Result
1:0
15/02/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 25
- Referee: Drmic M. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 6 |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2 |
 Ukraine | Sport 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 0.41 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (251/335) | 76% (301/395) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 0.41 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 0.71 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (251/335) | 76% (301/395) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (34/66) | 44% (33/75) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (75/130) | 68% (72/106) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (6/21) | 26% (5/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 0.86 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (14/20) | 68% (13/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 52 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.71 | 1.50 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.71 | 0.50 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 4', Burki M. 🟨,
- 43', 1 - 0, Meichtry F. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 59', Sow N. 🟨,
- 64', Meichtry F. ↓, Reichmuth N. ↑,
- 68', Sow N. 🟥,
- 71', Nivokazi R. ↓, Surdez F. ↑,
- 71', Chipperfield L. ↓, Lukembila J. ↑,
- 76', Labeau B. ↓, Dursun F. ↑,
- 76', Matoshi V. ↓, Rupp N. ↑,
- 76', Rastoder E. ↓, Gutbub M. ↑,
- 82', Diack L. 🟥,
- 85', Berdayes T. ↓, Kololli B. ↑,
- 85', Kabacalman A. ↓, Llukes A. ↑,
- 85', Chouaref Y. ↓, Boteli W. ↑,
- 86', Burki M. ↓, Franke D. ↑,
- 90+2', Kololli B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Thun
52.5% | Draw
24.5% | Sion
23% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Thun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Thun's performance.Sion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sion might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thun than the current prediction. (-6.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Thun that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sion than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sion could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Thun - Sion Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.79 ↓
(2.08) |
3.82 ↑
(3.5) |
4.07 ↑
(3.17) |
6.7%
(8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Thun - Sion?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- DC - Thun (1.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75 - Sion (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Users Predictions:
Thun will win
(24 of 26 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.07% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Thun will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Thun (votes: 9 - 81.8%). Sion (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Thun won 4.
- Thun is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- In recent matches, Sion has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Thun may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Thun is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Thun: Fehr F.
(Yellow Cards)
Heule M.
(Muscle Injury)
Janjicic V.
(Inactive)
Ziswiler N.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Sion: Baltazar
(Yellow Cards)
Hajrizi K.
(Yellow Cards)
Kronig J.
(Yellow Cards)
Rrudhani D.
(Injury)
Shala A.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Thun won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 29:33. (average 1.5:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Thun won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:15. (average 1.3:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Thun won against Sion?
Thun has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sion won against Thun?
Sion has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Thun - Sion were as follows:
01.11.2025
Thun
-
Sion
2:1
25.10.2025
Sion
-
Thun
0:1
04.07.2025
Sion
-
Thun
1:1
22.04.2024
Thun
-
Sion
1:0
15.03.2024
Sion
-
Thun
1:2
Swiss Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Thun ✔ | 31 | 23 | 2 | 6 | 72:35 | 37 | 71 |
| 2 | St. Gallen ✔ | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 60:37 | 23 | 56 |
| 3 | Basel ✔ | 31 | 15 | 7 | 9 | 47:39 | 8 | 52 |
| 4 | Lugano ✔ | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 48:38 | 10 | 51 |
| 5 | Sion ✔ | 31 | 11 | 13 | 7 | 44:35 | 9 | 46 |
| 6 | Young Boys ✔ | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 61:56 | 5 | 46 |
| 7 | Luzern ✔ | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 62:56 | 6 | 39 |
| 8 | Servette ✔ | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 53:56 | -3 | 36 |
| 9 | Lausanne ✔ | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 45:53 | -8 | 36 |
| 10 | Zurich ✔ | 31 | 10 | 4 | 17 | 44:60 | -16 | 34 |
| 11 | Grasshoppers ✔ | 31 | 5 | 9 | 17 | 38:61 | -23 | 24 |
| 12 | Winterthur ✔ | 31 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 34:82 | -48 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Thun is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
St. Gallen is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
Basel is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
Lugano is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
Sion is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
Young Boys is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
Luzern is Super League (Relegation Group )
Servette is Super League (Relegation Group )
Lausanne is Super League (Relegation Group )
Zurich is Super League (Relegation Group )
Grasshoppers is Super League (Relegation Group )
Winterthur is Super League (Relegation Group )
