Result
2:1
23/11/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- 1. Lig - Round 14
- Referee: Akarsu A. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, Tabii, TRT Spor |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.86 | 2.08 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (307/397) | 78% (300/386) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.86 | 2.08 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 1.59 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (307/397) | 78% (300/386) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 59% (45/76) | 44% (27/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (70/101) | 68% (82/121) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (5/20) | 38% (9/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 1.35 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 88% (15/17) | 85% (11/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 34 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.59 | 1.16 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.59 | -0.84 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 58', 1 - 0, Catakovic H. ⚽, Kayode O. (A),
- 64', Kanga G. ↓, Lus B. ↑,
- 65', Basyigit E. ↓, Ciftci U. ↑,
- 65', Boke T. ↓, Badji A. ↑,
- 67', Kimpioka B. 🟨,
- 71', 2 - 0, Niyaz R. ⚽, Catakovic H. (A),
- 71', Celik C. 🟨,
- 72', Fidan K. ↓, Charisis C. ↑,
- 72', Yigiter O. ↓, Avramovski D. ↑,
- 80', Catakovic H. ↓, Hidayetoglu A. ↑,
- 80', Okyar M. ↓, Jack R. ↑,
- 81', Kimpioka B. ↓, Malle A. ↑,
- 83', 2 - 1, Badji A. ⚽, Ciftci U. (A),
- 90+3', Niyaz R. ↓, Genc M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Erokspor
47.4% | Draw
26% | Sivasspor
26.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Erokspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Erokspor's form might have worsened.Sivasspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sivasspor's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erokspor than the current prediction. (+8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Erokspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sivasspor than the current prediction. (-6.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sivasspor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Erokspor - Sivasspor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.94 ↑
(1.69) |
3.65 ↓
(3.69) |
3.62 ↓
(4.51) |
6.7%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Erokspor - Sivasspor?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Erokspor will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Erokspor (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Sivasspor (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Erokspor (votes: 1 - 50%). Sivasspor (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 14).
- Erokspor is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Sivasspor's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Erokspor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Erokspor is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Erokspor: Amilton
(Yellow Cards)
Faye M.
(Yellow Cards)
Karaman A.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Sivasspor: Ethemi V.
(Red Card)
Menderes C.
(Finger Injury)
Pritchard A.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Sivasspor: Charisis C.
(Injury)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Erokspor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 1:2.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Erokspor won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Erokspor won against Sivasspor?
Erokspor has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sivasspor won against Erokspor?
Sivasspor has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Erokspor - Sivasspor were as follows:
20.12.2022
Sivasspor
-
Erokspor
5:2
Latest results of Erokspor
Latest results of Sivasspor
Turkish First League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Erzurumspor | 28 | 17 | 9 | 2 | 60:19 | 41 | 60 |
| 2 | Erokspor | 28 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 67:22 | 45 | 59 |
| 3 | Amedspor | 28 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 58:32 | 26 | 55 |
| 4 | Corum | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 44:31 | 13 | 50 |
| 5 | Bodrumspor | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 58:29 | 29 | 48 |
| 6 | Pendikspor | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 43:22 | 21 | 48 |
| 7 | Igdir FK | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 38:37 | 1 | 44 |
| 8 | Bandirmaspor | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 40:32 | 8 | 42 |
| 9 | Keciorengucu | 28 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 53:36 | 17 | 40 |
| 10 | Manisa FK | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 42:41 | 1 | 40 |
| 11 | Boluspor | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 47:40 | 7 | 38 |
| 12 | Vanspor FK | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 39:32 | 7 | 38 |
| 13 | Sivasspor | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 36:29 | 7 | 38 |
| 14 | Istanbulspor AS | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 37:41 | -4 | 38 |
| 15 | Sariyer | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 30:35 | -5 | 35 |
| 16 | Umraniyespor | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 33:38 | -5 | 32 |
| 17 | Serik Spor | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 29:54 | -25 | 29 |
| 18 | Sakaryaspor | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 34:52 | -18 | 25 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 28 | 0 | 7 | 21 | 20:77 | -57 | 7 |
| 20 | Adana Demirspor ✔ | 28 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 16:125 | -109 | -39 |
Promotion ~ Super Lig
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Adana Demirspor is Relegated to
