Result
1:1
14/02/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 21
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 33', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 48', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Somozas 42.6% | Draw 31.7% | Gran Peña 25.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Somozas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)Gran Peña has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Somozas than the current prediction. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gran Peña than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Somozas - Gran Peña Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.14 ↑ (2.09) |
2.87 ↓ (2.96) |
3.55 ↑ (3.5) |
9.7% (10.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: ) and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Somozas won 1.
- Somozas is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Gran Peña has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Somozas could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Somozas won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 0.8:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Somozas won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Somozas won against Gran Peña?
Somozas has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gran Peña won against Somozas?
Gran Peña has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Somozas - Gran Peña were as follows:
28.09.2025
Gran Peña
-
Somozas
0:0
19.01.2025
Gran Peña
-
Somozas
0:4
08.09.2024
Somozas
-
Gran Peña
0:1
09.03.2024
Somozas
-
Gran Peña
0:0
22.10.2023
Gran Peña
-
Somozas
1:1
Latest results of Somozas
Latest results of Gran Peña
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Arosa SC | 33 | 19 | 10 | 4 | 55:33 | 22 | 67 |
| 2 | Compostela | 33 | 18 | 11 | 4 | 54:28 | 26 | 65 |
| 3 | Atletico Arteixo | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 52:42 | 10 | 57 |
| 4 | Boiro | 33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 43:27 | 16 | 50 |
| 5 | Estradense | 33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 43:32 | 11 | 50 |
| 6 | Somozas | 33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 35:30 | 5 | 50 |
| 7 | Racing Club Villalbes | 33 | 12 | 13 | 8 | 34:28 | 6 | 49 |
| 8 | Lugo B | 33 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 40:33 | 7 | 48 |
| 9 | Gran Pena | 33 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 52:41 | 11 | 48 |
| 10 | Barco | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 34:38 | -4 | 46 |
| 11 | Montaneros | 33 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 44:41 | 3 | 45 |
| 12 | Alondras | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 43:48 | -5 | 42 |
| 13 | Celtiga | 33 | 11 | 7 | 15 | 45:45 | 0 | 40 |
| 14 | Viveiro | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 27:40 | -13 | 38 |
| 15 | Silva SD | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 34:46 | -12 | 35 |
| 16 | Cambados | 33 | 4 | 14 | 15 | 23:39 | -16 | 26 |
| 17 | Noia | 33 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 27:52 | -25 | 25 |
| 18 | Barbadas-Bentraces | 33 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 25:67 | -42 | 19 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: )
Relegation