Slavia Mozyr vs Smorgon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Belarusian Vysshaya Liga Slavia Mozyr - Smorgon
Result
3:1
05/10/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Vysshaya Liga - Round 24
  • Referee: Shiyan N. (Blr)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
belarusBelarusBelarus 5

Match Stats

Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
168
Shots on target
82
Corner Kicks
51
Yellow Cards
25
Total shots
168
Shots on target
82
Shots off target
86
Corner Kicks
51
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1716
Throw-ins
3719
Fouls
1515

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 35', 0 - 1, Chebotar V. , Yablonskiy M. (A),
  • 36', Aliyu H. S. , Tishko A. ,
  • 37', 1 - 1, Solovey A. ,
  • 40', Firsov A. 🟨,
  • 41', 2 - 1, Melnikov N. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 50', Bamba M. 🟨,
  • 52', Ivanov N. 🟨,
  • 53', Bogdanovich I. 🟨,
  • 57', Tonkevich V. 🟨,
  • 65', Chebotar V. , Dukso M. ,
  • 65', Maslovskiy V. , Doumbia S. ,
  • 67', Lutsevich T. , Gulko I. ,
  • 80', Chikida P. , Kuznetsov Y. ,
  • 82', Tonkevich V. , Kukhlejj R. ,
  • 82', Dzhigero A. , Sachkovskiy M. ,
  • 82', Poloz V. , Davydov V. ,
  • 85', Davydov V. 🟨,
  • 89', Intsoen C. 🟨,
  • 90', 3 - 1, Ivanov N. (Pen),
  • 90+2', Solovey A. , Kirilenko K. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Slavia Mozyr
68.4%
Draw
21.3%
Smorgon
10.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
71.4% 18.8% 9.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.9% 15% 12.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Slavia Mozyr has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • Smorgon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Slavia Mozyr than the current prediction. (-11.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Slavia Mozyr that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Smorgon than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • Slavia Mozyr - Smorgon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.37
    (1.33)
    4.39
    (5.05)
    9.15
    (9.7)
    6.7%
    (5.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 and 14 in the zone Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Slavia Mozyr won 3.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Smorgon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Smorgon has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Slavia Mozyr is the clear favorite.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Slavia Mozyr won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 20:5. (average 2.2:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Slavia Mozyr won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:2. (average 2.8:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Slavia Mozyr - Smorgon were as follows:
    16.05.2025 Smorgon - Slavia Mozyr 0:2
    25.10.2024 Slavia Mozyr - Smorgon 0:0
    31.05.2024 Smorgon - Slavia Mozyr 3:3
    26.08.2023 Smorgon - Slavia Mozyr 0:2
    14.04.2023 Slavia Mozyr - Smorgon 4:1
    Latest results of Slavia Mozyr
    Latest results of Smorgon
    28.09.2025 Smorgon - Neman Grodno 1:0
    24.09.2025 Smorgon - Dinamo Minsk 1:2
    19.09.2025 Torpedo-BelAZ - Smorgon 0:1
    13.09.2025 Smorgon - Naftan 1:1
    30.08.2025 Smorgon - ML Vitebsk 0:1
    Belarusian Vysshaya Liga Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1ML Vitebsk25174442:162655
    2Din. Minsk25164545:252052
    3Slavia Mozyr26155645:281750
    4Zhodino25128540:261444
    5Dynamo Brest25135738:241444
    6Isloch251110441:221943
    7FC Minsk26126841:41042
    8Neman251221134:25938
    9BATE26961130:40-1033
    10FC Gomel25961028:28033
    11Vitebsk25831433:38-527
    12Arsenal Dzerzhinsk25511924:31-726
    13Naftan26741532:46-1425
    14Smorgon26661421:38-1724
    15Slutsk26461616:43-2718
    16Molodechno25322018:57-3911

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Pershaya Liga