Notts County vs Gillingham – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
03/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 25
  • Referee: Swallow E. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.060.75
Ball possession
56%44%
Total shots
1412
Shots on target
44
Big chances
33
Corner kicks
43
Passes
75% (351/467)67% (236/351)
Yellow cards
13
Expected goals (xG)
1.060.75
xG on target (xGOT)
0.780.51
Total shots
1412
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
63
Blocked shots
45
Shots inside the box
87
Shots outside the box
65
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
33
Corner kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
1629
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
32
Free kicks
1210
Passes
75% (351/467)67% (236/351)
Long passes
28% (20/72)47% (35/75)
Passes in final third
66% (70/106)52% (73/140)
Crosses
27% (3/11)34% (10/29)
Expected assists (xA)
0.441.17
Throw ins
2632
Fouls
1012
Tackles
80% (16/20)75% (18/24)
Duels won
6076
Clearances
3317
Interceptions
612
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
42
xGOT faced
0.510.78
Goals prevented
0.51-0.22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 27', 1 - 0, Robertson S. , Norburn O. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 56', Andrews J. 🟨,
  • 63', Andrews J. , Vokes S. ,
  • 63', Palmer-Houlden S. , McCleary G. ,
  • 63', Macari L. , Ness L. ,
  • 64', Hall T. , Ndlovu L. ,
  • 71', McKenzie R. , Dack B. ,
  • 71', Gale S. , Hutton R. ,
  • 76', Ness L. 🟨,
  • 80', Dennis M. , Bennetts K. ,
  • 81', Dack B. 🟨,
  • 86', Beckles O. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Notts County
46.9%
Draw
28.1%
Gillingham
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.3% 26.8% 27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9% 25.4% 25.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Notts County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • Gillingham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • Notts County - Gillingham Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.99
    (1.98)
    3.34
    (3.43)
    3.72
    (3.4)
    7.1%
    (9.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Notts County - Gillingham?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Notts County will win (votes: 8 - 50%). Gillingham will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Notts County: 25.5%74.5%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DC - Notts County (1.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Notts County will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Notts County (votes: 8 - 88.9%). Gillingham (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 16).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Notts County won 2.
    • In recent matches, Notts County has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Gillingham is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Notts County could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Notts County: Luker J. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Gillingham: McCleary G. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Notts County: Palmer M. (Inactive) Robertson S. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Gillingham: Khumbeni N. (Inactive) Williams E. (Shoulder Injury) Wyllie M. (Inactive)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Notts County won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 1.2:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Notts County won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Notts County - Gillingham were as follows:
    13.09.2025 Gillingham - Notts County 1:0
    01.02.2025 Gillingham - Notts County 1:2
    21.09.2024 Notts County - Gillingham 0:1
    09.02.2024 Notts County - Gillingham 1:3
    21.10.2023 Gillingham - Notts County 1:2
    Latest results of Notts County
    Latest results of Gillingham
    English League Two Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley ✔ 462415771:462587
    2MK Dons ✔ 462414886:454186
    3Cambridge Utd462216866:333382
    4Salford462561561:511081
    5Notts Co462481474:522280
    6Chesterfield462116971:561579
    7Grimsby4622121274:502478
    8Barnet4621131270:531776
    9Swindon462291570:591175
    10Oldham4618141460:441668
    11Crewe4619101764:58667
    12Colchester4618121662:491366
    13Walsall4618111756:56065
    14Bristol Rovers461952256:65-962
    15Fleetwood4615161557:58-161
    16Accrington4614112147:58-1153
    17Gillingham4613141953:72-1953
    18Cheltenham4614102253:79-2652
    19Shrewsbury4613102342:69-2749
    20Newport461272748:77-2943
    21Tranmere4610112554:79-2541
    22Crawley468162244:68-2440
    23Harrogate461092739:68-2939
    24Barrow46992845:78-3336

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Bromley is Qualified for League One
    MK Dons is Qualified for League One