
| 4 | Cambridge Utd | 41 | 20 | 14 | 7 | 58:31 | 27 | 74 |
| 5 | Swindon | 42 | 22 | 8 | 12 | 67:48 | 19 | 74 |
| 6 | Salford | 42 | 23 | 4 | 15 | 57:50 | 7 | 73 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 41 | 18 | 14 | 9 | 63:52 | 11 | 68 |
| 8 | Crewe | 42 | 19 | 9 | 14 | 61:50 | 11 | 66 |
| 9 | Oldham | 41 | 17 | 14 | 10 | 52:35 | 17 | 65 |
| 10 | Grimsby | 40 | 18 | 11 | 11 | 59:43 | 16 | 65 |
| 11 | Barnet | 42 | 17 | 13 | 12 | 57:47 | 10 | 64 |
| 12 | Walsall | 42 | 17 | 11 | 14 | 52:46 | 6 | 62 |
| 13 | Colchester | 41 | 15 | 12 | 14 | 53:45 | 8 | 57 |
| 14 | Fleetwood | 42 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 51:53 | -2 | 55 |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 42 | 16 | 4 | 22 | 46:62 | -16 | 52 |
| 16 | Accrington | 41 | 14 | 9 | 18 | 40:46 | -6 | 51 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 41 | 12 | 13 | 16 | 48:60 | -12 | 49 |
| 18 | Shrewsbury | 42 | 12 | 8 | 22 | 39:66 | -27 | 44 |
| 19 | Cheltenham | 40 | 11 | 10 | 19 | 44:67 | -23 | 43 |
| 20 | Crawley | 42 | 8 | 13 | 21 | 40:62 | -22 | 37 |
| 21 | Tranmere | 41 | 9 | 9 | 23 | 48:71 | -23 | 36 |
| 22 | Newport | 42 | 9 | 7 | 26 | 41:72 | -31 | 34 |
| 23 | Barrow | 41 | 8 | 9 | 24 | 38:65 | -27 | 33 |
| 24 | Harrogate | 42 | 8 | 9 | 25 | 34:64 | -30 | 33 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League