SKA Khabarovsk vs Chernomorets Novorossiysk – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Russian FNL SKA Khabarovsk - Chernomorets Novorossiysk
Result
1:0
21/09/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • FNL - Round 11
  • Referee: Shamara V. (Rus)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
138
Shots on target
33
Corner Kicks
44
Yellow Cards
10
Total shots
138
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
105
Corner Kicks
44
Free Kicks
1715

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 57', Gagloev A. , Gurtsiev B. ,
  • 59', 1 - 0, Gurtsiev B. ,
  • 60', Rodionov I. , Gurchenko D. ,
  • 71', Tarba Z. , Pomeshkin K. ,
  • 71', Puzanov S. , Zhilkin G. ,
  • 80', Bagiev S. , Maksimenko A. ,
  • 83', Antonov A. , Lozhkin V. ,
  • 83', Tonevitskiy E. , Kirsch I. ,
  • 88', Tsypchenko D. , Alcalde J. ,
  • 90+3', Aliev K. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


SKA Khabarovsk
39%
Draw
31.1%
Chernomorets Novorossiysk
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.9% 30.3% 31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8% 31% 31%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • SKA Khabarovsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • Chernomorets Novorossiysk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for SKA Khabarovsk than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chernomorets Novorossiysk than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • SKA Khabarovsk - Chernomorets Novorossiysk Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.42
    (2.52)
    3.04
    (3.15)
    3.17
    (3.01)
    5.7%
    (4.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 12 and 14)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SKA Khabarovsk won 2.
    • Recent form of SKA Khabarovsk has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Chernomorets's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, SKA Khabarovsk won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 2.2:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, SKA Khabarovsk won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:2. (average 3:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between SKA Khabarovsk - Chernomorets Novorossiysk were as follows:
    19.04.2025 Chernomorets Novorossiysk - SKA Khabarovsk 2:1
    26.10.2024 SKA Khabarovsk - Chernomorets Novorossiysk 6:1
    10.03.2024 Chernomorets Novorossiysk - SKA Khabarovsk 3:0
    20.08.2023 SKA Khabarovsk - Chernomorets Novorossiysk 0:0
    Latest results of SKA Khabarovsk
    Russian FNL Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Fakel Voronezh16103317:9833
    2Ural1593324:16830
    3S. Kostroma1686224:16830
    4Rodina Moscow1676323:14927
    5R. Volgograd1675420:11926
    6Kamaz1675428:171126
    7Chelyabinsk1567220:12825
    8SKA Khabarovsk1665516:16023
    9Neftekhimik1647518:20-219
    10Shinnik Yaroslavl1647512:13-119
    11Yenisey1645712:21-917
    12Arsenal Tula1638523:22117
    13Chernomorets Novorossijsk1645719:20-117
    14Ufa1637618:20-216
    15Ulyanovsk1643917:28-1115
    16Saratov162869:16-714
    17Torpedo Moscow1635813:24-1114
    18FK Chayka1625914:32-1811

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