Result
2:0
21/01/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 15
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Egypt | Kora Plus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.51 | 0.78 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (237/333) | 64% (172/269) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.51 | 0.78 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.35 | 0.94 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (237/333) | 64% (172/269) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (36/78) | 30% (22/73) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (93/136) | 41% (35/86) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (5/25) | 52% (11/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 1.08 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 34 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 100% (9/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 36 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.94 | 2.35 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.94 | 0.35 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 34', Abdelaziz A. 🟨,
- 38', Ragab M. 🟨,
- 38', El Sisi A. 🟨,
- 42', Kamel G. 🟨,
- 45+2', Badara A. 🟨,
- 45+7', 1 - 0, El Ghandour K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Fathy M. ↓, Mohamed Youssef Camacho ↑,
- 46', Ashraf H. ↓, Mostafa M. ↑,
- 59', Ezz M. ↓, Fouad A. ↑,
- 59', El Mallah Y. ↓, El Tayeb K. ↑,
- 69', 2 - 0, Mostafa M. ⚽, Reda S. (A),
- 81', Mostafa W. ↓, Gaber M. ↑,
- 83', Reda S. ↓, Fathi E. ↑,
- 83', Mohamed K. ↓, Amankona S. ↑,
- 84', El Tayeb K. 🟨,
- 90', Galal Y. ↓, Sayed M. ↑,
- 90+2', Badji P. ↓, Fawzi A. ↑,
- 90+6', Ahmed M. 🟨,
- 90+6', Fekri S. ↓, Juhayna ↑,
Chances of winning
Smouha
47.2% | Draw
32.6% | Pharco
20.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Smouha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Smouha's form might have worsened.Pharco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Smouha than the current prediction. (+10.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Smouha, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pharco than the current prediction. (-5.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pharco, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Smouha - Pharco Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.95 ↑
(1.65) |
2.82 ↓
(3.27) |
4.55 ↓
(5.99) |
8.7%
(7.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Smouha - Pharco?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Smouha will win (votes: 14 - 73.7%). Pharco will win (votes: 1 - 5.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 21.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Smouha: 53.9% – 93.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Smouha will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 14 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: ) and 16 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: ))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Smouha won 1.
- Smouha has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Pharco has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Smouha is the team to beat.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Smouha won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.6:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Smouha won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Smouha won against Pharco?
Smouha has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pharco won against Smouha?
Pharco has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Smouha - Pharco were as follows:
30.12.2024
Pharco
-
Smouha
2:1
24.05.2024
Pharco
-
Smouha
1:1
04.12.2023
Smouha
-
Pharco
2:1
23.05.2023
Pharco
-
Smouha
1:0
08.01.2023
Smouha
-
Pharco
0:2
Egyptian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Zamalek ✔ | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 31:12 | 19 | 40 |
| 2 | Pyramids ✔ | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 29:14 | 15 | 37 |
| 3 | Al Ahly ✔ | 18 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 29:16 | 13 | 37 |
| 4 | Ceramica Cleopatra ✔ | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 27:14 | 13 | 37 |
| 5 | Al Masry | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 27:19 | 8 | 29 |
| 6 | Smouha | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 18:13 | 5 | 28 |
| 7 | Wadi Degla | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 23:20 | 3 | 28 |
| 8 | ZED | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 19:16 | 3 | 26 |
| 9 | National Bank Egypt | 18 | 5 | 10 | 3 | 16:11 | 5 | 25 |
| 10 | Petrojet | 19 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 20:21 | -1 | 25 |
| 11 | Enppi | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 17:15 | 2 | 24 |
| 12 | El Gouna | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 15:15 | 0 | 24 |
| 13 | Modern Sport | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 23 |
| 14 | Al Ittihad ✔ | 19 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 15:23 | -8 | 20 |
| 15 | Ghazl El Mahallah ✔ | 19 | 2 | 12 | 5 | 12:15 | -3 | 18 |
| 16 | Arab Contractors ✔ | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 12:18 | -6 | 18 |
| 17 | Haras El Hodood ✔ | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 14:26 | -12 | 17 |
| 18 | El Gaish ✔ | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 10:22 | -12 | 16 |
| 19 | Kahrabaa Ismailia ✔ | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 21:35 | -14 | 16 |
| 20 | Pharco ✔ | 19 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 8:22 | -14 | 14 |
| 21 | El Ismaily ✔ | 19 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 11:26 | -15 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: )
Premier League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Zamalek is Qualified for Premier League (Championship Group )
Pyramids is Qualified for Premier League (Championship Group )
Al Ahly is Qualified for Premier League (Championship Group )
Ceramica Cleopatra is Qualified for Premier League (Championship Group )
Al Ittihad is Premier League (Relegation Group )
Ghazl El Mahallah is Premier League (Relegation Group )
Arab Contractors is Premier League (Relegation Group )
Haras El Hodood is Premier League (Relegation Group )
El Gaish is Premier League (Relegation Group )
Kahrabaa Ismailia is Premier League (Relegation Group )
Pharco is Premier League (Relegation Group )
El Ismaily is Premier League (Relegation Group )
