Simona Waltert vs Jelena Ostapenko – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

24/04/2026 at 07:55 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/32-finals

Chances of winning


Simona Waltert
41.3%
Jelena Ostapenko
58.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32% 68%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.9% 70.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Simona Waltert has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Simona Waltert's performance.
  • Jelena Ostapenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jelena Ostapenko might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Simona Waltert than the current prediction. (-11.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Simona Waltert that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jelena Ostapenko than the current prediction. (+11.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jelena Ostapenko could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Simona Waltert - Jelena Ostapenko Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.33
    (2.96)

    1.64
    (1.39)
    3.9%
    (5.7%)
    What is the prediction for Simona Waltert - Jelena Ostapenko?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Waltert will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Ostapenko will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ostapenko: 35.2%92%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Waltert is ranked WTA: 97. Ostapenko is ranked WTA: 40.
    • Waltert is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Ostapenko has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Waltert may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Simona Waltert
    Latest results of Jelena Ostapenko
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Bye
    2Stearns P.Boisson L.2 : 0
    3Uchijima M.Starodubtseva Y. (LL)1 : 2
    4ByeCristian J. (29)
    5Bouzkova M. (23)Bye
    6Kalinina A. (Q)Rakhimova K.2 : 1
    7Zakharova A.Osorio C.0 : 2
    8ByeOsaka N. (14)
    9Bencic B. (11)Bye
    10Marcinko P.Jimenez Kasintseva V. (WC)2 : 0
    11Haddad Maia B.Bouzas Maneiro J.0 : 2
    12ByeShnaider D. (18)
    13Baptiste H. (30)Bye
    14Quevedo K. (WC)Williams V. (WC)2 : 0
    15Siegemund L.Begu I.2 : 0
    16ByePaolini J. (8)
    17Swiatek I. (4)Bye
    18Snigur D. (Q)Kasatkina D.2 : 1
    19Parks A. (Q)Cocciaretto E.2 : 0
    20ByeLi A. (31)
    21Fernandez L. (24)Bye
    22Badosa P. (WC)Grabher J.1 : 2
    23Montgomery R. (WC)Linette M.0 : 2
    24ByeJovic I. (15)
    25Andreeva M. (9)Bye
    26Udvardy P. (LL)Birrell K.2 : 1
    27Galfi D. (Q)Tomljanovic A.2 : 0
    28ByeKalinskaya A. (22)
    29Wang Xin. (28)Bye
    30Maria T.Samson L. (WC)0 : 2
    31Bondar A.Golubic V.2 : 0
    32ByeSvitolina E. (7)
    33Pegula J. (5)Bye
    34Townsend T.Boulter K.0 : 2
    35Putintseva Y.Valentova T.2 : 1
    36ByeKostyuk M. (26)
    37Tauson C. (17)Bye
    38Kalieva E. (Q)Siniakova K.0 : 2
    39McNally C.Volynets K. (Q)2 : 0
    40ByeMboko V. (10)
    41Noskova L. (13)Bye
    42Gibson T.Arango E. (WC)0 : 2
    43Tjen J.Charaeva A. (Q)2 : 0
    44ByeSamsonova L. (20)
    45Cirstea S. (25)Bye
    46Jacquemot E.Grant T. C. (Q)0 : 2
    47Selekhmeteva O.Jeanjean L. (Q)0 : 2
    48ByeGauff C. (3)
    49Frech M. (34)Bye
    50Yastremska D.Sierra S.0 : 2
    51Sonmez Z.Martinez Cirez C. (WC)2 : 0
    52ByeBucsa C. (27)
    53Mertens E. (19)Bye
    54Pavlyuchenkova A. (Q)Eala A.0 : 2
    55Pliskova Ka.Kraus S. (Q)2 : 1
    56ByeSakkari M. (33)
    57Potapova A. (LL)Bye
    58Zhang S.Lys E.2 : 0
    59Oliynykova O.Waltert S. (Q)0 : 2
    60ByeOstapenko J. (21)
    61Zheng Q. (32)Bye
    62Krueger A.Kenin S.0 : 2
    63Ruse G.Ruzic A.2 : 1
    64ByeRybakina E. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Stearns P.2 : 0
    2Starodubtseva Y.Cristian J. (29)1 : 2
    3Bouzkova M. (23)Kalinina A.0 : 2
    4Osorio C.Osaka N. (14)0 : 2
    5Bencic B. (11)Marcinko P.2 : 0
    6Bouzas Maneiro J.Shnaider D. (18)1 : 2
    7Baptiste H. (30)Quevedo K.2 : 0
    8Siegemund L.Paolini J. (8)1 : 2
    9Swiatek I. (4)Snigur D.2 : 0
    10Parks A.Li A. (31)1 : 2
    11Fernandez L. (24)Grabher J.2 : 0
    12Linette M.Jovic I. (15)0 : 2
    13Andreeva M. (9)Udvardy P.2 : 0
    14Galfi D.Kalinskaya A. (22)2 : 0
    15Wang Xin. (28)Samson L.1 : 2
    16Bondar A.Svitolina E. (7)2 : 0
    17Pegula J. (5)Boulter K.
    18Putintseva Y.Kostyuk M. (26)
    19Tauson C. (17)Siniakova K.
    20McNally C.Mboko V. (10)
    21Noskova L. (13)Arango E.
    22Tjen J.Samsonova L. (20)0 : 2
    23Cirstea S. (25)Grant T. C.
    24Jeanjean L.Gauff C. (3)
    25Frech M. (34)Sierra S.0 : 2
    26Sonmez Z.Bucsa C. (27)
    27Mertens E. (19)Eala A.2 : 0
    28Pliskova Ka.Sakkari M. (33)2 : 0
    29Potapova A.Zhang S.2 : 0
    30Waltert S.Ostapenko J. (21)
    31Zheng Q. (32)Kenin S.2 : 1
    32Ruse G.Rybakina E. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Cristian J. (29)
    2Kalinina A.Osaka N. (14)
    3Bencic B. (11)Shnaider D. (18)
    4Baptiste H. (30)Paolini J. (8)
    5Swiatek I. (4)Li A. (31)
    6Fernandez L. (24)Jovic I. (15)
    7Andreeva M. (9)Galfi D.
    8Samson L.Bondar A.
    9TBD #17TBD #18
    10TBD #19TBD #20
    11TBD #21Samsonova L. (20)
    12TBD #23TBD #24
    13Sierra S.TBD #26
    14Mertens E. (19)Pliskova Ka.
    15Potapova A.TBD #30
    16Zheng Q. (32)TBD #32

    1/8-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2