Sigma Olomouc vs Lech Poznań – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa Conference League
Result
1:2
18/12/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Conference League - League phase - Round 6
  • Referee: Kolaric P. (Cro)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.962.55
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
187
Shots on target
24
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
40
Passes
73% (243/334)80% (418/522)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
0.962.55
xG on target (xGOT)
0.512.66
Total shots
187
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
91
Blocked Shots
72
Shots inside the Box
156
Shots outside the Box
31
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
40
Touches in opposition box
3415
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
41
Free Kicks
515
Passes
73% (243/334)80% (418/522)
Long passes
45% (32/71)40% (23/58)
Passes in final third
58% (66/113)66% (63/95)
Crosses
52% (13/25)33% (1/3)
Expected assists (xA)
0.900.45
Throw-ins
1228
Fouls
155
Tackles
80% (12/15)67% (10/15)
Duels won
4248
Clearances
2124
Interceptions
1218
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
2.660.51
Goals prevented
0.66-0.49

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 35', 0 - 1, Ishak M. ⚽, Gurgul M. (A),
  • 45+1', Sylla A. 🟨,
  • 45+1', 0 - 2, Ishak M. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Ghali A. ↓, Sip J. ↑,
  • 53', Langer S. ↓, Kliment J. ↑,
  • 59', Ishak M. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 59', Breite R. 🟨,
  • 62', Palma L. ↓, Bengtsson L. ↑,
  • 72', Ismaheel T. ↓, Lisman K. ↑,
  • 72', Rodriguez P. ↓, Gholizadeh A. ↑,
  • 76', Navratil J. ↓, Dolznikov A. ↑,
  • 84', 1 - 2, Kral J. ⚽, Kostadinov T. (A),
  • 85', Vasulin D. ↓, Tijani M. ↑,
  • 88', Pereira J. ↓, Gumny R. ↑,
  • 88', Ishak M. ↓, Agnero Y. ↑,
  • 90', Ouma T. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Sigma Olomouc
30.4%		Draw
32.2%		Lech Poznań
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36% 29% 35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4% 29.3% 34.6%

Sigma Olomouc - Lech Poznań Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 3.12 ↑
(2.61)		 2.91 ↓
(3.24)		 2.52 ↓
(2.68)		 6%
(6.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Sigma Olomouc - Lech Poznań?
  • Users Predictions: 76 users predict this event. Sigma will win (votes: 4 - 5.3%). Lech will win (votes: 10 - 13.2%). It will Tie (votes: 62 - 81.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 72.9% – 90.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 24 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 24 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 0.5 - under (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 0.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Sigma is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Lech is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Lech may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Sigma: Digana T. (Inactive) Dumitrescu A. (Injury) Leibl M. (Injury) Mikulenka M. (Injury) Muritala Y. (Knee Injury) Tkac D. (Inactive) Trefil J. (Inactive) Vrastil L. (Inactive) Yasser M. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Lech: Douglas A. (Inactive) Hakans D. (Ankle Injury) Milic A. (Injury) Murawski R. (Surgery) Thordarson G. (Injury) Walemark P. (Surgery)
    • There are questionable in Sigma: Huk T. (Injury)
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Sigma Olomouc
    14.12.2025 Zlín - Sigma Olomouc 5:0 ✺
    11.12.2025 Lincoln Red Imps - Sigma Olomouc 2:1 ✺
    06.12.2025 Sigma Olomouc - Sparta Prague 0:1 ✺
    30.11.2025 Slovan Liberec - Sigma Olomouc 1:0 ✺
    27.11.2025 Sigma Olomouc - Celje 2:1 ✺
    Latest results of Lech Poznań
    11.12.2025 Lech Poznań - Mainz 1:1 ✺
    07.12.2025 Cracovia - Lech Poznań 2:2 ✺
    03.12.2025 Piast Gliwice - Lech Poznań 0:2 ✺
    30.11.2025 Wisła Płock - Lech Poznań 0:0 ✺
    27.11.2025 Lech Poznań - Lausanne-Sport 2:0 ✺
    UEFA Europa Conference League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Strasbourg651011:5616
    2Rakow64209:2714
    3AEK Athens641114:7713
    4Sparta Prague641110:3713
    5Rayo Vallecano641113:7613
    6Shakhtar Donetsk641110:5513
    7Mainz64117:3413
    8AEK Larnaca63307:1612
    9Lausanne63216:3311
    10Crystal Palace631211:6510
    11Lech Poznan631212:8410
    12Samsunspor631210:6410
    13Celje63128:7110
    14AZ Alkmaar63127:7010
    15Fiorentina63038:539
    16Rijeka62315:239
    17Jagiellonia62315:419
    18Omonia62225:418
    19Noah62226:7-18
    20Drita62224:8-48
    21KuPS61416:517
    22Shkendija62134:5-17
    23Zrinjski62138:10-27
    24Sigma Olomouc62137:9-27
    25Univ. Craiova62136:8-27
    26Lincoln Red Imps62137:15-87
    27Dyn. Kyiv62049:906
    28Legia62048:806
    29Slovan Bratislava62045:9-46
    30Breidablik61236:11-55
    31Shamrock Rovers61147:13-64
    32Hacken60335:8-33
    33Hamrun61054:11-73
    34Shelbourne60240:7-72
    35Aberdeen60243:14-112
    36SK Rapid60153:14-111

          Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
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