Chesterfield vs Gillingham – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
17/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 33
  • Referee: Finnie W. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.230.60
Ball possession
46%54%
Total shots
1914
Shots on target
52
Big chances
40
Corner kicks
87
Passes
67% (199/297)66% (216/329)
Yellow cards
03
Expected goals (xG)
2.230.60
xG on target (xGOT)
1.270.35
Total shots
1914
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
99
Blocked shots
53
Shots inside the box
1010
Shots outside the box
94
Hit the woodwork
01
Big chances
40
Corner kicks
87
Touches in opposition box
1736
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
33
Free kicks
165
Passes
67% (199/297)66% (216/329)
Long passes
26% (19/74)41% (38/92)
Passes in final third
57% (65/115)57% (77/134)
Crosses
23% (5/22)13% (5/39)
Expected assists (xA)
0.771.04
Throw ins
1429
Fouls
516
Tackles
55% (6/11)88% (7/8)
Duels won
5640
Clearances
7328
Interceptions
107
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
23
xGOT faced
0.351.27
Goals prevented
0.350.27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 16', 1 - 0, Curtis S. , Swinkels S. (A),
  • 23', Beckles O. 🟨,
  • 31', Hutton R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 60', Markanday D. , Naylor T. ,
  • 60', Mandeville L. , Duffy D. ,
  • 60', Dobra A. , Berry-McNally J. ,
  • 66', Hutton R. , McCleary G. ,
  • 66', Andrews J. , Vokes S. ,
  • 78', Grigg W. , Ladapo F. ,
  • 81', Little A. , Antwi C. ,
  • 86', Dack B. , Coleman E. ,
  • 86', McKenzie R. , Palmer-Houlden S. ,
  • 88', Coleman E. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Chesterfield
44.8%
Draw
27.1%
Gillingham
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.3% 26% 27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7% 24.7% 26.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chesterfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • Gillingham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • Chesterfield - Gillingham Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.09
    (1.98)
    3.45
    (3.53)
    3.31
    (3.32)
    7.2%
    (9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Chesterfield - Gillingham?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Chesterfield will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Gillingham will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Chesterfield: 50.5%99.5%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 8 and 14).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chesterfield won 0.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Gillingham may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Chesterfield is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Chesterfield: Bonis L. (Red Card) Fleck J. (Inactive) Gordon L. (Injury) Hobson B. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Gillingham: Khumbeni N. (Inactive) Masterson C. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Gillingham: Cirino L. (Inactive) Smith J. (Injury) Wyllie M. (Inactive)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Chesterfield won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:18. (average 1.5:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Chesterfield won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1.6:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chesterfield - Gillingham were as follows:
    19.08.2025 Gillingham - Chesterfield 4:1
    08.04.2025 Chesterfield - Gillingham 1:1
    31.08.2024 Gillingham - Chesterfield 1:0
    Latest results of Chesterfield
    Latest results of Gillingham
    English League Two Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley ✔ 462415771:462587
    2MK Dons ✔ 462414886:454186
    3Cambridge Utd462216866:333382
    4Salford462561561:511081
    5Notts Co462481474:522280
    6Chesterfield462116971:561579
    7Grimsby4622121274:502478
    8Barnet4621131270:531776
    9Swindon462291570:591175
    10Oldham4618141460:441668
    11Crewe4619101764:58667
    12Colchester4618121662:491366
    13Walsall4618111756:56065
    14Bristol Rovers461952256:65-962
    15Fleetwood4615161557:58-161
    16Accrington4614112147:58-1153
    17Gillingham4613141953:72-1953
    18Cheltenham4614102253:79-2652
    19Shrewsbury4613102342:69-2749
    20Newport461272748:77-2943
    21Tranmere4610112554:79-2541
    22Crawley468162244:68-2440
    23Harrogate461092739:68-2939
    24Barrow46992845:78-3336

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Bromley is Qualified for League One
    MK Dons is Qualified for League One