Arzúa vs Somozas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1 Arzúa - Somozas
Result
1:2
28/03/2024 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 25

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 34', 0 - 1, Mira Á. R. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 67', 1 - 1, Hurtado I. ,
  • 87', 1 - 2, Cerro J. ,

Chances of winning


Arzúa
16.8%
Draw
25.4%
Somozas
57.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22.1% 28.3% 49.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.2% 25.8% 45.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arzúa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arzúa's form might have worsened.
  • Somozas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Somozas's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arzúa than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arzúa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Somozas than the current prediction. (-12.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Somozas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Arzúa - Somozas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.35
    (4.07)
    3.55
    (3.18)
    1.56
    (1.81)
    11%
    (11.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 10).
    • Arzúa has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Somozas is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • In this match Somozas is a favorite.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Arzúa won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-10.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Arzúa won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Arzúa - Somozas were as follows:
    29.10.2023 Somozas - Arzúa 3:0
    15.01.2023 Arzúa - Somozas 3:1
    11.09.2022 Somozas - Arzúa 3:1
    Latest results of Arzúa
    23.03.2024 Atlético Arteixo - Arzúa 5:1
    09.03.2024 Alondras - Arzúa 0:0
    02.03.2024 Arzúa - UD Ourense 0:3
    25.02.2024 Pontevedra B - Arzúa 1:0
    18.02.2024 Arzúa - Bergantiños 1:2
    Latest results of Somozas
    24.03.2024 Somozas - Barbadás 0:0
    09.03.2024 Somozas - Gran Peña 0:0
    25.02.2024 Somozas - Viveiro 2:3
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Final
    1SocuellamosCayon2 : 0, 1 : 1
    2CastellonenseBurgos CF B0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3CortesBeasain0 : 2, 1 : 2
    4Girona BSan Fernando2 : 0, 1 : 0
    5PulpilenoSarriana2 : 3, 0 : 0
    6LlerenenseLealtad1 : 3, 1 : 0
    7Atletico CentralJaen1 : 2, 0 : 1
    8PorreresAtletico Monzon2 : 0, 0 : 1
    9VareaRayo Vallecano B0 : 3, 1 : 2