Samsunspor vs Sivasspor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
18/05/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Super Lig - Round 36
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaTOD
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 MAX

Match Stats

Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
10
Shots on target
10
Corner Kicks
54
Yellow Cards
13
Red Cards
01
Total shots
10
Shots on target
10
Shots off target
00
Blocked Shots
00
Corner Kicks
54
Offsides
21
Throw-ins
138
Goalkeeper Saves
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Dimata L. ,
  • 40', Camara S. 🟨,
  • 44', Moutoussamy S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Simic V. , Boke T. ,
  • 60', Schindler K. , Muja A. ,
  • 60', Rodrigues G. , Turgunboev A. ,
  • 73', Dimata L. , Marius ,
  • 75', Paluli M. 🟨,
  • 83', Holse C. , Yuksel C. ,
  • 85', Bekiroglu E. , Menig Q. ,
  • 86', Yuksel C. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Paluli M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Samsunspor
55.2%
Draw
24.6%
Sivasspor
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.9% 25.7% 22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3% 22.9% 25.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Samsunspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • Sivasspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samsunspor than the current prediction. (-8.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Samsunspor that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sivasspor than the current prediction. (+5%)
  • Samsunspor - Sivasspor Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.71
    (1.73)
    3.86
    (3.5)
    4.67
    (4)
    5.9%
    (11.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Samsunspor - Sivasspor?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Samsunspor will win (votes: 10 - 55.6%). Sivasspor will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Samsunspor: 32.6%78.6%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Samsunspor (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Sivasspor (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig).
    • In recent matches, Samsunspor has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Sivasspor has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Samsunspor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Samsunspor is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Sivasspor: Albayrak M. (Knee Injury) Bieganski J. (Injury) Nikolic D. (Injury) Okumus A. (Injury)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Samsunspor won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Samsunspor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Samsunspor - Sivasspor were as follows:
    21.12.2024 Sivasspor - Samsunspor 0:0
    14.01.2024 Samsunspor - Sivasspor 2:0
    13.08.2023 Sivasspor - Samsunspor 1:1
    Latest results of Samsunspor
    04.05.2025 Samsunspor - Eyüpspor 3:0
    26.04.2025 Bodrumspor - Samsunspor 1:2
    21.04.2025 Alanyaspor - Samsunspor 1:0
    11.04.2025 Samsunspor - Galatasaray 0:2
    05.04.2025 Antalyaspor - Samsunspor 2:1
    Latest results of Sivasspor
    11.05.2025 Sivasspor - Bodrumspor 0:0
    03.05.2025 Galatasaray - Sivasspor 4:1
    26.04.2025 Sivasspor - Antalyaspor 2:0
    19.04.2025 Kasımpaşa - Sivasspor 3:1
    13.04.2025 Sivasspor - Fenerbahçe 1:3
    Turkish Super League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Galatasaray29215367:224568
    2Fenerbahce29199166:283866
    3Trabzonspor29197356:312564
    4Besiktas29167653:341955
    5Basaksehir29138847:301747
    6Goztepe291211636:261047
    7Samsunspor29912834:38-439
    8Rizespor29991139:40-136
    9Kocaelispor29981224:33-935
    10Konyaspor298101136:41-534
    11Gaziantep298101138:49-1134
    12Alanyaspor29615835:34133
    13Kasimpasa296101328:41-1328
    14Antalyaspor29771530:47-1728
    15Genclerbirligi29671628:42-1425
    16Kayserispor294111421:54-3323
    17Eyupspor29571720:43-2322
    18Karagumruk29551926:51-2520

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ 1. Lig