Slavia Mozyr vs Smorgon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Belarusian Vysshaya Liga Slavia Mozyr - Smorgon
05/10/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Vysshaya Liga - Round 24
  • Referee: Shiyan N. (Blr)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
belarusBelarusBelarus 5

Chances of winning


Slavia Mozyr
66.7%
Draw
22%
Smorgon
11.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
71.4% 18.8% 9.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.9% 15% 12.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Slavia Mozyr has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • Smorgon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Slavia Mozyr than the current prediction. (-9.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Slavia Mozyr that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Smorgon than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • Slavia Mozyr - Smorgon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.4
    (1.33)
    4.25
    (5.05)
    8.27
    (9.7)
    7.1%
    (5.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 and 14 in the zone Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Slavia Mozyr won 3.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Smorgon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Smorgon has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Slavia Mozyr is the clear favorite.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Slavia Mozyr won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 20:5. (average 2.2:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Slavia Mozyr won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:2. (average 2.8:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Slavia Mozyr - Smorgon were as follows:
    16.05.2025 Smorgon - Slavia Mozyr 0:2
    25.10.2024 Slavia Mozyr - Smorgon 0:0
    31.05.2024 Smorgon - Slavia Mozyr 3:3
    26.08.2023 Smorgon - Slavia Mozyr 0:2
    14.04.2023 Slavia Mozyr - Smorgon 4:1
    Latest results of Slavia Mozyr
    Latest results of Smorgon
    28.09.2025 Smorgon - Neman Grodno 1:0
    24.09.2025 Smorgon - Dinamo Minsk 1:2
    19.09.2025 Torpedo-BelAZ - Smorgon 0:1
    13.09.2025 Smorgon - Naftan 1:1
    30.08.2025 Smorgon - ML Vitebsk 0:1
    Belarusian Vysshaya Liga Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1ML Vitebsk24164438:152352
    2Din. Minsk23153542:241848
    3Slavia Mozyr23135538:231544
    4Zhodino23118437:231441
    5Dynamo Brest24125736:231341
    6FC Minsk24125738:35341
    7Isloch23109440:221839
    8Neman21102930:21932
    9BATE24861029:39-1030
    10FC Gomel23851024:27-329
    11Vitebsk24831332:36-427
    12Arsenal Dzerzhinsk23511724:29-526
    13Naftan24741331:42-1125
    14Smorgon23551317:33-1620
    15Slutsk22341511:36-2513
    16Molodechno24312016:55-3910

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Pershaya Liga