Result
4:1
20/08/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 4
- Referee: Drysdale D. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 0.34 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (371/463) | 79% (308/389) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 0.34 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.65 | 1.58 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (371/463) | 79% (308/389) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 25% (15/60) | 34% (17/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (60/95) | 63% (52/82) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (2/9) | 31% (5/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.25 | 1.15 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (18/23) | 61% (14/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.58 | 3.65 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.58 | -0.35 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 8', 1 - 0, Dennis M. ⚽,
- 12', Norburn O. 🟨,
- 20', 2 - 0, Aljofree S. ⚽, Dennis M. (A),
- 32', 2 - 1, Marquis J. ⚽, Stubbs S. (A),
- 41', Stubbs S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 47', 3 - 1, Tsaroulla N. ⚽, Jones J. (A),
- 69', Cotter B. ↓, Gordon K. ↑,
- 69', Jones J. ↓, Grant C. ↑,
- 74', Boyle W. ↓, Nurse G. ↑,
- 74', Scully A. ↓, Stewart C. ↑,
- 74', Nsiala A. ↓, Hoole L. ↑,
- 75', Tsaroulla N. ↓, Bennetts K. ↑,
- 75', Norburn O. ↓, Hall T. ↑,
- 78', Grant C. 🟨,
- 81', Gordon K. 🟨,
- 82', 4 - 1, Grant C. ⚽, Gordon K. (A),
- 86', Dennis M. ↓, Kouhyar Q. ↑,
- 90', Marquis J. 🟨,
- 90+3', Nurse G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Notts County
58.3% | Draw
24.8% | Shrewsbury Town
16.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Notts County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Notts County's performance.Shrewsbury Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (-11.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Notts County that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shrewsbury Town than the current prediction. (+7.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shrewsbury Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Notts County - Shrewsbury Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.81
(1.81) |
4.51 ↑
(3.6) |
6.84 ↑
(4.31) |
-7.9%
(6.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Notts County - Shrewsbury Town?
Users Predictions:
Notts County will win
(23 of 27 users predict this - 85.19%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.79% – 98.59%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Notts County will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Notts County won 0.
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- In this match, Notts County is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Notts County: Robertson S.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Shrewsbury: Mata M. A.
(Inactive)
McDermott T.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Notts County: Jarvis W.
(Inactive)
Jatta A.
(Inactive)
Ness L.
(Inactive)
Traore M.
(Inactive)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Notts County won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:16. (average 1.9:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Notts County won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 2.3:2.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Notts County won against Shrewsbury Town?
Notts County has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Shrewsbury Town won against Notts County?
Shrewsbury Town has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Notts County - Shrewsbury Town were as follows:
13.08.2024
Shrewsbury Town
-
Notts County
4:3
01.12.2023
Notts County
-
Shrewsbury Town
2:3
29.07.2023
Shrewsbury Town
-
Notts County
1:1
Latest results of Notts County
Latest results of Shrewsbury Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Crewe | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10:2 | 8 | 12 |
| 2 | Grimsby | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 10 |
| 3 | Chesterfield | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 9 |
| 4 | Salford | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 9 |
| 5 | MK Dons | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8:1 | 7 | 8 |
| 6 | Gillingham | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 8 |
| 7 | Bromley | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 8 |
| 8 | Harrogate | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 8 |
| 9 | Cambridge Utd | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 7 |
| 10 | Fleetwood | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 | Walsall | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
| 12 | Swindon | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 6 |
| 13 | Tranmere | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 5 |
| 14 | Colchester | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 5 |
| 15 | Notts Co | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 4 |
| 16 | Newport | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 4 |
| 17 | Oldham | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 18 | Barnet | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 3 |
| 19 | Barrow | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
| 20 | Accrington | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 1 |
| 21 | Bristol Rovers | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:6 | -4 | 1 |
| 22 | Crawley | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:7 | -5 | 1 |
| 23 | Shrewsbury | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:10 | -9 | 1 |
| 24 | Cheltenham | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1:10 | -9 | 0 |
Promotion ~ League Two
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
