Result
3:2
02/05/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Allsvenskan - Round 6
- Referee: Sundell R. (Swe)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Norway | VG+ |
 Sweden | TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.84 | 1.66 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (433/495) | 82% (308/374) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.84 | 1.66 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.49 | 0.63 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (433/495) | 82% (308/374) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (21/47) | 38% (15/39) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (92/128) | 78% (109/139) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (3/21) | 24% (4/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 0.92 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 34 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 20 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (14/22) | 75% (15/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 63 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.63 | 2.49 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.37 | -0.51 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 35', Saetra L. 🟨,
- 38', 0 - 1, Rosenqvist C. ⚽, Sagoe Jr C. (A),
- 45', 0 - 2, Jansson R. ⚽, Sagoe Jr C. (A),
- 45+2', Olusanya A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 53', Krusnell O. ↓, Ekstrom V. ↑,
- 53', Jonsson N. ↓, Persson J. ↑,
- 64', 1 - 2, Svensson V. ⚽, Lindberg M. (A),
- 69', Hallberg M. ↓, Gustafsson C. ↑,
- 69', Olusanya A. ↓, Tyren V. ↑,
- 74', 2 - 2, Bjerkebo I. (Penalty Awarded),
- 76', Rosenqvist C. ↓, Overby S. ↑,
- 82', Sagoe Jr C. ↓, Soderback M. ↑,
- 88', Svensson V. ↓, Nilden C. ↑,
- 88', Lindberg M. ↓, Adindu O. ↑,
- 90+1', 3 - 2, Adindu O. ⚽, Persson J. (A),
- 90+4', Anker T. 🟨,
- 90+5', Ure R. ↓, Hook I. ↑,
- 90:00, Larsson V. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sirius
64.1% | Draw
20.8% | Kalmar
15.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sirius has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sirius's performance.Kalmar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sirius than the current prediction. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kalmar than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
Sirius - Kalmar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.47 ↓
(1.61) |
4.47 ↑
(3.95) |
6.23 ↑
(4.96) |
6.7%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Sirius - Kalmar?
Users Predictions:
Sirius will win
(9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sirius won 3.
- Sirius is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Kalmar is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Sirius is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in Sirius: Milleskog N.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Kalmar: Keita A.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Lawal S.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Sirius: Sandberg S.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Kalmar: Gustafsson C.
(Inactive)
Sabriye A.
(Inactive)
Stolt M.
(Inactive)
- We predict that Sirius will win today's game, with odds of 1.48.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Sirius won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 27:20. (average 1.6:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sirius won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:5. (average 2:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Sirius won against Kalmar?
Sirius has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kalmar won against Sirius?
Kalmar has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sirius - Kalmar were as follows:
11.08.2024
Sirius
-
Kalmar
3:1
08.04.2024
Kalmar
-
Sirius
1:2
13.08.2023
Sirius
-
Kalmar
3:0
03.05.2023
Kalmar
-
Sirius
2:2
24.10.2022
Sirius
-
Kalmar
0:0
Swedish Allsvenskan Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sirius | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 17:7 | 10 | 16 |
| 2 | Hammarby | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 16:5 | 11 | 11 |
| 3 | Elfsborg | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:6 | 3 | 11 |
| 4 | Djurgarden | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12:6 | 6 | 10 |
| 5 | Hacken | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 12:9 | 3 | 10 |
| 6 | Malmo FF | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 10 |
| 7 | Mjallby | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:7 | 1 | 10 |
| 8 | Degerfors | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 8 |
| 9 | AIK | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 | Brommapojkarna | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10:11 | -1 | 8 |
| 11 | Vasteras SK | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:13 | -4 | 8 |
| 12 | GAIS | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 5 |
| 13 | Orgryte | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:16 | -10 | 5 |
| 14 | Kalmar | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 4 |
| 15 | Goteborg | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4:14 | -10 | 3 |
| 16 | Halmstad | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4:12 | -8 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Superettan
