Sivasspor vs Manisa FK – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
08/11/2025 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • 1. Lig - Round 13
  • Referee: Saglam K. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaTOD
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, Tabii, TRT Spor

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.591.39
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
147
Shots on target
73
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
54
Passes
75% (215/286)78% (237/305)
Yellow Cards
43
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.591.39
xG on target (xGOT)
1.441.72
Total shots
147
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
42
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
96
Shots outside the Box
51
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
54
Touches in opposition box
2320
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1517
Passes
75% (215/286)78% (237/305)
Long passes
41% (19/46)49% (28/57)
Passes in final third
65% (57/88)63% (57/90)
Crosses
19% (4/21)36% (5/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.721.13
Throw-ins
2018
Fouls
1715
Tackles
62% (8/13)62% (8/13)
Duels won
3854
Clearances
1823
Interceptions
1112
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
1.721.44
Goals prevented
-0.28-1.56

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 25', Avramovski D. 🟨,
  • 36', Charisis C. , Yigiter O. ,
  • 38', Luan 🟨,
  • 39', 0 - 1, Diony L. (Pen),
  • 45+1', Gureler Y. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Toure B. 🟨,
  • 45+3', 1 - 1, Celik C. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Diony L. , Kahraman O. ,
  • 46', Badji A. , Ethemi V. ,
  • 46', Avramovski D. , Fidan K. ,
  • 61', Ethemi V. 🟥,
  • 65', 2 - 1, Basyigit E. , Fidan K. (A),
  • 67', Toure B. , Yuce Y. ,
  • 73', Yurdakul K. , Inal F. ,
  • 73', Kimpioka B. , Seker T. ,
  • 77', Erdogan O. 🟨,
  • 80', Seker T. 🟨,
  • 81', Luan , Malle A. ,
  • 83', 2 - 2, Talum Y. , Gureler Y. (A),
  • 83', 3 - 2, Basyigit E. ,
  • 86', Gureler Y. , Ibik A. ,
  • 90+4', Herelle C. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Sivasspor
57.5%
Draw
23.7%
Manisa FK
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59% 22.3% 18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61% 21.6% 18.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sivasspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • Manisa FK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sivasspor than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manisa FK than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • Sivasspor - Manisa FK Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.6
    (1.59)
    3.95
    (4.2)
    4.97
    (5.01)
    8.1%
    (6.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Sivasspor - Manisa FK?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Sivasspor will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Sivasspor: 45%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
    • Recent performances by Sivasspor have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Manisa is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Manisa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Sivasspor is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Sivasspor: Appindangoye A. (Red Card) Boke T. (Red Card) Menderes C. (Finger Injury) Paluli M. (Yellow Cards) Pritchard A. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Manisa: Karapo A. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Manisa: Ibik A. (Injury)
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Sivasspor
    Latest results of Manisa FK
    02.11.2025 Manisa FK - Amed SK 0:3
    29.10.2025 Manisa FK - Muğlaspor 0:2
    25.10.2025 Sarıyer - Manisa FK 0:0
    18.10.2025 Manisa FK - Erzurumspor 1:1
    03.10.2025 Çorum - Manisa FK 3:1
    Turkish First League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Erzurumspor28179260:194160
    2Erokspor28178367:224559
    3Amedspor28167558:322655
    4Corum28155844:311350
    5Bodrumspor28146858:292948
    6Pendikspor28139643:222148
    7Igdir FK28128838:37144
    8Bandirmaspor281261040:32842
    9Keciorengucu281010853:361740
    10Manisa FK281171042:41140
    11Boluspor281151247:40738
    12Vanspor FK281081039:32738
    13Sivasspor28911836:29738
    14Istanbulspor AS28911837:41-438
    15Sariyer281051330:35-535
    16Umraniyespor28951433:38-532
    17Serik Spor28851529:54-2529
    18Sakaryaspor28671534:52-1825
    19Hatayspor28072120:77-577
    20Adana Demirspor ✔ 28032516:125-109-39

          Promotion ~ Super Lig
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Adana Demirspor is Relegated to