Result
3:2
23/09/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Veikkausliiga - Championship Group
- Referee: Roth M. (Fin)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Ruutu+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.05 | 1.67 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (383/463) | 83% (379/457) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.05 | 1.67 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.55 | 2.12 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (383/463) | 83% (379/457) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (24/54) | 52% (27/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (85/115) | 66% (81/123) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (4/14) | 14% (4/29) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.57 | 0.95 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (14/20) | 71% (5/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.12 | 3.55 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.12 | 0.55 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 17', 1 - 0, Toure M. ⚽, Golubickas P. (A),
- 29', 2 - 0, Toure M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Karjalainen R. ↓, Tessilimi O. ↑,
- 46', Obileye A. ↓, Pires K. ↑,
- 57', Arifi D. 🟨,
- 57', Chukwudi S. 🟨,
- 58', Vargas A. ↓, Mastokangas E. ↑,
- 69', Streng J. ↓, Wilson A. ↑,
- 70', Hamalainen T. ↓, Armah B. ↑,
- 70', Voutilainen J. ↓, Parzyszek P. ↑,
- 75', Gasc V. R. 🟨,
- 78', Gasc V. R. ↓, Appiah Nyarko K. ↑,
- 81', Pasanen S. ↓, Luyeye-Lutumba J. ↑,
- 81', Toure M. ↓, Lotjonen A. ↑,
- 87', 2 - 1, Tessilimi O. ⚽, Arsalo M. (A),
- 89', Cisse I. 🟨,
- 90', 2 - 2, Arsalo M. ⚽,
- 90+2', Golubickas P. ↓, Seidu S. ↑,
- 90+2', 3 - 2, Parzyszek P. ⚽, Luyeye-Lutumba J. (A),
- 90+4', Fati B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
KuPS Kuopio
44.4% | Draw
25.6% | SJK
30% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
KuPS Kuopio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)SJK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for KuPS Kuopio than the current prediction. (+6.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for KuPS Kuopio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for SJK than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
KuPS Kuopio - SJK Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.16 ↑
(1.99) |
3.68 ↓
(3.94) |
3.15 ↓
(3.39) |
5.3%
(5.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for KuPS Kuopio - SJK?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. KuPS will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). SJK will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for KuPS: 21.5% – 71.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. KuPS (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.5 - SJK (votes: 4 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 4 and 5)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KuPS won 4.
- Recent form of KuPS has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- SJK is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- KuPS may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- KuPS might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in KuPS: Agyei D.
(Inactive)
Pennanen P.
(Red Card)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, KuPS won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 35:20. (average 1.8:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, KuPS won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 17:6. (average 2.1:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has KuPS Kuopio won against SJK?
KuPS Kuopio has won 8 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has SJK won against KuPS Kuopio?
SJK has won 2 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between KuPS Kuopio - SJK were as follows:
31.08.2025
SJK
-
KuPS Kuopio
1:1
02.05.2025
KuPS Kuopio
-
SJK
1:0
15.02.2025
SJK
-
KuPS Kuopio
1:3
05.10.2024
SJK
-
KuPS Kuopio
0:1
22.08.2024
SJK
-
KuPS Kuopio
2:3
Latest results of KuPS Kuopio
Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ilves | 24 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 54:31 | 23 | 51 |
| 2 | Inter Turku | 24 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 48:20 | 28 | 50 |
| 3 | KuPS | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 48:29 | 19 | 50 |
| 4 | HJK | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 62:32 | 30 | 46 |
| 5 | SJK | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 50:37 | 13 | 42 |
| 6 | Gnistan | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 36:48 | -12 | 28 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
