Result
1:0
28/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 40
- Referee: Bell E. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.35 | 0.15 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 62% (224/363) | 56% (182/327) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.35 | 0.15 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.34 | 0.08 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 62% (224/363) | 56% (182/327) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 29% (26/90) | 27% (26/98) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 46% (65/140) | 44% (37/85) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 6% (1/16) | 11% (1/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 0.36 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 32 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (5/8) | 72% (13/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 77 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.08 | 0.34 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.08 | -0.66 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 29', Benning M. 🟨,
- 44', Sang T. ↓, McDermott T. ↑,
- 45+4', Evans C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 68', 1 - 0, Kamwa B. ⚽, Davies T. (A),
- 69', Lloyd G. ↓, Marquis J. ↑,
- 70', Benning M. ↓, Kabia I. ↑,
- 71', Boyle W. 🟨,
- 73', Smith M. ↓, Garner G. ↑,
- 74', Shephard L. ↓, Thomas J. ↑,
- 76', Scully A. ↓, Ihionvien B. ↑,
- 86', Crole J. ↓, Baker-Richardson C. ↑,
- 87', Lloyd B. ↓, Opoku N. ↑,
- 90+1', Garner G. 🟨,
- 90+3', Perry T. 🟨,
- 90+4', Evans C. ↓, Brennan C. ↑,
Chances of winning
Newport County
39.4% | Draw
29.6% | Shrewsbury Town
31% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Newport County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Newport County's performance.Shrewsbury Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shrewsbury Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (-6.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Newport County that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shrewsbury Town than the current prediction. (+7.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shrewsbury Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Newport County - Shrewsbury Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.38 ↓
(2.72) |
3.14 ↓
(3.26) |
3.02 ↑
(2.48) |
7%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Newport County - Shrewsbury Town?
Users Predictions:
26 users predict this event. Newport will win (votes: 16 - 61.5%). Shrewsbury will win (votes: 6 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Newport: 42.8% – 80.2%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Newport County will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 22 and 19).
- Newport has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Shrewsbury is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Newport might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Newport: Brennan C.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Shrewsbury: Hoole L.
(Injury)
Marquis J.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Newport: Jenkins L.
(Injury)
Spellman M.
(Injury)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Newport won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Newport won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Newport County won against Shrewsbury Town?
Newport County has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Shrewsbury Town won against Newport County?
Shrewsbury Town has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Newport County - Shrewsbury Town were as follows:
15.11.2025
Shrewsbury Town
-
Newport County
1:0
Latest results of Newport County
Latest results of Shrewsbury Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 43 | 23 | 14 | 6 | 68:43 | 25 | 83 |
| 2 | MK Dons | 43 | 22 | 13 | 8 | 79:43 | 36 | 79 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 42 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 62:31 | 31 | 77 |
| 4 | Notts Co | 43 | 23 | 7 | 13 | 71:49 | 22 | 76 |
| 5 | Swindon | 43 | 22 | 8 | 13 | 67:51 | 16 | 74 |
| 6 | Salford | 43 | 23 | 5 | 15 | 57:50 | 7 | 74 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 42 | 18 | 15 | 9 | 64:53 | 11 | 69 |
| 8 | Grimsby | 41 | 19 | 11 | 11 | 62:45 | 17 | 68 |
| 9 | Barnet | 43 | 18 | 13 | 12 | 60:49 | 11 | 67 |
| 10 | Crewe | 43 | 19 | 9 | 15 | 63:53 | 10 | 66 |
| 11 | Oldham | 42 | 17 | 14 | 11 | 52:36 | 16 | 65 |
| 12 | Walsall | 43 | 17 | 11 | 15 | 52:50 | 2 | 62 |
| 13 | Colchester | 42 | 16 | 12 | 14 | 56:45 | 11 | 60 |
| 14 | Fleetwood | 43 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 53:54 | -1 | 58 |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 43 | 17 | 4 | 22 | 49:63 | -14 | 55 |
| 16 | Accrington | 42 | 14 | 9 | 19 | 41:48 | -7 | 51 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 42 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 48:60 | -12 | 50 |
| 18 | Shrewsbury | 43 | 13 | 8 | 22 | 40:66 | -26 | 47 |
| 19 | Cheltenham | 41 | 12 | 10 | 19 | 48:67 | -19 | 46 |
| 20 | Tranmere | 42 | 9 | 10 | 23 | 49:72 | -23 | 37 |
| 21 | Crawley | 43 | 8 | 13 | 22 | 41:65 | -24 | 37 |
| 22 | Newport | 43 | 10 | 7 | 26 | 43:73 | -30 | 37 |
| 23 | Barrow | 42 | 8 | 9 | 25 | 40:68 | -28 | 33 |
| 24 | Harrogate | 43 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 35:66 | -31 | 33 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
