Result
0:1
06/04/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 23
- Referee: Novikov N. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | Q Football Asia |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 3 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 0.44 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (342/437) | 71% (294/414) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 0.44 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 0.34 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 5 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (342/437) | 71% (294/414) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (23/56) | 40% (28/70) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (56/96) | 54% (42/78) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (6/27) | 17% (1/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 0.55 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (7/9) | 50% (7/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.34 | 0.73 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.66 | 0.73 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 19', 0 - 1, Bezrukov R. ⚽, Arroyo A. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Kuzyaev D. ↓, Siwe J. ↑,
- 65', Fedorov Z. ↓, Iljin V. ↑,
- 65', Furtado G. ↓, Zinkovskiy A. ↑,
- 68', Bezrukov R. ↓, Daku M. ↑,
- 70', Kovalenko A. 🟨,
- 72', Mukhin M. 🟨,
- 73', Rozhkov I. ↓, Nizhegorodov K. ↑,
- 75', Mukhin M. ↓, Makarchuk A. ↑,
- 75', Zaika K. ↓, Kramaric M. ↑,
- 82', Saavedra I. ↓, Ivanov O. ↑,
- 82', Gripshi N. ↓, Kabutov D. ↑,
- 89', Volkov S. ↓, Kamano F. ↑,
- 90+4', Hodza V. 🟨,
- 90+5', Daku M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sochi
23.4% | Draw
29.8% | Rubin Kazan
46.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sochi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)Rubin Kazan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)The ML Model estimate for Sochi aligns with the current prediction.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rubin Kazan than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
Sochi - Rubin Kazan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.15 ↑
(4.12) |
3.26 ↓
(3.36) |
2.07 ↑
(1.98) |
3.1%
(4.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Sochi - Rubin Kazan?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Sochi will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Rubin will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sochi won 1.
- Sochi is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Rubin is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Rubin is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Sochi: Zaika K.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Rubin: Iwu U.
(Muscle Injury)
Shvets A.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Sochi won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 21:17. (average 1.6:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sochi won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 1:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Sochi won against Rubin Kazan?
Sochi has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rubin Kazan won against Sochi?
Rubin Kazan has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sochi - Rubin Kazan were as follows:
04.08.2025
Rubin Kazan
-
Sochi
2:1
18.02.2025
Sochi
-
Rubin Kazan
0:2
25.05.2024
Rubin Kazan
-
Sochi
1:1
12.11.2023
Sochi
-
Rubin Kazan
0:2
Latest results of Rubin Kazan
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Krasnodar | 24 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 49:17 | 32 | 53 |
| 2 | Zenit | 24 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 44:17 | 27 | 52 |
| 3 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 24 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 50:33 | 17 | 45 |
| 4 | Baltika | 24 | 11 | 11 | 2 | 34:13 | 21 | 44 |
| 5 | CSKA Moscow | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 36:26 | 10 | 42 |
| 6 | Spartak Moscow | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 38:32 | 6 | 42 |
| 7 | Dynamo Moscow | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 43:35 | 8 | 34 |
| 8 | Rubin Kazan | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 23:25 | -2 | 34 |
| 9 | Akhmat Grozny | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 29:31 | -2 | 31 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 19:26 | -7 | 26 |
| 11 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 15:30 | -15 | 23 |
| 12 | Akron Togliatti | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 30:43 | -13 | 22 |
| 13 | Krylya Sovetov | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 25:44 | -19 | 22 |
| 14 | Pari NN | 24 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 20:39 | -19 | 21 |
| 15 | Orenburg | 24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 24:36 | -12 | 20 |
| 16 | Sochi | 24 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 21:53 | -32 | 12 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL
