Result
1:0
04/04/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Kategoria e Parë - Round 29
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 World | FIFA+ |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 90+4', 🟥,
- 90+5', 1 - 0, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Skënderbeu Korçë
69.1% | Draw
20.7% | Iliria
10.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Skënderbeu Korçë has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)Iliria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Skënderbeu Korçë than the current prediction. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iliria than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Skënderbeu Korçë - Iliria Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.31 ↓
(1.39) |
4.38 ↑
(4.2) |
8.94 ↑
(7.5) |
10.1%
(9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Skënderbeu is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Iliria has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Iliria may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Skënderbeu is the undeniable favorite.
- We predict that Skënderbeu will win today's game, with odds of 1.38.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Skënderbeu won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 2.7:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Skënderbeu won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Skënderbeu Korçë won against Iliria?
Skënderbeu Korçë has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Iliria won against Skënderbeu Korçë?
Iliria has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Skënderbeu Korçë - Iliria were as follows:
17.12.2025
Iliria
-
Skënderbeu Korçë
0:2
19.11.2025
Skënderbeu Korçë
-
Iliria
4:2
12.09.2025
Skënderbeu Korçë
-
Iliria
2:0
Latest results of Skënderbeu Korçë
Albanian First Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Skenderbeu ✔ | 32 | 24 | 5 | 3 | 57:24 | 33 | 77 |
| 2 | Laci ✔ | 32 | 23 | 7 | 2 | 59:23 | 36 | 76 |
| 3 | Pogradeci ✔ | 33 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 63:31 | 32 | 68 |
| 4 | Iliria Fushe-Kruje ✔ | 33 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 32:33 | -1 | 45 |
| 5 | Besa Kavaje ✔ | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 41:43 | -2 | 39 |
| 6 | Kastrioti ✔ | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 44:57 | -13 | 39 |
| 7 | Burreli | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 27:45 | -18 | 37 |
| 8 | Korabi Peshkopi | 33 | 8 | 12 | 13 | 31:39 | -8 | 36 |
| 9 | AF Luftetari ✔ | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 37:43 | -6 | 34 |
| 10 | Kukesi ✔ | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 31:50 | -19 | 31 |
| 11 | Apolonia Fier ✔ | 33 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 31:44 | -13 | 28 |
| 12 | Lushnja ✔ | 33 | 5 | 11 | 17 | 26:47 | -21 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Abissnet Superiore
Promotion ~ Abissnet Superiore (Promotion: )
Kategoria e Paru00eb (Relegation)
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Skenderbeu is Qualified for Abissnet Superiore
Laci is Qualified for Abissnet Superiore
Pogradeci is Qualified for Abissnet Superiore (Promotion )
Iliria Fushe-Kruje is Qualified for Abissnet Superiore (Promotion )
Besa Kavaje is Qualified for Abissnet Superiore (Promotion )
Kastrioti is Qualified for Abissnet Superiore (Promotion )
AF Luftetari is Kategoria e Paru00eb (Relegation)
Kukesi is Kategoria e Paru00eb (Relegation)
Apolonia Fier is Relegated to
Lushnja is Relegated to
