Anderlecht vs Sint-Truidense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
13/12/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Jupiler Pro League - Round 18
  • Referee: D'hondt L. (Bel)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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boliviaBoliviaDAZN
brazilBrazilDAZN Brasil
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
ecuadorEcuadorDAZN
franceFranceDAZN France
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
italyItalyDAZN Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
paraguayParaguayDAZN
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
spainSpainDAZN Espana
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
taiwanTaiwanDAZN
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN
uruguayUruguayDAZN
usaUsaDAZN USA
venezuelaVenezuelaDAZN

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.201.52
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
228
Shots on target
92
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
62
Passes
80% (345/433)76% (264/349)
Yellow Cards
45
Expected Goals (xG)
2.201.52
xG on target (xGOT)
1.880.76
Total shots
228
Shots on target
92
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
72
Shots inside the Box
147
Shots outside the Box
81
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
3917
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
33
Free Kicks
1811
Passes
80% (345/433)76% (264/349)
Long passes
39% (23/59)40% (19/48)
Passes in final third
67% (115/172)70% (66/94)
Crosses
50% (4/8)19% (3/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.081.93
Throw-ins
2026
Fouls
1118
Tackles
50% (7/14)47% (9/19)
Duels won
5347
Clearances
1625
Interceptions
1611
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
16
xGOT faced
0.761.88
Goals prevented
-0.24-0.12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 16', Camara I. , Maamar A. ,
  • 17', Yamamoto R. 🟨,
  • 35', De Cat N. 🟨,
  • 41', Sardella K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 51', Bertaccini A. 🟨,
  • 53', 0 - 1, Goto K. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 58', Stroeykens M. , Cvetkovic M. ,
  • 59', Saliba N. 🟨,
  • 62', Goto K. 🟨,
  • 67', Musliu V. 🟨,
  • 68', 1 - 1, Saliba N. , Hazard T. (A),
  • 69', Taniguchi S. 🟨,
  • 71', 2 - 1, Angulo N. , Cvetkovic M. (A),
  • 81', Yamamoto R. , Matsuzawa K. ,
  • 81', Muja A. , Ferrari A. ,
  • 81', N'Diaye M. , Ozcan Y. ,
  • 81', Bertaccini A. , Degreef T. ,
  • 81', Hazard T. , Llansana E. ,
  • 82', Ferrari A. 🟨,
  • 84', Sebaoui I. , Merlen R. ,
  • 88', Jukleroed S. , Delpupo I. ,

Chances of winning


Anderlecht
49.8%
Draw
25.7%
Sint-Truidense
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.6% 23.5% 18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.1% 22.5% 18.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Anderlecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Anderlecht's form might have worsened.
  • Sint-Truidense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sint-Truidense's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Anderlecht than the current prediction. (+10.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Anderlecht, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sint-Truidense than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sint-Truidense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Anderlecht - Sint-Truidense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.9
    (1.61)
    3.66
    (3.95)
    3.88
    (4.9)
    5.7%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Anderlecht - Sint-Truidense?
  • Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Anderlecht will win (votes: 15 - 62.5%). Sint-Truidense will win (votes: 5 - 20.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 16.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Anderlecht: 43.1%81.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Anderlecht (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Sint-Truidense (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 1.25, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.75 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Anderlecht won 4.
    • At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
    • Anderlecht could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Anderlecht: Augustinsson L. (Calf Injury) Huerta Valera C. S. (Groin Injury)
    • There will not play in Sint-Truidense: Hata T. (Injury) Vanwesemael R. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Anderlecht: Kana M. (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Anderlecht won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 36:18. (average 1.8:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Anderlecht won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 23:9. (average 2.1:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Anderlecht - Sint-Truidense were as follows:
    19.10.2025 Sint-Truidense - Anderlecht 2:2
    15.12.2024 Sint-Truidense - Anderlecht 0:2
    27.07.2024 Anderlecht - Sint-Truidense 1:0
    18.02.2024 Anderlecht - Sint-Truidense 4:1
    13.08.2023 Sint-Truidense - Anderlecht 0:1
    Latest results of Anderlecht
    07.12.2025 Westerlo - Anderlecht 4:0
    04.12.2025 Genk - Anderlecht 1:3
    09.11.2025 Anderlecht - Club Brugge 1:0
    Latest results of Sint-Truidense
    Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
    Championship Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Royale Union SG11001:0136
    2Club Brugge KV11004:2235
    3St. Truiden10010:1-129
    4Gent10101:1024
    5KV Mechelen10101:1024
    6Anderlecht10012:4-222

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