Result
1:3
05/04/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 1. Lig - Round 33
- Referee: Sansalan A. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, Tabii, TRT Spor |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.30 | 1.91 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (261/341) | 82% (366/447) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.30 | 1.91 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.16 | 1.76 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (261/341) | 82% (366/447) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (22/54) | 39% (21/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (50/81) | 59% (51/86) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (6/23) | 17% (2/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.35 | 0.64 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 31 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (11/14) | 71% (15/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 10 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.76 | 0.16 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.24 | -0.84 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 24', 0 - 1, Ulas O. ⚽, Okyar M. (A),
- 25', Ulas O. 🟨,
- 26', Bilazer H. 🟨,
- 31', Ethemi V. 🟨,
- 33', 0 - 2, Kanga G. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Yildirim M. ↓, Ciftci U. ↑,
- 46', Erdogan O. ↓, Malle A. ↑,
- 46', Boke T. ↓, Avramovski D. ↑,
- 46', Okoronkwo J. ↓, Badji A. ↑,
- 78', Jack R. ↓, Beyaz O. ↑,
- 78', Lus B. ↓, Gedik E. ↑,
- 85', Basyigit E. ↓, Celik M. ↑,
- 85', Kanga G. ↓, Karaman A. ↑,
- 86', Bilazer H. ↓, Korkmaz E. ↑,
- 88', 1 - 2, Avramovski D. ⚽, Ethemi V. (A),
- 90+4', 1 - 3, Gedik E. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Sivasspor
29% | Draw
27.2% | Erokspor
43.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sivasspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)Erokspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sivasspor than the current prediction. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erokspor than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Sivasspor - Erokspor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.2 ↓
(3.34) |
3.43 ↓
(3.51) |
2.12 ↑
(2.03) |
7.6%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Sivasspor - Erokspor?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Sivasspor will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Erokspor will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +0.25 - Sivasspor (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Sivasspor (2.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25 - Sivasspor (2.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Sivasspor (3.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75 - Sivasspor (4.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Sivasspor (6.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sivasspor will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Sivasspor (votes: 8 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)).
- Sivasspor is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Erokspor has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Erokspor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Erokspor will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Erokspor: Faye M.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Sivasspor: Celik M.
(Injury)
Charisis C.
(Injury)
Erdogan O.
(Injury)
Manaj R.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Erokspor: Niyaz R.
(Injury)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Sivasspor won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 2:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sivasspor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Sivasspor won against Erokspor?
Sivasspor has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Erokspor won against Sivasspor?
Erokspor has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sivasspor - Erokspor were as follows:
23.11.2025
Erokspor
-
Sivasspor
2:1
20.12.2022
Sivasspor
-
Erokspor
5:2
Latest results of Sivasspor
Latest results of Erokspor
Turkish First League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Erzurumspor | 35 | 23 | 9 | 3 | 79:24 | 55 | 78 |
| 2 | Amedspor | 35 | 21 | 9 | 5 | 77:36 | 41 | 72 |
| 3 | Erokspor | 35 | 20 | 10 | 5 | 79:33 | 46 | 70 |
| 4 | Corum | 35 | 19 | 7 | 9 | 55:37 | 18 | 64 |
| 5 | Bodrumspor | 35 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 69:36 | 33 | 62 |
| 6 | Pendikspor | 35 | 15 | 13 | 7 | 54:31 | 23 | 58 |
| 7 | Keciorengucu | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 67:40 | 27 | 54 |
| 8 | Bandirmaspor | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 43:33 | 10 | 53 |
| 9 | Sivasspor | 35 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 44:38 | 6 | 50 |
| 10 | Manisa FK | 35 | 14 | 7 | 14 | 50:54 | -4 | 49 |
| 11 | Igdir FK | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 47:48 | -1 | 48 |
| 12 | Vanspor FK | 35 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 48:40 | 8 | 46 |
| 13 | Sariyer | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 41:41 | 0 | 46 |
| 14 | Umraniyespor | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 42:44 | -2 | 43 |
| 15 | Istanbulspor AS | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 43:52 | -9 | 43 |
| 16 | Boluspor | 35 | 12 | 6 | 17 | 52:54 | -2 | 42 |
| 17 | Serik Spor | 35 | 10 | 6 | 19 | 39:69 | -30 | 36 |
| 18 | Sakaryaspor | 35 | 8 | 9 | 18 | 44:62 | -18 | 33 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 35 | 1 | 7 | 27 | 27:96 | -69 | 10 |
| 20 | Adana Demirspor ✔ | 35 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 20:152 | -132 | -54 |
Promotion ~ Super Lig
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Adana Demirspor is Relegated to
