Result
1:0
03/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 25
- Referee: Swallow E. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 0.75 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (351/467) | 67% (236/351) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 0.75 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 0.51 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 29 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (351/467) | 67% (236/351) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 28% (20/72) | 47% (35/75) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (70/106) | 52% (73/140) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (3/11) | 34% (10/29) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.44 | 1.17 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 26 | 32 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (16/20) | 75% (18/24) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 76 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.51 | 0.78 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.51 | -0.22 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 27', 1 - 0, Robertson S. ⚽, Norburn O. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 56', Andrews J. 🟨,
- 63', Andrews J. ↓, Vokes S. ↑,
- 63', Palmer-Houlden S. ↓, McCleary G. ↑,
- 63', Macari L. ↓, Ness L. ↑,
- 64', Hall T. ↓, Ndlovu L. ↑,
- 71', McKenzie R. ↓, Dack B. ↑,
- 71', Gale S. ↓, Hutton R. ↑,
- 76', Ness L. 🟨,
- 80', Dennis M. ↓, Bennetts K. ↑,
- 81', Dack B. 🟨,
- 86', Beckles O. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Notts County 46.9% | Draw 28.1% | Gillingham 25% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Notts County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)Gillingham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (+2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Notts County - Gillingham Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.99 ↑ (1.98) |
3.34 ↓ (3.43) |
3.72 ↑ (3.4) |
7.1% (9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Notts County - Gillingham?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Notts County will win (votes: 8 - 50%). Gillingham will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Notts County: 25.5% – 74.5%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DC - Notts County (1.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Notts County will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Notts County (votes: 8 - 88.9%). Gillingham (votes: 1 - 11.1%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 16).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Notts County won 2.
- In recent matches, Notts County has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Gillingham is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Notts County could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Notts County: Luker J.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Gillingham: McCleary G.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Notts County: Palmer M.
(Inactive)
Robertson S.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Gillingham: Khumbeni N.
(Inactive)
Williams E.
(Shoulder Injury)
Wyllie M.
(Inactive)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Notts County won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 1.2:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Notts County won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Notts County won against Gillingham?
Notts County has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gillingham won against Notts County?
Gillingham has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Notts County - Gillingham were as follows:
13.09.2025
Gillingham
-
Notts County
1:0
01.02.2025
Gillingham
-
Notts County
1:2
21.09.2024
Notts County
-
Gillingham
0:1
09.02.2024
Notts County
-
Gillingham
1:3
21.10.2023
Gillingham
-
Notts County
1:2
Latest results of Notts County
Latest results of Gillingham
English League Two Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley ✔ | 46 | 24 | 15 | 7 | 71:46 | 25 | 87 |
| 2 | MK Dons ✔ | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 86:45 | 41 | 86 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 46 | 22 | 16 | 8 | 66:33 | 33 | 82 |
| 4 | Salford | 46 | 25 | 6 | 15 | 61:51 | 10 | 81 |
| 5 | Notts Co | 46 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 74:52 | 22 | 80 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 46 | 21 | 16 | 9 | 71:56 | 15 | 79 |
| 7 | Grimsby | 46 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 74:50 | 24 | 78 |
| 8 | Barnet | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 70:53 | 17 | 76 |
| 9 | Swindon | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 70:59 | 11 | 75 |
| 10 | Oldham | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 60:44 | 16 | 68 |
| 11 | Crewe | 46 | 19 | 10 | 17 | 64:58 | 6 | 67 |
| 12 | Colchester | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 62:49 | 13 | 66 |
| 13 | Walsall | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 56:56 | 0 | 65 |
| 14 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 56:65 | -9 | 62 |
| 15 | Fleetwood | 46 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 57:58 | -1 | 61 |
| 16 | Accrington | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47:58 | -11 | 53 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 53:72 | -19 | 53 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 53:79 | -26 | 52 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 42:69 | -27 | 49 |
| 20 | Newport | 46 | 12 | 7 | 27 | 48:77 | -29 | 43 |
| 21 | Tranmere | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 54:79 | -25 | 41 |
| 22 | Crawley | 46 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 44:68 | -24 | 40 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 46 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 39:68 | -29 | 39 |
| 24 | Barrow | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 45:78 | -33 | 36 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
Clinched Spots for Teams
Bromley is Qualified for League One
MK Dons is Qualified for League One