Manisa FK vs Sivasspor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
21/03/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 1. Lig - Round 32
  • Referee: Metoglu M. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaTOD
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.301.61
Ball possession
56%44%
Total shots
613
Shots on target
23
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
410
Passes
82% (368/450)81% (272/337)
Yellow cards
43
Red cards
10
Expected goals (xG)
0.301.61
xG on target (xGOT)
0.291.31
Total shots
613
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
16
Blocked shots
34
Shots inside the box
47
Shots outside the box
26
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
11
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
410
Touches in opposition box
1919
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free kicks
89
Passes
82% (368/450)81% (272/337)
Long passes
36% (16/45)48% (25/52)
Passes in final third
65% (90/139)74% (63/85)
Crosses
18% (2/11)15% (4/27)
Expected assists (xA)
0.820.63
Throw ins
2020
Fouls
98
Tackles
72% (13/18)67% (8/12)
Duels won
4431
Clearances
2422
Interceptions
87
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
22
xGOT faced
1.310.29
Goals prevented
0.31-0.71

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 27', Yildirim M. 🟨,
  • 27', Herelle C. 🟨,
  • 30', 0 - 1, Okoronkwo J. , Yildirim M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 63', Fidan K. 🟨,
  • 63', Kiprit M. , Can Aslan U. ,
  • 69', Can Aslan U. 🟨,
  • 70', Boke T. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 74', Herelle C. 🟨,
  • 76', Kahraman O. , Ibik A. ,
  • 87', Boke T. , Badji A. ,
  • 90', Erdogan O. , Yigiter O. ,
  • 90+1', Can Aslan U. , Dursun Y. ,
  • 90+2', Bakirbas G. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Karapo A. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Ethemi V. , Gokay E. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Manisa FK
33.8%
Draw
27.1%
Sivasspor
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.7% 25.9% 48.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.4% 25.6% 49%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Manisa FK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Manisa FK's performance.
  • Sivasspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sivasspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manisa FK than the current prediction. (-8.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Manisa FK that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sivasspor than the current prediction. (+9.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sivasspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Manisa FK - Sivasspor Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.78
    (3.59)
    3.43
    (3.56)
    2.35
    (1.91)
    7.6%
    (8.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Manisa FK - Sivasspor?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Manisa will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Sivasspor will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 10).
    • Manisa has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Sivasspor is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Sivasspor could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Manisa: Adekanye B. (Yellow Cards) Vargas A. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Manisa: Gureler Y. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Sivasspor: Celik M. (Injury) Charisis C. (Injury) Manaj R. (Injury)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Manisa won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Manisa FK - Sivasspor were as follows:
    08.11.2025 Sivasspor - Manisa FK 3:2
    Latest results of Manisa FK
    15.03.2026 Amed SK - Manisa FK 2:0
    10.03.2026 Manisa FK - Sarıyer 3:0
    07.03.2026 Erzurumspor - Manisa FK 8:1
    02.03.2026 Manisa FK - Çorum 0:1
    22.02.2026 Bodrumspor - Manisa FK 1:2
    Latest results of Sivasspor
    15.03.2026 Sivasspor - Umraniyespor 1:0
    11.03.2026 Hatayspor - Sivasspor 1:2
    23.02.2026 Sivasspor - Sakaryaspor 4:1
    Turkish First League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Erzurumspor32209374:235169
    2Amedspor32207568:323667
    3Erokspor32189573:304363
    4Corum32195853:341962
    5Bodrumspor32176967:353257
    6Pendikspor321412649:272254
    7Bandirmaspor321391042:33948
    8Keciorengucu321211963:402347
    9Sivasspor321211940:31947
    10Igdir FK321291140:44-445
    11Vanspor FK3211101142:35743
    12Manisa FK321271346:52-643
    13Boluspor321261450:44642
    14Umraniyespor321161538:41-339
    15Sariyer321161534:41-739
    16Istanbulspor AS329121138:48-1039
    17Serik Spor321051738:60-2235
    18Sakaryaspor32881641:56-1532
    19Hatayspor32072522:88-667
    20Adana Demirspor ✔ 32032917:141-124-57

          Promotion ~ Super Lig
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Adana Demirspor is Relegated to