Result
2:1
27/07/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Allsvenskan - Round 17
- Referee: Al-Hakim M. (Swe)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | HBO Max |
 Sweden | Discovery+, HBO Max, max Extra 4, TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.89 | 1.35 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (422/503) | 80% (305/381) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.89 | 1.35 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.95 | 1.33 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 15 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 52 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (422/503) | 80% (305/381) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (23/45) | 44% (29/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (117/163) | 67% (86/128) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (5/20) | 25% (2/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.34 | 1.25 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (6/11) | 71% (10/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 45 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.33 | 1.95 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.33 | -0.05 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 7', 0 - 1, Ure R. ⚽, Svensson V. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 55', 1 - 1, Gustafson V. ⚽, Johansson H. (A),
- 62', Thorell L. ↓, Kjaer J. ↑,
- 62', Bergstrom J. ↓, Stavitski T. ↑,
- 64', Bjerkebo I. ↓, Widgren D. ↑,
- 64', Ekstrom V. ↓, Ljungberg A. ↑,
- 65', 2 - 1, Stavitski T. ⚽,
- 76', Ure R. ↓, Neat F. ↑,
- 77', Persson J. ↓, Sjogrell H. ↑,
- 81', Johansson H. ↓, Tidstrand L. ↑,
- 81', Manneh A. ↓, Johansson A. ↑,
- 87', Sandberg S. ↓, Milleskog N. ↑,
- 90+1', Gustafson V. ↓, Pettersson T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Mjällby
58.7% | Draw
22.6% | Sirius
18.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mjällby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)Sirius has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mjällby than the current prediction. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sirius than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Mjällby - Sirius Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.65 ↑
(1.59) |
4.25 ↑
(4.21) |
5.09 ↑
(5) |
3.9%
(6.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Mjällby - Sirius?
Users Predictions:
49 users predict this event. Mjällby will win (votes: 47 - 95.9%). Sirius will win (votes: 1 - 2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mjällby: 90.3% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 83.3%).
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Mjällby will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 14 in the zone Allsvenskan (Relegation)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mjällby won 4.
- Mjällby is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Sirius's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Mjällby is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Mjällby: Isaksson M.
(Inactive)
Miettinen T.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Sirius: Andersson H.
(Inactive)
Carlsson T.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Mjällby: Manneh A.
(Injury)
- We predict that Mjällby will win today's game, with odds of 1.59.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Mjällby won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 25:17. (average 1.8:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mjällby won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:10. (average 2.3:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Mjällby won against Sirius?
Mjällby has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sirius won against Mjällby?
Sirius has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mjällby - Sirius were as follows:
14.07.2025
Sirius
-
Mjällby
1:2
03.11.2024
Sirius
-
Mjällby
1:1
06.07.2024
Mjällby
-
Sirius
3:2
24.07.2023
Sirius
-
Mjällby
2:3
14.05.2023
Mjällby
-
Sirius
3:0
Latest results of Mjällby
Swedish Allsvenskan Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Mjallby | 19 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 38:15 | 23 | 46 |
| 2 | Hammarby | 19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 36:16 | 20 | 42 |
| 3 | Elfsborg | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 35:25 | 10 | 36 |
| 4 | AIK | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 24:16 | 8 | 34 |
| 5 | Malmo FF | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 29:17 | 12 | 33 |
| 6 | GAIS | 19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 29:16 | 13 | 32 |
| 7 | Goteborg | 19 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 28:26 | 2 | 31 |
| 8 | Djurgarden | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 22:19 | 3 | 27 |
| 9 | Brommapojkarna | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 30:30 | 0 | 23 |
| 10 | Hacken | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 26:33 | -7 | 23 |
| 11 | Norrkoping | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 29:37 | -8 | 19 |
| 12 | Halmstad | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 15:36 | -21 | 18 |
| 13 | Sirius | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 24:31 | -7 | 17 |
| 14 | Oster | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 14:25 | -11 | 15 |
| 15 | Degerfors | 19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 18:39 | -21 | 15 |
| 16 | Varnamo | 19 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 19:35 | -16 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Superettan
