Result
2:0
19/03/2026 at 13:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Conference League - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
- Referee: Treimanis A. (Lat)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 4 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5 |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 China | ZhiBo8 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go |
 Czech-republic | Oneplay, Sport 1 |
 Denmark | Disney+ |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | Canal+ Live 15 |
 Germany | RTL+ |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 7 |
 Mexico | Claro Sports |
 New-zealand | DAZN New Zealand |
 Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Poland | Polsat Sport Extra 4 |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 7 |
 Singapore | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 South-korea | SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2 |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones 10 |
 Sweden | Disney+ |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 15 |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 9 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | ON Plus |
 World | VIX App |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.43 | 0.47 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (379/476) | 81% (331/410) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.43 | 0.47 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.65 | 0.26 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 5 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (379/476) | 81% (331/410) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (24/63) | 40% (25/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (86/137) | 49% (28/57) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (5/19) | 22% (2/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.45 | 0.41 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (14/21) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.26 | 1.65 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.26 | -0.35 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 22', Kliment J. 🟨,
- 38', Tietz P. 🟨,
- 38', Barath P. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', 1 - 0, Posch S. ⚽, Nebel P. (A),
- 61', Kohr D. 🟨,
- 62', Kliment J. ↓, Mikulenka M. ↑,
- 62', Ghali A. ↓, Sip J. ↑,
- 71', Beran M. ↓, Janosek D. ↑,
- 74', Weiper N. ↓, Sieb A. ↑,
- 74', Widmer S. ↓, Veratschnig N. ↑,
- 76', Barath P. 🟨,
- 82', 2 - 0, Sieb A. ⚽, da Costa D. (A),
- 83', Weiper N. 🟨,
- 84', Rusek A. ↓, Dolznikov A. ↑,
- 84', Spacil J. ↓, Sylla A. ↑,
- 87', da Costa D. ↓, Potulski K. ↑,
- 88', Nebel P. ↓, Kawasaki S. ↑,
- 90+1', Lee Jae-Sung ↓, Maloney L. ↑,
- 90+2', Slama J. 🟨,
- 90+5', Sip J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Mainz
72.8% | Draw
18.6% | Sigma Olomouc
8.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mainz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)Sigma Olomouc has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mainz than the current prediction. (-12.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mainz that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sigma Olomouc than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
Mainz - Sigma Olomouc Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.3 ↓
(1.35) |
5.09 ↑
(4.84) |
11.05 ↑
(9.48) |
5.6%
(5.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Mainz - Sigma Olomouc?
Users Predictions:
28 users predict this event. Mainz will win (votes: 24 - 85.7%). Sigma will win (votes: 1 - 3.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 10.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mainz: 72.7% – 98.7%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Mainz (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- TQ, OT - Mainz (1.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Mainz (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- First leg result: 0-0. Second leg.
- In recent matches, Mainz has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Sigma is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Mainz is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in Mainz: Amiri N.
(Heel Injury)
Becker S.
(Inactive)
Bos K.
(Inactive)
Caci A.
(Thigh Injury)
Hollerbach B.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Silas
(Broken shinbone)
Tauer N.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Sigma: Dembe J.
(Knee Injury)
Digana T.
(Inactive)
Elbel J.
(Inactive)
Grgic D.
(Inactive)
Israel D.
(Inactive)
Jezierski J.
(Inactive)
Krivak F.
(Inactive)
Lurvink L.
(Inactive)
Muritala Y.
(Injury)
Sejk V.
(Inactive)
Tkac D.
(Muscle Injury)
Urica F.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Mainz: Bell S.
(Injury)
Dal M.
(Knee Injury)
Hanche-Olsen A.
(Injury)
Zentner R.
(Groin Injury)
- There are questionable in Sigma: Kral J.
(Knee Injury)
Yasser M.
(Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mainz won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Mainz won against Sigma Olomouc?
Mainz has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sigma Olomouc won against Mainz?
Sigma Olomouc has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mainz - Sigma Olomouc were as follows:
12.03.2026
Sigma Olomouc
-
Mainz
0:0
Latest results of Sigma Olomouc
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | KuPS (21) | Lech Poznan (11) | 0 : 1, 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | Bye | |
| 3 | Noah (19) | AZ Alkmaar (14) | 0 : 4, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Sparta Prague (4) | Bye | |
| 5 | Zrinjski (23) | Crystal Palace (10) | 0 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 6 | AEK Larnaca (8) | Bye | |
| 7 | Jagiellonia (17) | Fiorentina (15) | 4 : 2, 0 : 3 |
| 8 | Rakow (2) | Bye | |
| 9 | Shkendija (22) | Samsunspor (12) | 0 : 4, 0 : 1 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano (5) | Bye | |
| 11 | Drita (20) | Celje (13) | 2 : 3, 2 : 3 |
| 12 | AEK Athens (3) | Bye | |
| 13 | Sigma Olomouc (24) | Lausanne (9) | 2 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 14 | Mainz (7) | Bye | |
| 15 | Omonia (18) | Rijeka (16) | 1 : 3, 0 : 1 |
| 16 | Strasbourg (1) | Bye | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Lech Poznan (11) | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | 2 : 1, 1 : 3 |
| 2 | AZ Alkmaar (14) | Sparta Prague (4) | 4 : 0, 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Crystal Palace (10) | AEK Larnaca (8) | 2 : 1, 0 : 0 |
| 4 | Fiorentina (15) | Rakow (2) | 2 : 1, 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Samsunspor (12) | Rayo Vallecano (5) | 1 : 0, 1 : 3 |
| 6 | Celje (13) | AEK Athens (3) | 2 : 0, 0 : 4 |
| 7 | Sigma Olomouc (24) | Mainz (7) | 0 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 8 | Rijeka (16) | Strasbourg (1) | 1 : 1, 1 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | AZ Alkmaar (14) | |
| 2 | Crystal Palace (10) | Fiorentina (15) | |
| 3 | Rayo Vallecano (5) | AEK Athens (3) | |
| 4 | Mainz (7) | Strasbourg (1) | |
Semi-finalsFinal
