Result
1:1
04/11/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 13
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Egypt | Kora Plus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.42 | 0.24 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (281/363) | 58% (142/244) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.42 | 0.24 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 0.25 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (281/363) | 58% (142/244) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (26/56) | 38% (26/69) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (70/101) | 43% (32/74) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (4/23) | 29% (2/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 0.19 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 30 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 88% (7/8) | 79% (11/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 34 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.25 | 0.88 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.75 | -0.12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 24', Naguib S. 🟨,
- 25', 0 - 1, Yehia A. ⚽, Amer A. (A),
- 45+2', 1 - 1, Naguib S. ⚽, Ochaya J. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Fawzi A. 🟨,
- 47', Fekri S. 🟨,
- 60', Fawzi A. ↓, Badji P. ↑,
- 69', Salim M. ↓, Sobhi M. ↑,
- 71', Ashraf H. ↓, Juhayna ↑,
- 71', Fekri S. ↓, Mohamed K. ↑,
- 72', Dabash M. 🟨,
- 81', Naguib S. ↓, El Tayeeb A. ↑,
- 81', El Wahsh O. ↓, Antar M. ↑,
- 89', Ojera J. ↓, Onyemaechi K. ↑,
- 90+2', Yehia A. ↓, Mostafa M. ↑,
- 90+2', El Sisi A. ↓, Khaled A. ↑,
Chances of winning
El Mokawloon El Arab
30.7% | Draw
35% | Smouha
34.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
El Mokawloon El Arab has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)Smouha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Mokawloon El Arab than the current prediction. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Smouha than the current prediction. (+1%)
El Mokawloon El Arab - Smouha Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.04 ↓
(3.16) |
2.66 ↑
(2.62) |
2.72 ↑
(2.64) |
7.2%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for El Mokawloon El Arab - Smouha?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. El Mokawloon will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Smouha will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 63.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.2% – 92%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Smouha (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Smouha (1.28) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - El Mokawloon (2.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. El Mokawloon (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Smouha (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: ) and 12 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El Mokawloon won 0.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Smouha may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, El Mokawloon won 4 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 22:28. (average 1.1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, El Mokawloon won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 0.9:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has El Mokawloon El Arab won against Smouha?
El Mokawloon El Arab has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Smouha won against El Mokawloon El Arab?
Smouha has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between El Mokawloon El Arab - Smouha were as follows:
28.04.2024
El Mokawloon El Arab
-
Smouha
0:1
05.10.2023
Smouha
-
El Mokawloon El Arab
2:1
11.03.2023
El Mokawloon El Arab
-
Smouha
0:1
11.12.2022
Smouha
-
El Mokawloon El Arab
0:0
Latest results of El Mokawloon El Arab
Egyptian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Zamalek ✔ | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 31:12 | 19 | 40 |
| 2 | Pyramids ✔ | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 29:14 | 15 | 37 |
| 3 | Al Ahly ✔ | 18 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 29:16 | 13 | 37 |
| 4 | Ceramica Cleopatra ✔ | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 27:14 | 13 | 37 |
| 5 | Al Masry | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 27:19 | 8 | 29 |
| 6 | Smouha | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 18:13 | 5 | 28 |
| 7 | Wadi Degla | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 23:20 | 3 | 28 |
| 8 | ZED | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 19:16 | 3 | 26 |
| 9 | National Bank Egypt | 18 | 5 | 10 | 3 | 16:11 | 5 | 25 |
| 10 | Petrojet | 19 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 20:21 | -1 | 25 |
| 11 | Enppi | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 17:15 | 2 | 24 |
| 12 | El Gouna | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 15:15 | 0 | 24 |
| 13 | Modern Sport | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 23 |
| 14 | Al Ittihad ✔ | 19 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 15:23 | -8 | 20 |
| 15 | Ghazl El Mahallah ✔ | 19 | 2 | 12 | 5 | 12:15 | -3 | 18 |
| 16 | Arab Contractors ✔ | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 12:18 | -6 | 18 |
| 17 | Haras El Hodood ✔ | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 14:26 | -12 | 17 |
| 18 | El Gaish ✔ | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 10:22 | -12 | 16 |
| 19 | Kahrabaa Ismailia ✔ | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 21:35 | -14 | 16 |
| 20 | Pharco ✔ | 19 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 8:22 | -14 | 14 |
| 21 | El Ismaily ✔ | 19 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 11:26 | -15 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: )
Premier League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Zamalek is Qualified for Premier League (Championship Group )
Pyramids is Qualified for Premier League (Championship Group )
Al Ahly is Qualified for Premier League (Championship Group )
Ceramica Cleopatra is Qualified for Premier League (Championship Group )
Al Ittihad is Premier League (Relegation Group )
Ghazl El Mahallah is Premier League (Relegation Group )
Arab Contractors is Premier League (Relegation Group )
Haras El Hodood is Premier League (Relegation Group )
El Gaish is Premier League (Relegation Group )
Kahrabaa Ismailia is Premier League (Relegation Group )
Pharco is Premier League (Relegation Group )
El Ismaily is Premier League (Relegation Group )
