Result
2:2
19/10/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Round 11
- Referee: Laforge N. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DAZN |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Belgium | DAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1, Sporza, Sporza |
 Bolivia | DAZN |
 Brazil | DAZN Brasil |
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada |
 Ecuador | DAZN |
 France | DAZN France |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 New-zealand | DAZN New Zealand |
 Paraguay | DAZN |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Taiwan | DAZN |
 United-kingdom | DAZN, DAZN UK |
 Uruguay | DAZN |
 Usa | DAZN USA |
 Venezuela | DAZN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 1.16 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (337/426) | 78% (346/443) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 1.16 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.62 | 1.58 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (337/426) | 78% (346/443) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (29/55) | 49% (30/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (83/119) | 69% (88/128) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (5/25) | 40% (6/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 1.16 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 31 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (16/20) | 52% (12/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.58 | 1.62 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.42 | -0.38 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 11', 0 - 1, De Cat N. ⚽, Hazard T. (A),
- 18', 1 - 1, Yamamoto R. ⚽, Vanwesemael R. (A),
- 19', 1 - 2, Cvetkovic M. ⚽, Hazard T. (A),
- 30', Hey L. 🟨,
- 44', Saliba N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Cvetkovic M. ↓, Bertaccini A. ↑,
- 61', Saliba N. ↓, Llansana E. ↑,
- 61', Camara I. ↓, Verschaeren Y. ↑,
- 68', Hata T. ↓, Jukleroed S. ↑,
- 68', Sebaoui I. ↓, Matsuzawa K. ↑,
- 76', 2 - 2, Matsuzawa K. ⚽, Jukleroed S. (A),
- 77', Muja A. ↓, Delpupo I. ↑,
- 82', De Cat N. ↓, Kanate I. ↑,
- 89', Hazard T. ↓, Stroeykens M. ↑,
- 90', Van Helden R. ↓, Janssens W. ↑,
- 90+1', Ferrari A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sint-Truidense
28.5% | Draw
32.4% | Anderlecht
39.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sint-Truidense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)Anderlecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sint-Truidense than the current prediction. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Anderlecht than the current prediction. (+3%)
Sint-Truidense - Anderlecht Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.65 ↑
(2.98) |
2.99 ↓
(3.54) |
2.68 ↑
(2.27) |
-1.8%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Sint-Truidense - Anderlecht?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Sint-Truidense will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Anderlecht will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sint-Truidense: 16.1% – 74.9%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sint-Truidense won 0.
- Recent form of Sint-Truidense has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Anderlecht is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Anderlecht may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Anderlecht has had a series of home games.
- Anderlecht is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Sint-Truidense: Ito R.
(Muscle Injury)
Merlen R.
(Foot Injury)
- There will not play in Anderlecht: Bertaccini A.
(Knee Injury)
Keita Z.
(Injury)
Maamar A.
(International duty)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sint-Truidense won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 17:37. (average 0.9:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sint-Truidense won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 0.9:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Sint-Truidense won against Anderlecht?
Sint-Truidense has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Anderlecht won against Sint-Truidense?
Anderlecht has won 5 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sint-Truidense - Anderlecht were as follows:
15.12.2024
Sint-Truidense
-
Anderlecht
0:2
27.07.2024
Anderlecht
-
Sint-Truidense
1:0
18.02.2024
Anderlecht
-
Sint-Truidense
4:1
13.08.2023
Sint-Truidense
-
Anderlecht
0:1
12.02.2023
Anderlecht
-
Sint-Truidense
3:1
Latest results of Sint-Truidense
Latest results of Anderlecht
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 22:6 | 16 | 26 |
| 2 | Club Brugge KV | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 18:11 | 7 | 23 |
| 3 | Anderlecht | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 17:11 | 6 | 19 |
| 4 | KV Mechelen | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 16:12 | 4 | 19 |
| 5 | St. Truiden | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 17:14 | 3 | 18 |
| 6 | Waregem | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17:14 | 3 | 17 |
| 7 | Gent | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 18:17 | 1 | 17 |
| 8 | Genk | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 16:16 | 0 | 15 |
| 9 | Westerlo | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 18:20 | -2 | 14 |
| 10 | RAAL La Louviere | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 7:9 | -2 | 13 |
| 11 | Charleroi | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14:17 | -3 | 12 |
| 12 | St. Liege | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 11 |
| 13 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 15:16 | -1 | 11 |
| 14 | Antwerp | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 11 |
| 15 | Leuven | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8:20 | -12 | 8 |
| 16 | Dender | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 4:18 | -14 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )
