Rodina Moscow vs Sochi – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Russian FNL Rodina Moscow - Sochi
Result
3:1
06/04/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • FNL - Round 27
  • Referee: Frolov A. (Rus)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
russiaRussiaMatch TV

Match Stats

Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
76
Shots on target
55
Corner Kicks
48
Yellow Cards
01
Total shots
76
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
21
Corner Kicks
48
Free Kicks
1413
Goalkeeper Saves
42

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 23', 1 - 0, Maksimenko A. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 56', 2 - 0, Gueye P. ,
  • 60', Maslov P. 🟨,
  • 62', Pisarskiy V. , Kramaric M. ,
  • 63', Zaika K. , Burmistrov N. ,
  • 63', Gordyushenko A. , Barisic M. ,
  • 68', Koryan A. , Kontsevoy A. ,
  • 72', 2 - 1, Meleshin P. (Pen),
  • 72', Pasevich R. , Nikitin K. ,
  • 82', Kravtsov K. , Kaynov M. ,
  • 82', Meleshin P. , Bart R. ,
  • 83', Gueye P. , Timoshenko I. ,
  • 90+5', 3 - 1, Kontsevoy A. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Rodina Moscow
31.4%
Draw
32.1%
Sochi
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.3% 29.8% 44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.8% 30.4% 44%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rodina Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rodina Moscow's performance.
  • Sochi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sochi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rodina Moscow than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rodina Moscow that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sochi than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sochi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Rodina Moscow - Sochi Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.95
    (3.73)
    2.89
    (3.16)
    2.54
    (2.1)
    7.9%
    (6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: )).
    • Recent matches Rodina is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Sochi is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Rodina could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Sochi have a series of home games.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Rodina won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Rodina Moscow - Sochi were as follows:
    19.10.2024 Sochi - Rodina Moscow 1:0
    Latest results of Rodina Moscow
    Latest results of Sochi
    23.03.2025 Sochi - Shinnik 1:2
    16.03.2025 SKA Khabarovsk - Sochi 0:1
    09.03.2025 Sochi - Ural 1:0
    03.03.2025 Sochi - Sokol Saratov 0:0
    Russian FNL Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Fakel Voronezh55006:1515
    2Kamaz641112:7513
    3Ural54018:4412
    4Chelyabinsk640210:7312
    5S. Kostroma53117:4310
    6SKA Khabarovsk52215:418
    7R. Volgograd52214:318
    8Arsenal Tula51407:617
    9FK Chayka51316:426
    10Neftekhimik51314:406
    11Ufa61233:6-35
    12Yenisey61235:9-45
    13Shinnik Yaroslavl61234:7-35
    14Ulyanovsk51134:6-24
    15Torpedo Moscow51133:5-24
    16Rodina Moscow60425:8-34
    17Saratov60423:6-34
    18Chernomorets Novorossijsk60245:10-52

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: )
          Relegation