Result
1:1
28/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Relegation Group - Round 3
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.43 | 0.41 |
Ball Possession |
---|
47% | 53% |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 6 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 8 |
Passes |
---|
61% (160/264) | 62% (173/281) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.43 | 0.41 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.22 | 0.16 |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 6 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 2 |
Shots off target |
---|
8 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
1 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
4 | 3 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
7 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 8 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
11 | 16 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
14 | 19 |
Passes |
---|
61% (160/264) | 62% (173/281) |
Long passes |
---|
28% (19/68) | 34% (30/87) |
Passes in final third |
---|
32% (20/63) | 38% (38/101) |
Crosses |
---|
75% (3/4) | 13% (3/24) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.39 | 0.57 |
Throw-ins |
---|
21 | 26 |
Fouls |
---|
19 | 14 |
Tackles |
---|
73% (8/11) | 80% (4/5) |
Duels won |
---|
34 | 41 |
Clearances |
---|
32 | 18 |
Interceptions |
---|
2 | 6 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.16 | 1.22 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.84 | 0.22 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 14', Dodo D. 🟨,
- 45+4', Mostafa M. 🟨,
- 45+9', 1 - 0, Shousha A. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 53', Dodo D. ↓, Salim M. ↑,
- 53', Haggag B. ↓, El Ouadi A. ↑,
- 60', El Sisi A. 🟨,
- 69', El Sayed B. ↓, Abdel Rasoul Ahmed ↑,
- 69', Ojo T. ↓, El Zahdi A. ↑,
- 70', Mohsen M. 🟨,
- 72', 1 - 1, Rabia M. ⚽, Amadi S. (A),
- 79', El Sayed N. ↓, Shika S. ↑,
- 79', Akem F. ↓, Kahraba ↑,
- 89', Juhayna ↓, Mohamed K. ↑,
- 89', Amadi S. ↓, Gaber I. ↑,
- 90+4', Mohsen M. ↓, El Nahas M. ↑,
Chances of winning
El Gouna 33.8% | Draw 35.7% | Smouha 30.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
El Gouna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)Smouha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Gouna than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with El Gouna that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Smouha than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
El Gouna - Smouha Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.75 ↓ (2.97) |
2.61 ↑ (2.47) |
3.06 ↑ (2.98) |
7.3% (7.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for El Gouna - Smouha?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. El Gouna will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Smouha will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. El Gouna (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches El Gouna won 2.
- Recent matches El Gouna is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Smouha has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recently El Gouna have a series of guest games.
- In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
- Last 18 head-to-head matches El Gouna won 4 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 18:19 (average 1:1.1).
- Including matches at home between the teams El Gouna won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8:8 (average 0.9:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has El Gouna won against Smouha?
El Gouna has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Smouha won against El Gouna?
Smouha has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between El Gouna - Smouha were as follows:
11.12.2024
El Gouna
-
Smouha
1:0
01.12.2024
Smouha
-
El Gouna
0:0
17.04.2024
El Gouna
-
Smouha
1:0
20.09.2023
Smouha
-
El Gouna
1:1
23.08.2022
Smouha
-
El Gouna
2:2
Latest results of El Gouna
Egyptian Premier League Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Al Ahly | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 22:9 | 13 | 58 |
2 | Pyramids | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15:10 | 5 | 56 |
3 | Zamalek | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14:6 | 8 | 47 |
4 | Al Masry | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 42 |
5 | National Bank Egypt | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 38 |
6 | Ceramica Cleopatra | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 37 |
7 | Pharco | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:16 | -8 | 32 |
8 | Petrojet | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7:17 | -10 | 27 |
9 | Haras El Hodood | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3:16 | -13 | 24 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )