Result
3:1
06/04/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- FNL - Round 27
- Referee: Frolov A. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Russia | Match TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 23', 1 - 0, Maksimenko A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 56', 2 - 0, Gueye P. ⚽,
- 60', Maslov P. 🟨,
- 62', Pisarskiy V. ↓, Kramaric M. ↑,
- 63', Zaika K. ↓, Burmistrov N. ↑,
- 63', Gordyushenko A. ↓, Barisic M. ↑,
- 68', Koryan A. ↓, Kontsevoy A. ↑,
- 72', 2 - 1, Meleshin P. (Pen),
- 72', Pasevich R. ↓, Nikitin K. ↑,
- 82', Kravtsov K. ↓, Kaynov M. ↑,
- 82', Meleshin P. ↓, Bart R. ↑,
- 83', Gueye P. ↓, Timoshenko I. ↑,
- 90+5', 3 - 1, Kontsevoy A. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Rodina Moscow
31.4% | Draw
32.1% | Sochi
36.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rodina Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rodina Moscow's performance.Sochi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sochi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rodina Moscow than the current prediction. (-5.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rodina Moscow that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sochi than the current prediction. (+7.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sochi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Rodina Moscow - Sochi Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.95 ↓
(3.73) |
2.89 ↓
(3.16) |
2.54 ↑
(2.1) |
7.9%
(6.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: )).
- Recent matches Rodina is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Sochi is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Rodina could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Recently Sochi have a series of home games.
- The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Rodina won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1
How many head-to-head matches has Rodina Moscow won against Sochi?
Rodina Moscow has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sochi won against Rodina Moscow?
Sochi has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rodina Moscow - Sochi were as follows:
19.10.2024
Sochi
-
Rodina Moscow
1:0
Latest results of Rodina Moscow
Russian FNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | S. Kostroma | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 21:12 | 9 | 28 |
| 2 | Fakel Voronezh | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 27 |
| 3 | Ural | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 20:10 | 10 | 24 |
| 4 | Chelyabinsk | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 18:10 | 8 | 22 |
| 5 | R. Volgograd | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 18:7 | 11 | 22 |
| 6 | Rodina Moscow | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19:13 | 6 | 20 |
| 7 | Kamaz | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 16:13 | 3 | 19 |
| 8 | SKA Khabarovsk | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15:14 | 1 | 19 |
| 9 | Neftekhimik | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 18 |
| 10 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 10:10 | 0 | 17 |
| 11 | Arsenal Tula | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 18:16 | 2 | 15 |
| 12 | Chernomorets Novorossijsk | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 18:17 | 1 | 15 |
| 13 | Ulyanovsk | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13:23 | -10 | 12 |
| 14 | Ufa | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 13:14 | -1 | 12 |
| 15 | Yenisey | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 7:14 | -7 | 10 |
| 16 | Saratov | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 6:14 | -8 | 9 |
| 17 | Torpedo Moscow | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 8:20 | -12 | 9 |
| 18 | FK Chayka | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 9:26 | -17 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: )
Relegation
