Result
1:0
17/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 33
- Referee: Davis W. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 1.39 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 27% | 73% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 50% (111/223) | 85% (519/612) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 1.39 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.75 | 1.28 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 33 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 50% (111/223) | 85% (519/612) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 23% (18/80) | 37% (18/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 39% (28/71) | 72% (153/213) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (5/14) | 28% (7/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 1.81 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (12/21) | 17% (1/6) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.28 | 1.75 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.28 | 0.75 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 30', Scully A. ↓, McDermott T. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 54', 1 - 0, Perry T. ⚽,
- 57', Tangen H. ↓, Ndlovu L. ↑,
- 58', Tsaroulla N. ↓, Enoru B. ↑,
- 58', Jones J. ↓, Kouhyar Q. ↑,
- 63', Enoru B. 🟨,
- 71', Sang T. ↓, Freeman N. ↑,
- 71', Lloyd G. ↓, Samuel-Ogunsuyi T. ↑,
- 75', Iorpenda T. ↓, Hall T. ↑,
- 76', Norburn O. ↓, Hinchy J. ↑,
- 76', Morgan I. ↓, Benning M. ↑,
- 90+5', Macari L. 🟨,
- 90+5', Bedeau J. 🟨,
- 90+6', Norburn O. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Shrewsbury Town
29.6% | Draw
29.1% | Notts County
41.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shrewsbury Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Notts County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shrewsbury Town than the current prediction. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Shrewsbury Town - Notts County Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.16 ↑
(3.08) |
3.19 ↓
(3.25) |
2.27 ↑
(2.17) |
7%
(9.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Shrewsbury Town - Notts County?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Notts County will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Notts County: 57.1% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Notts County (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 19 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shrewsbury won 3.
- In recent matches, Shrewsbury has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Notts County is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Shrewsbury may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Notts County will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Shrewsbury: Ihionvien B.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Notts County: Luker J.
(Inactive)
Robertson S.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Shrewsbury: Clucas S.
(Injury)
Marquis J.
(Inactive)
Ojinnaka T.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Notts County: Jatta A.
(Inactive)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Shrewsbury won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:17. (average 2.1:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Shrewsbury won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 2:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Shrewsbury Town won against Notts County?
Shrewsbury Town has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Notts County won against Shrewsbury Town?
Notts County has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Shrewsbury Town - Notts County were as follows:
20.08.2025
Notts County
-
Shrewsbury Town
4:1
13.08.2024
Shrewsbury Town
-
Notts County
4:3
01.12.2023
Notts County
-
Shrewsbury Town
2:3
29.07.2023
Shrewsbury Town
-
Notts County
1:1
Latest results of Shrewsbury Town
Latest results of Notts County
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 35 | 19 | 12 | 4 | 58:35 | 23 | 69 |
| 2 | Cambridge Utd | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 49:27 | 22 | 64 |
| 3 | MK Dons | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 63:34 | 29 | 62 |
| 4 | Swindon | 35 | 19 | 5 | 11 | 57:41 | 16 | 62 |
| 5 | Notts Co | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 52:33 | 19 | 61 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 35 | 14 | 14 | 7 | 55:44 | 11 | 56 |
| 7 | Crewe | 35 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 52:41 | 11 | 56 |
| 8 | Grimsby | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 49:38 | 11 | 55 |
| 9 | Salford | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 47:46 | 1 | 55 |
| 10 | Barnet | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 44:37 | 7 | 53 |
| 11 | Walsall | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 42:37 | 5 | 53 |
| 12 | Colchester | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 48:38 | 10 | 49 |
| 13 | Fleetwood | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 44:42 | 2 | 48 |
| 14 | Oldham | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 36:30 | 6 | 46 |
| 15 | Accrington | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 37:36 | 1 | 46 |
| 16 | Gillingham | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 41:41 | 0 | 44 |
| 17 | Shrewsbury | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 34:54 | -20 | 38 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 34:55 | -21 | 36 |
| 19 | Tranmere | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 47:62 | -15 | 35 |
| 20 | Bristol Rovers | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 33:57 | -24 | 31 |
| 21 | Crawley | 35 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 33:56 | -23 | 28 |
| 22 | Newport | 35 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 35:61 | -26 | 28 |
| 23 | Barrow | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 33:51 | -18 | 27 |
| 24 | Harrogate | 35 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 25:52 | -27 | 27 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
