Result
2:3
07/03/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 36
- Referee: Dale A. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.85 | 1.53 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 75% | 25% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (536/620) | 60% (127/212) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.85 | 1.53 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.19 | 1.34 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 41 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (536/620) | 60% (127/212) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 61% (33/54) | 38% (32/84) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 82% (231/282) | 46% (42/92) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (10/39) | 40% (4/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.09 | 0.60 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (5/10) | 56% (9/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 31 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 37 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 1 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.34 | 2.19 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.66 | 0.19 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 31', 1 - 0, Naylor T. ⚽, Markanday D. (A),
- 45+2', 1 - 1, Samuel-Ogunsuyi T. ⚽, Sang T. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Stirk R. ↓, Dobra A. ↑,
- 55', Freeman N. ↓, Perry T. ↑,
- 65', McDermott T. ↓, Scully A. ↑,
- 70', 1 - 2, Samuel-Ogunsuyi T. ⚽,
- 71', Grigg W. ↓, Bonis L. ↑,
- 72', Naylor T. ↓, Mandeville L. ↑,
- 72', Owolabi-Belewu M. ↓, Pearce T. ↑,
- 76', Morgan I. ↓, Lloyd G. ↑,
- 78', Berry-McNally J. ↓, Dickson W. ↑,
- 80', Cox M. 🟨,
- 84', Samuel-Ogunsuyi T. 🟨,
- 85', 2 - 2, Pearce T. ⚽,
- 90+2', Dobra A. 🟨,
- 90+3', 2 - 3, Stubbs S. ⚽, Sang T. (A),
Chances of winning
Chesterfield 52% | Draw 26.8% | Shrewsbury Town 21.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chesterfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)Shrewsbury Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shrewsbury Town than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Chesterfield - Shrewsbury Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.81 ↓ (1.88) |
3.48 ↓ (3.51) |
4.39 ↑ (3.86) |
6.9% (7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Chesterfield - Shrewsbury Town?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Chesterfield (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Chesterfield will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 17).
- Chesterfield has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Shrewsbury is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Chesterfield may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Chesterfield is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Chesterfield: Fleck J.
(Inactive)
Gordon L.
(Injury)
Hobson B.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Shrewsbury: Ihionvien B.
(Inactive)
Marquis J.
(Inactive)
Ruffels J.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Chesterfield: Ladapo F.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Shrewsbury: Scully A.
(Injury)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chesterfield won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 12:5. (average 2.4:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Chesterfield won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 4:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Chesterfield won against Shrewsbury Town?
Chesterfield has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Shrewsbury Town won against Chesterfield?
Shrewsbury Town has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chesterfield - Shrewsbury Town were as follows:
20.12.2025
Shrewsbury Town
-
Chesterfield
0:1
Latest results of Chesterfield
Latest results of Shrewsbury Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 38 | 21 | 13 | 4 | 61:36 | 25 | 76 |
| 2 | MK Dons | 38 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 75:37 | 38 | 74 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 37 | 19 | 12 | 6 | 55:28 | 27 | 69 |
| 4 | Notts Co | 37 | 20 | 7 | 10 | 60:37 | 23 | 67 |
| 5 | Salford | 38 | 21 | 4 | 13 | 54:47 | 7 | 67 |
| 6 | Swindon | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 62:45 | 17 | 66 |
| 7 | Grimsby | 37 | 16 | 11 | 10 | 51:40 | 11 | 59 |
| 8 | Chesterfield | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 60:52 | 8 | 59 |
| 9 | Crewe | 38 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 54:47 | 7 | 57 |
| 10 | Walsall | 38 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 46:40 | 6 | 57 |
| 11 | Oldham | 36 | 14 | 13 | 9 | 43:31 | 12 | 55 |
| 12 | Barnet | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 46:42 | 4 | 54 |
| 13 | Colchester | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 50:40 | 10 | 53 |
| 14 | Fleetwood | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 47:46 | 1 | 51 |
| 15 | Accrington | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 38:41 | -3 | 48 |
| 16 | Gillingham | 37 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 43:54 | -11 | 45 |
| 17 | Cheltenham | 37 | 11 | 9 | 17 | 41:60 | -19 | 42 |
| 18 | Shrewsbury | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 37:59 | -22 | 41 |
| 19 | Bristol Rovers | 38 | 12 | 4 | 22 | 38:59 | -21 | 40 |
| 20 | Tranmere | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 48:68 | -20 | 36 |
| 21 | Crawley | 38 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 36:59 | -23 | 31 |
| 22 | Newport | 38 | 8 | 7 | 23 | 38:65 | -27 | 31 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 29:57 | -28 | 30 |
| 24 | Barrow | 37 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 36:58 | -22 | 29 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League