Skënderbeu Korçë vs Iliria – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
04/04/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Kategoria e Parë - Round 29
  • Where to Watch on TV:
worldWorldFIFA+

Match Stats

Red cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 90+4', 🟥,
  • 90+5', 1 - 0, ,

Chances of winning


Skënderbeu Korçë
69.1%
Draw
20.7%
Iliria
10.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66% 21.8% 12.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.4% 21% 11.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Skënderbeu Korçë has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • Iliria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Skënderbeu Korçë than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iliria than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • Skënderbeu Korçë - Iliria Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.31
    (1.39)
    4.38
    (4.2)
    8.94
    (7.5)
    10.1%
    (9.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • Skënderbeu is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Iliria has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Iliria may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Skënderbeu is the undeniable favorite.
    • We predict that Skënderbeu will win today's game, with odds of 1.38.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Skënderbeu won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 2.7:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Skënderbeu won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Skënderbeu Korçë - Iliria were as follows:
    17.12.2025 Iliria - Skënderbeu Korçë 0:2
    19.11.2025 Skënderbeu Korçë - Iliria 4:2
    12.09.2025 Skënderbeu Korçë - Iliria 2:0
    Latest results of Skënderbeu Korçë
    Latest results of Iliria
    22.03.2026 Iliria - Laçi 1:1
    18.03.2026 Pogradeci - Iliria 3:0
    07.03.2026 Burreli - Iliria 0:0
    01.03.2026 Iliria - Kukësi 1:1
    15.02.2026 Iliria - Lushnja 2:1
    Albanian First Division Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Skenderbeu30234352:232973
    2Laci30217255:223370
    3Pogradeci30207362:253767
    4Iliria Fushe-Kruje309111026:31-538
    5Kastrioti301061439:50-1136
    6Besa Kavaje30981337:39-235
    7Korabi Peshkopi30891328:36-833
    8Burreli30891322:39-1733
    9Apolonia Fier30691525:36-1127
    10Kukesi30761727:46-1927
    11Lushnja305111425:39-1426
    12AF Luftetari304131330:42-1225

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