Result
1:0
26/04/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- FNL - Round 31
- Referee: Gusakov O. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Russia | Match! Premier |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 3', Bakaev S. 🟨,
- 35', Kamilov V. 🟨,
- 43', Isaev S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 54', Goglichidze L. ↓, Dyatlov I. ↑,
- 54', Egorychev A. ↓, Ushatov K. ↑,
- 55', Bakaev S. ↓, Maksimenko A. ↑,
- 64', 🟥,
- 68', Abdusalamov M. ↓, Sokol A. ↑,
- 71', Akhatov D. 🟨,
- 74', Ortiz D. ↓, Minatulaev O. ↑,
- 74', Akhatov D. ↓, Ageyan M. ↑,
- 74', Baranovsky A. ↓, Lipovoy D. ↑,
- 80', Bessmertniy S. ↓, Arse V. ↑,
- 87', 🟨,
- 88', Yakuev M. ↓, Troyanov K. ↑,
- 90', Perchenok A. 🟨,
- 90', Dyatlov I. 🟨,
- 90+1', 🟨,
- 90+6', 1 - 0, Maksimenko A. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Rodina Moscow
63.2% | Draw
23.1% | Ufa
13.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rodina Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)Ufa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rodina Moscow than the current prediction. (+0.5%)The ML Model estimate for Ufa aligns with the current prediction.
Rodina Moscow - Ufa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.52 ↑
(1.52) |
4.15 ↑
(4.01) |
7.01 ↑
(6.77) |
4.4%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rodina won 2.
- Rodina is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Ufa has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Rodina is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Rodina won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.2:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Rodina won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Rodina Moscow won against Ufa?
Rodina Moscow has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ufa won against Rodina Moscow?
Ufa has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rodina Moscow - Ufa were as follows:
11.02.2026
Ufa
-
Rodina Moscow
2:2
16.08.2025
Ufa
-
Rodina Moscow
0:0
20.04.2025
Rodina Moscow
-
Ufa
2:0
15.09.2024
Ufa
-
Rodina Moscow
2:0
07.05.2023
Rodina Moscow
-
Ufa
2:1
Latest results of Rodina Moscow
Russian FNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Fakel Voronezh | 32 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 41:22 | 19 | 64 |
| 2 | Rodina Moscow | 32 | 17 | 11 | 4 | 52:27 | 25 | 62 |
| 3 | Ural | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 48:28 | 20 | 58 |
| 4 | R. Volgograd | 31 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 40:23 | 17 | 52 |
| 5 | Kamaz | 32 | 12 | 13 | 7 | 46:31 | 15 | 49 |
| 6 | S. Kostroma | 32 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 45:39 | 6 | 48 |
| 7 | Yenisey | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 36:34 | 2 | 46 |
| 8 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 31 | 10 | 13 | 8 | 30:25 | 5 | 43 |
| 9 | Chelyabinsk | 32 | 10 | 13 | 9 | 40:36 | 4 | 43 |
| 10 | Torpedo Moscow | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 35:38 | -3 | 42 |
| 11 | Neftekhimik | 32 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 38:37 | 1 | 42 |
| 12 | Arsenal Tula | 31 | 8 | 14 | 9 | 39:37 | 2 | 38 |
| 13 | Ulyanovsk | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 33:43 | -10 | 36 |
| 14 | SKA Khabarovsk | 31 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 32:45 | -13 | 35 |
| 15 | Ufa | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 30:37 | -7 | 31 |
| 16 | Chernomorets Novorossijsk | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 33:48 | -15 | 29 |
| 17 | FK Chayka | 32 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 30:69 | -39 | 22 |
| 18 | Saratov | 32 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 14:43 | -29 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: )
Relegation
