Result
03/05/2026 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 11
- Referee: Nasibullayev S. (Uzb)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 11 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 11 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 11 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 24', Buriev A. 🟨,
- 42', 1 - 0, Abdullazhonov S. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 61', Khamdamov D. ↓, Resan B. ↑,
- 68', Kodirov F. ↓, Chinedu S. ↑,
- 72', Abdukhamidov S. ↓, Ramazonov D. ↑,
- 73', Sobirkhuzhaev S. ↓, Mozgovoy A. ↑,
- 73', Khamraliev M. 🟨,
- 80', Abdullazhonov S. ↓, Shukurullaev B. ↑,
- 80', Musaxonov M. ↓, Nematkhonov N. ↑,
- 83', 🟨,
- 84', 🟨,
- 90+1', 1 - 1, Azmiddinov S. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Surkhon Termez
20.9% | Draw
25.1% | Pakhtakor
54% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Surkhon Termez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)Pakhtakor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Surkhon Termez than the current prediction. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pakhtakor than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
Surkhon Termez - Pakhtakor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.4 ↓
(4.53) |
3.67 ↓
(3.91) |
1.71 ↑
(1.69) |
8.6%
(6.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 13 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Surkhon won 2.
- Surkhon has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Pakhtakor is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In this match, Pakhtakor is the team to beat.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Surkhon won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 9:34. (average 0.6:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Surkhon won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:17. (average 0.6:2.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Surkhon Termez won against Pakhtakor?
Surkhon Termez has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pakhtakor won against Surkhon Termez?
Pakhtakor has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Surkhon Termez - Pakhtakor were as follows:
29.09.2025
Pakhtakor
-
Surkhon Termez
1:0
03.05.2025
Surkhon Termez
-
Pakhtakor
2:1
22.08.2024
Pakhtakor
-
Surkhon Termez
0:1
04.03.2024
Surkhon Termez
-
Pakhtakor
0:3
24.11.2023
Surkhon Termez
-
Pakhtakor
1:2
Latest results of Surkhon Termez
Latest results of Pakhtakor
Uzbek League Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Neftchi Fargona | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 25:3 | 22 | 28 |
| 2 | Pakhtakor | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 22:12 | 10 | 26 |
| 3 | Buxoro | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15:11 | 4 | 20 |
| 4 | Navbahor Namangan | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 14:8 | 6 | 19 |
| 5 | Bunyodkor | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 13:11 | 2 | 19 |
| 6 | OKMK | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14:14 | 0 | 16 |
| 7 | Lok. Tashkent | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13:14 | -1 | 14 |
| 8 | Andijan | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 13:11 | 2 | 13 |
| 9 | Nasaf Qarshi | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 13 |
| 10 | Xorazm Urganch | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 13 |
| 11 | Qizilqum | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 8:14 | -6 | 13 |
| 12 | Termez Surkhon | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11:18 | -7 | 12 |
| 13 | Din. Samarkand | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 17:21 | -4 | 11 |
| 14 | Kokand 1912 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 10:15 | -5 | 11 |
| 15 | Sogdiana | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 19:25 | -6 | 9 |
| 16 | Mashal Muborak | 11 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4:21 | -17 | 0 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Super League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Pro Liga
