Shurtan Guzar vs Surkhon Termez – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Uzbek League Shurtan Guzar - Surkhon Termez
Result
2:1
22/06/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Super League - Round 13
  • Referee: Lutfullin R. (Uzb)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
1413
Shots on target
69
Corner Kicks
65
Yellow Cards
33
Red Cards
01
Total shots
1413
Shots on target
69
Shots off target
84
Corner Kicks
65
Goalkeeper Saves
84

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 7', 0 - 1, Sherbutaev K. , Tursunov D. (A),
  • 11', Khudoyberdiev U. 🟨,
  • 13', Tursunov D. 🟨,
  • 34', Khamidzhonov S. 🟥,
  • 45+2', 1 - 1, Kodirov G. , Pirmukhamedov A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Sadulloev S. , Mannonov J. ,
  • 46', Kodirov G. , Toshkuziev A. ,
  • 47', 🟨,
  • 63', 🟨,
  • 66', 2 - 1, Toshkuziev A. ,
  • 90', 🟨,
  • 90+1', 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Shurtan Guzar
28.6%
Draw
29.6%
Surkhon Termez
41.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.9% 28.1% 47%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24% 29.2% 48.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Shurtan Guzar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
  • Surkhon Termez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Surkhon Termez might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shurtan Guzar than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Surkhon Termez than the current prediction. (+7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Surkhon Termez could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Shurtan Guzar - Surkhon Termez Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.22
    (3.75)
    3.11
    (3.33)
    2.2
    (1.99)
    8.6%
    (6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Pro Liga and 11).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Surkhon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Surkhon is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Shurtan Guzar
    Latest results of Surkhon Termez
    Uzbek League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Neftchi Fargona19116230:161439
    2Nasaf Qarshi18107132:151737
    3Din. Samarkand19107229:22737
    4OKMK19104526:19734
    5Pakhtakor19103636:171933
    6Navbahor Namangan1994634:201431
    7Bunyodkor1887329:191031
    8Termez Surkhon1865717:19-223
    9Qizilqum1857616:25-922
    10Andijan1856723:25-221
    11Sogdiana1955921:24-320
    12Xorazm Urganch1854922:22019
    13Kokand 191218431113:31-1815
    14Mashal Muborak18431115:35-2015
    15Buxoro18351017:30-1314
    16Shortan Guzor18241211:32-2110

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Super League (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Pro Liga