Result
1:1
28/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Relegation Group - Round 3
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.43 | 0.41 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 61% (160/264) | 62% (173/281) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.43 | 0.41 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 0.16 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 61% (160/264) | 62% (173/281) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 28% (19/68) | 34% (30/87) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 32% (20/63) | 38% (38/101) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 75% (3/4) | 13% (3/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.39 | 0.57 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 80% (4/5) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 34 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.16 | 1.22 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.84 | 0.22 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 14', Dodo D. 🟨,
- 45+4', Mostafa M. 🟨,
- 45+9', 1 - 0, Shousha A. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 53', Dodo D. ↓, Salim M. ↑,
- 53', Haggag B. ↓, El Ouadi A. ↑,
- 60', El Sisi A. 🟨,
- 69', El Sayed B. ↓, Abdel Rasoul Ahmed ↑,
- 69', Ojo T. ↓, El Zahdi A. ↑,
- 70', Mohsen M. 🟨,
- 72', 1 - 1, Rabia M. ⚽, Amadi S. (A),
- 79', El Sayed N. ↓, Shika S. ↑,
- 79', Akem F. ↓, Kahraba ↑,
- 89', Juhayna ↓, Mohamed K. ↑,
- 89', Amadi S. ↓, Gaber I. ↑,
- 90+4', Mohsen M. ↓, El Nahas M. ↑,
Chances of winning
El Gouna
33.8% | Draw
35.7% | Smouha
30.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
El Gouna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)Smouha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Gouna than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with El Gouna that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Smouha than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
El Gouna - Smouha Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.75 ↓
(2.97) |
2.61 ↑
(2.47) |
3.06 ↑
(2.98) |
7.3%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for El Gouna - Smouha?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. El Gouna will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Smouha will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. El Gouna (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches El Gouna won 2.
- Recent matches El Gouna is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Smouha has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recently El Gouna have a series of guest games.
- In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
- Last 18 head-to-head matches El Gouna won 4 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 18:19 (average 1:1.1).
- Including matches at home between the teams El Gouna won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8:8 (average 0.9:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has El Gouna won against Smouha?
El Gouna has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Smouha won against El Gouna?
Smouha has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between El Gouna - Smouha were as follows:
11.12.2024
El Gouna
-
Smouha
1:0
01.12.2024
Smouha
-
El Gouna
0:0
17.04.2024
El Gouna
-
Smouha
1:0
20.09.2023
Smouha
-
El Gouna
1:1
23.08.2022
Smouha
-
El Gouna
2:2
Latest results of El Gouna
Egyptian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ceramica Cleopatra | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 12:4 | 8 | 20 |
| 2 | Al Masry | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18:11 | 7 | 18 |
| 3 | Zamalek | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14:7 | 7 | 18 |
| 4 | Al Ahly | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17:11 | 6 | 18 |
| 5 | Enppi | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 10:6 | 4 | 18 |
| 6 | Wadi Degla | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12:9 | 3 | 16 |
| 7 | ZED | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 9:8 | 1 | 15 |
| 8 | Modern Sport | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 15 |
| 9 | Pyramids | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11:4 | 7 | 14 |
| 10 | National Bank Egypt | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 10:5 | 5 | 14 |
| 11 | Smouha | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 14 |
| 12 | Ghazl El Mahallah | 11 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 14 |
| 13 | Petrojet | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 9:10 | -1 | 14 |
| 14 | El Gouna | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 12 |
| 15 | Haras El Hodood | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 8:13 | -5 | 11 |
| 16 | El Gaish | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 3:13 | -10 | 9 |
| 17 | Al Ittihad | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 5:11 | -6 | 8 |
| 18 | Kahrabaa Ismailia | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9:19 | -10 | 8 |
| 19 | El Ismaily | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 5:14 | -9 | 7 |
| 20 | Pharco | 9 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3:8 | -5 | 6 |
| 21 | Arab Contractors | 11 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 4:10 | -6 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: )
Premier League (Relegation Group: )
