Samsunspor vs Sivasspor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
18/05/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Super Lig - Round 36
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaTOD
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 MAX

Match Stats

Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
10
Shots on target
10
Corner Kicks
54
Yellow Cards
13
Red Cards
01
Total shots
10
Shots on target
10
Shots off target
00
Blocked Shots
00
Corner Kicks
54
Offsides
21
Throw-ins
138
Goalkeeper Saves
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Dimata L. ,
  • 40', Camara S. 🟨,
  • 44', Moutoussamy S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Simic V. , Boke T. ,
  • 60', Schindler K. , Muja A. ,
  • 60', Rodrigues G. , Turgunboev A. ,
  • 73', Dimata L. , Marius ,
  • 75', Paluli M. 🟨,
  • 83', Holse C. , Yuksel C. ,
  • 85', Bekiroglu E. , Menig Q. ,
  • 86', Yuksel C. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Paluli M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Samsunspor
55.2%
Draw
24.6%
Sivasspor
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.9% 25.7% 22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3% 22.9% 25.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Samsunspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • Sivasspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samsunspor than the current prediction. (-8.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Samsunspor that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sivasspor than the current prediction. (+5%)
  • Samsunspor - Sivasspor Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.71
    (1.73)
    3.86
    (3.5)
    4.67
    (4)
    5.9%
    (11.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Samsunspor - Sivasspor?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Samsunspor will win (votes: 10 - 55.6%). Sivasspor will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Samsunspor: 32.6%78.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Samsunspor (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Sivasspor (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig).
    • In recent matches, Samsunspor has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Sivasspor has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Samsunspor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Samsunspor is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Sivasspor: Albayrak M. (Knee Injury) Bieganski J. (Injury) Nikolic D. (Injury) Okumus A. (Injury)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Samsunspor won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Samsunspor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Samsunspor - Sivasspor were as follows:
    21.12.2024 Sivasspor - Samsunspor 0:0
    14.01.2024 Samsunspor - Sivasspor 2:0
    13.08.2023 Sivasspor - Samsunspor 1:1
    Latest results of Samsunspor
    04.05.2025 Samsunspor - Eyüpspor 3:0
    26.04.2025 Bodrumspor - Samsunspor 1:2
    21.04.2025 Alanyaspor - Samsunspor 1:0
    11.04.2025 Samsunspor - Galatasaray 0:2
    05.04.2025 Antalyaspor - Samsunspor 2:1
    Latest results of Sivasspor
    11.05.2025 Sivasspor - Bodrumspor 0:0
    03.05.2025 Galatasaray - Sivasspor 4:1
    26.04.2025 Sivasspor - Antalyaspor 2:0
    19.04.2025 Kasımpaşa - Sivasspor 3:1
    13.04.2025 Sivasspor - Fenerbahçe 1:3
    Turkish Super League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Galatasaray26204262:184464
    2Fenerbahce27179161:283360
    3Trabzonspor27186353:292460
    4Besiktas27157549:311852
    5Basaksehir27127844:301443
    6Goztepe261110530:201043
    7Samsunspor26811729:31-235
    8Kocaelispor27961223:32-933
    9Gaziantep27891036:46-1033
    10Alanyaspor27613833:32131
    11Rizespor26791032:36-430
    12Konyaspor27791131:39-830
    13Genclerbirligi27671428:37-925
    14Antalyaspor27671425:43-1825
    15Kasimpasa27591323:38-1524
    16Kayserispor274111221:48-2723
    17Eyupspor27571519:38-1922
    18Karagumruk27451824:47-2317

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ 1. Lig