Result
1:0
15/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 16
- Referee: Swallow E. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.99 | 1.33 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (230/337) | 73% (271/372) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.99 | 1.33 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 0.40 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (230/337) | 73% (271/372) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 34% (27/80) | 29% (22/76) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (85/140) | 46% (46/101) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (4/20) | 15% (2/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 0.95 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (10/18) | 53% (9/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.40 | 1.13 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.40 | 0.13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 49', McDermott T. 🟨,
- 51', 1 - 0, Scully A. ⚽, Clucas S. (A),
- 57', Braybrooke S. 🟨,
- 59', Driscoll-Glennon A. ↓, Kamwa B. ↑,
- 62', Anderson T. 🟨,
- 71', Odimayo A. ↓, Brennan C. ↑,
- 74', McDermott T. ↓, Hoole L. ↑,
- 77', Ruffels J. 🟨,
- 82', Antwi C. ↓, Alexander-Walker M. ↑,
- 84', Garner G. 🟨,
- 90+4', Sang T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Shrewsbury Town
50.5% | Draw
27.8% | Newport County
21.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Shrewsbury Town have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.Newport County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shrewsbury Town than the current prediction. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Shrewsbury Town - Newport County Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.87 ↑
(1.84) |
3.4 ↑
(3.37) |
4.28 ↑
(4.25) |
6.5%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Shrewsbury Town - Newport County?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Shrewsbury will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Newport will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shrewsbury: 15.4% – 84.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Recently, Shrewsbury has had a series of away games.
- Recently, Newport has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Shrewsbury is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Shrewsbury: Ihionvien B.
(Inactive)
Sang T.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Newport: Patten K.
(Broken Leg)
Shephard L.
(Hamstring Injury)
Smith M.
(Back Injury)
Whitmore K.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Newport: Baker M.
(Inactive)
Ogunneye H.
(Injury)
Opoku N.
(Injury)
Thomas J.
(Injury)
Warner J.
(Injury)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Shrewsbury won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.3:0.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Shrewsbury won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Shrewsbury Town won against Newport County?
Shrewsbury Town has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Newport County won against Shrewsbury Town?
Newport County has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Shrewsbury Town - Newport County were as follows:
Latest results of Shrewsbury Town
Latest results of Newport County
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 35 | 19 | 12 | 4 | 58:35 | 23 | 69 |
| 2 | Cambridge Utd | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 49:27 | 22 | 64 |
| 3 | MK Dons | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 63:34 | 29 | 62 |
| 4 | Swindon | 35 | 19 | 5 | 11 | 57:41 | 16 | 62 |
| 5 | Notts Co | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 52:33 | 19 | 61 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 35 | 14 | 14 | 7 | 55:44 | 11 | 56 |
| 7 | Crewe | 35 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 52:41 | 11 | 56 |
| 8 | Grimsby | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 49:38 | 11 | 55 |
| 9 | Salford | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 47:46 | 1 | 55 |
| 10 | Barnet | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 44:37 | 7 | 53 |
| 11 | Walsall | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 42:37 | 5 | 53 |
| 12 | Colchester | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 48:38 | 10 | 49 |
| 13 | Fleetwood | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 44:42 | 2 | 48 |
| 14 | Oldham | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 36:30 | 6 | 46 |
| 15 | Accrington | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 37:36 | 1 | 46 |
| 16 | Gillingham | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 41:41 | 0 | 44 |
| 17 | Shrewsbury | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 34:54 | -20 | 38 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 34:55 | -21 | 36 |
| 19 | Tranmere | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 47:62 | -15 | 35 |
| 20 | Bristol Rovers | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 33:57 | -24 | 31 |
| 21 | Crawley | 35 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 33:56 | -23 | 28 |
| 22 | Newport | 35 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 35:61 | -26 | 28 |
| 23 | Barrow | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 33:51 | -18 | 27 |
| 24 | Harrogate | 35 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 25:52 | -27 | 27 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
