Result
0:1
27/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 12
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Egypt | Kora Plus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.51 | 0.59 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (300/392) | 68% (159/234) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.51 | 0.59 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 1.05 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (300/392) | 68% (159/234) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (27/65) | 39% (16/41) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (62/114) | 53% (29/55) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (2/16) | 43% (3/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 0.31 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 72% (13/18) | 74% (14/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.05 | 0.64 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.05 | 0.64 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 28', Samadou A. 🟨,
- 30', Hassouna M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Fekri S. ↓, Yehia A. ↑,
- 46', Samadou A. ↓, El Ghandour K. ↑,
- 64', El Zahdi A. ↓, Gamal A. ↑,
- 70', Fawzi A. ↓, Badji P. ↑,
- 71', Mahmoud M. ↓, El Sayed B. ↑,
- 74', Taalab A. ↓, Belia A. ↑,
- 74', Emad M. ↓, Ojo T. ↑,
- 80', 0 - 1, El Nahas M. ⚽, Gamal A. (A),
- 89', Ashraf H. (Pen),
- 90', Ragab M. ↓, Mostafa M. ↑,
- 90', Badji P. ↓, Reda S. ↑,
- 90+1', Amadi S. 🟥,
- 90+6', Mostafa M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Smouha
43.3% | Draw
34.3% | El Gouna
22.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Smouha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)El Gouna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Smouha than the current prediction. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Gouna than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Smouha - El Gouna Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.16 ↓
(2.18) |
2.72 ↑
(2.67) |
4.17 ↑
(4.1) |
7.1%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Smouha - El Gouna?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Smouha will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Smouha (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: ) and 14 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Smouha won 0.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- El Gouna may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Smouha could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Smouha won 6 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:19. (average 1.1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Smouha won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:10. (average 1.2:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Smouha won against El Gouna?
Smouha has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has El Gouna won against Smouha?
El Gouna has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Smouha - El Gouna were as follows:
28.04.2025
El Gouna
-
Smouha
1:1
11.12.2024
El Gouna
-
Smouha
1:0
01.12.2024
Smouha
-
El Gouna
0:0
17.04.2024
El Gouna
-
Smouha
1:0
20.09.2023
Smouha
-
El Gouna
1:1
Latest results of El Gouna
Egyptian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Zamalek ✔ | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 31:12 | 19 | 40 |
| 2 | Pyramids ✔ | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 29:14 | 15 | 37 |
| 3 | Al Ahly ✔ | 18 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 29:16 | 13 | 37 |
| 4 | Ceramica Cleopatra ✔ | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 27:14 | 13 | 37 |
| 5 | Al Masry | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 27:19 | 8 | 29 |
| 6 | Smouha | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 18:13 | 5 | 28 |
| 7 | Wadi Degla | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 23:20 | 3 | 28 |
| 8 | ZED | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 19:16 | 3 | 26 |
| 9 | National Bank Egypt | 18 | 5 | 10 | 3 | 16:11 | 5 | 25 |
| 10 | Petrojet | 19 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 20:21 | -1 | 25 |
| 11 | Enppi | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 17:15 | 2 | 24 |
| 12 | El Gouna | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 15:15 | 0 | 24 |
| 13 | Modern Sport | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 23 |
| 14 | Al Ittihad ✔ | 19 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 15:23 | -8 | 20 |
| 15 | Ghazl El Mahallah ✔ | 19 | 2 | 12 | 5 | 12:15 | -3 | 18 |
| 16 | Arab Contractors ✔ | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 12:18 | -6 | 18 |
| 17 | Haras El Hodood ✔ | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 14:26 | -12 | 17 |
| 18 | El Gaish ✔ | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 10:22 | -12 | 16 |
| 19 | Kahrabaa Ismailia ✔ | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 21:35 | -14 | 16 |
| 20 | Pharco ✔ | 19 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 8:22 | -14 | 14 |
| 21 | El Ismaily ✔ | 19 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 11:26 | -15 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: )
Premier League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Zamalek is Qualified for Premier League (Championship Group )
Pyramids is Qualified for Premier League (Championship Group )
Al Ahly is Qualified for Premier League (Championship Group )
Ceramica Cleopatra is Qualified for Premier League (Championship Group )
Al Ittihad is Premier League (Relegation Group )
Ghazl El Mahallah is Premier League (Relegation Group )
Arab Contractors is Premier League (Relegation Group )
Haras El Hodood is Premier League (Relegation Group )
El Gaish is Premier League (Relegation Group )
Kahrabaa Ismailia is Premier League (Relegation Group )
Pharco is Premier League (Relegation Group )
El Ismaily is Premier League (Relegation Group )
