Result
0:2
05/04/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Chance Liga - Round 28
- Referee: Wulkan J. (Cze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Czech-republic | Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1 |
 Poland | Polsat Sport 2 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 1.89 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 63% (146/230) | 81% (259/319) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 1.89 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 2.29 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 13 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 10 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 63% (146/230) | 81% (259/319) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 28% (13/47) | 55% (28/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (59/98) | 65% (53/82) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (4/15) | 24% (8/33) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.35 | 0.81 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 72% (13/18) | 33% (3/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.29 | 1.32 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.29 | 1.32 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 18', Trpisovsky J. 🟨,
- 23', 0 - 1, Chory T. (Penalty Awarded),
- 31', Bewene A. 🟨,
- 32', 0 - 2, Provod L. ⚽, Chytil M. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Chaloupek S. ↓, Boril J. ↑,
- 66', Isife S. ↓, Vlcek T. ↑,
- 66', Chytil M. ↓, Mbodji Y. ↑,
- 66', Kricfalusi O. ↓, Pira J. ↑,
- 66', Holzer D. ↓, Sinyavskiy V. ↑,
- 78', Planka D. ↓, Musak A. ↑,
- 78', Jurecka V. ↓, Plavsic S. ↑,
- 87', Chalus M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 88', Boula J. ↓, Sancl F. ↑,
- 90', Jurasek D. ↓, Kusej V. ↑,
- 90+1', Chory T. ↓, Prekop E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Baník Ostrava
18% | Draw
23.2% | Slavia Prague
58.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Baník Ostrava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)Slavia Prague has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baník Ostrava than the current prediction. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Slavia Prague than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Baník Ostrava - Slavia Prague Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.2 ↑
(4.86) |
4.04 ↑
(3.88) |
1.58 ↓
(1.63) |
7.2%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Baník Ostrava - Slavia Prague?
Users Predictions:
Slavia Prague will win
(11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Chance Liga (Relegation Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: )).
- Slavia Prague is Qualified for Chance Liga (Championship Group )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Baník Ostrava won 0.
- Baník Ostrava has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Slavia Prague is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Baník Ostrava may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Slavia Prague is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Baník Ostrava: Kante H.
(Loan agreement)
Kohut M.
(Yellow Cards)
Kubala F.
(Knee Injury)
Latal D.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Slavia Prague: Buzek A.
(Ankle Injury)
Javorcek D.
(Knee Injury)
Sevcik P.
(Knee Injury)
Stanek J.
(Injury)
Zima D.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Slavia Prague: Doudera D.
(Calf Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Baník Ostrava won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 15:47. (average 0.8:2.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Baník Ostrava won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:18. (average 1.1:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Baník Ostrava won against Slavia Prague?
Baník Ostrava has won 0 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Slavia Prague won against Baník Ostrava?
Slavia Prague has won 8 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Baník Ostrava - Slavia Prague were as follows:
01.11.2025
Slavia Prague
-
Baník Ostrava
2:0
24.05.2025
Slavia Prague
-
Baník Ostrava
3:0
16.02.2025
Slavia Prague
-
Baník Ostrava
1:0
05.12.2024
Baník Ostrava
-
Slavia Prague
0:1
04.05.2024
Slavia Prague
-
Baník Ostrava
5:0
Latest results of Baník Ostrava
Latest results of Slavia Prague
Czech 1 Liga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Slavia Prague ✔ | 28 | 20 | 8 | 0 | 60:20 | 40 | 68 |
| 2 | Sparta Prague ✔ | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 57:30 | 27 | 60 |
| 3 | Jablonec ✔ | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 39:28 | 11 | 51 |
| 4 | Plzen ✔ | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 49:33 | 16 | 50 |
| 5 | Hradec Kralove | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 40:33 | 7 | 43 |
| 6 | Liberec | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 41:29 | 12 | 42 |
| 7 | Sigma Olomouc | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 31:31 | 0 | 40 |
| 8 | Karvina | 28 | 11 | 3 | 14 | 41:47 | -6 | 36 |
| 9 | FK Pardubice | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 35:45 | -10 | 35 |
| 10 | Zlin | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 33:43 | -10 | 31 |
| 11 | Mlada Boleslav | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 41:52 | -11 | 31 |
| 12 | Bohemians | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 22:35 | -13 | 30 |
| 13 | Teplice | 28 | 6 | 11 | 11 | 27:34 | -7 | 29 |
| 14 | Slovacko | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 24:41 | -17 | 23 |
| 15 | Ostrava ✔ | 28 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 25:42 | -17 | 22 |
| 16 | Dukla Prague ✔ | 28 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 17:39 | -22 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: )
Chance Liga (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Slavia Prague is Qualified for Chance Liga (Championship Group )
Sparta Prague is Qualified for Chance Liga (Championship Group )
Jablonec is Qualified for Chance Liga (Championship Group )
Plzen is Qualified for Chance Liga (Championship Group )
Ostrava is Chance Liga (Relegation Group )
Dukla Prague is Chance Liga (Relegation Group )
