Chernomorets Novorossiysk vs Shinnik – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
28/11/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • FNL - Round 21
  • Referee: Sidorin A. (Rus)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
74
Shots on target
31
Corner Kicks
49
Yellow Cards
01
Total shots
74
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
43
Corner Kicks
49
Free Kicks
1310

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 17', 1 - 0, Antonov A. ,
  • 29', 2 - 0, Antonov A. ,
  • 41', 2 - 1, Kornyushin D. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Rodionov I. , Krachkovskii A. ,
  • 56', Antonov A. , Kukharchuk I. ,
  • 57', Zhigulev I. , Syshchenko M. ,
  • 59', Shipunov T. , Gongapshev A. ,
  • 81', Samoilov D. , Mironov D. ,
  • 82', Aliev S. , Pomeshkin K. ,
  • 86', Kukharchuk I. 🟨,
  • 88', Malakhov A. , Porokhov I. ,
  • 90+1', Puzanov S. , Zhilkin G. ,

Chances of winning


Chernomorets Novorossiysk
37.9%
Draw
32.8%
Shinnik
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.1% 30.5% 27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7% 31% 27%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chernomorets Novorossiysk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • Shinnik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chernomorets Novorossiysk than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shinnik than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
  • Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Shinnik Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.49
    (2.27)
    2.88
    (3.13)
    3.22
    (3.48)
    6%
    (4.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Shinnik?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Shinnik (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 11).
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Recently, Shinnik has had a series of home games.
    • Chernomorets will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chernomorets won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 0.8:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Chernomorets won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Shinnik were as follows:
    30.08.2025 Shinnik - Chernomorets Novorossiysk 1:0
    03.05.2025 Shinnik - Chernomorets Novorossiysk 0:2
    03.11.2024 Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Shinnik 0:1
    18.03.2024 Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Shinnik 1:0
    09.09.2023 Shinnik - Chernomorets Novorossiysk 2:1
    Latest results of Shinnik
    23.11.2025 Shinnik - Sokol Saratov 0:0
    09.11.2025 Rotor - Shinnik 3:0
    01.11.2025 Shinnik - Chelyabinsk 1:0
    25.10.2025 Shinnik - Spartak Kostroma 2:2
    Russian FNL Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Rodina Moscow321711452:272562
    2Fakel Voronezh31187639:221761
    3Ural31177748:282058
    4R. Volgograd311410740:231752
    5Kamaz321213746:311549
    6S. Kostroma321212845:39648
    7Yenisey311210936:32446
    8Shinnik Yaroslavl311013830:25543
    9Chelyabinsk321013940:36443
    10Neftekhimik3210121038:37142
    11Torpedo Moscow311091233:38-539
    12Arsenal Tula31814939:37238
    13Ulyanovsk31991333:42-936
    14SKA Khabarovsk318111232:45-1335
    15Ufa317101430:37-731
    16Chernomorets Novorossijsk32781733:48-1529
    17FK Chayka31571930:67-3722
    18Saratov313101813:43-3019

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